Simulcasting, ADWs and short odds

[Robert Goren]

Has the advent of simulcasting and ADWs actually made it harder to find a horse with a decent chance to win at decent odds. I remember when you went to the track there were only 8 or 9 race to bet. Most people bet them all or at most passed one. Now days, we have our pick of a hundred race every day. Whenever a horse looks good he gets bet by people from all over. Since most smart betters are picking and choosing the races that they bet, the logical horse goes of at lower odds.
I know the way I worded this is about as clear as mud, but I hope you get the idea. JMO

[Horseplayersbet.com]

What has made it harder is the lack of dummy money in the pools. Over the last 30 years, basically the only ones playing the game are half decent to very good handicappers.
Gone are the rounders who play tips, or the bus loads of seniors who bet the program favorite or their favorite number.

[SMOO]

Originally Posted by Horseplayersbet.com

What has made it harder is the lack of dummy money in the pools. Over the last 30 years, basically the only ones playing the game are half decent to very good handicappers.
Gone are the rounders who play tips, or the bus loads of seniors who bet the program favorite or their favorite number.

True, most of those people are in the casino staring at machines.

[Overlay]

Originally Posted by Robert Goren

Since most smart betters are picking and choosing the races that they bet, the logical horse goes of at lower odds.

That's true, but the logical horse doesn't always win. You need to judge the actual winning chances of each horse in the field, so that you can spot and take advantage of those occasions when the public has either picked the wrong horse altogether, or else gone overboard on a logical choice, and bet it down to odds that are lower than they should be, creating value plays on other horses in the field that have a realistic shot at winning.

[riskman]

Originally Posted by Overlay

That's true, but the logical horse doesn't always win. You need to judge the actual winning chances of each horse in the field, so that you can spot and take advantage of those occasions when the public has gone overboard on an individual horse, and bet it down to odds that are lower than they should be, creating value plays on other horses in the field that have a realistic shot at winning.

Hey,Overlay stop being so logical As usual, this is very sound advice and the opportunities exist every day.
There is also no shame in dutching horses when the right conditions present itself.

[kenwoodallpromos]

"the logical horse goes of at lower odds.
I know the way I worded this is about as clear as mud"
I love to play against the logical choice, in the mud!!LOL!! Or of less than even odds and overworked.