Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Racing Discussion


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 09-19-2018, 10:26 AM   #46
castaway01
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: NJ
Posts: 2,701
Rep Power: 14 castaway01 is a jewel in the roughcastaway01 is a jewel in the roughcastaway01 is a jewel in the rough
Quote:
Originally Posted by thespaah View Post
BINGO!....Fewer foals means fewer runners.
And here we go with the contraction argument.
There are two diametrically opposed camps in this vein. Those that see the inevitability of fewer racing facilities and those who oppose this notion based on their perception of having fewer wagering opportunities.
The bottom line here is with 38% fewer registered foals than just ten years ago, one would have to think there should be a proportionate number of races carded. 38% fewer races.
Those wanting the same number of wagering opps want the same sized bucket of water. However, there is less water in the bucket. Who cares if the bucket is the same size? It is the amount of water in the bucket that matters.
In order to have a full bucket, the size of the bucket must shrink.
If you looked in the same book of stats, you'd see that there are almost exactly half as many races in a year as there were in 1990. In the United States, the number of races was 74,000, now it's 37,000. There's also been a 25% decline in just the last 10 years. So this already happened. The number of races a year is steadily and rapidly declining, yet field size has not gone up.

In this case the math is pretty simple. There are fewer foals and fewer races. The horses that do run, run less often in a year than they used to---also in the fact book (was 11 starts a horse 50 years ago, 8 starts a horse 25 years ago, now it's 6 starts). So, fields are still smaller.
castaway01 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply




Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Who wins HOY? Accelerate or Justify?
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 02:39 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2018 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved -- Best Viewed in a modern browser @ 1280x720 Resolution Or Higher
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.