Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Racing Discussion


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 09-18-2010, 08:52 PM   #1
JustRalph
Just another Facist
 
JustRalph's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Now in Houston
Posts: 52,801
Who the hell is making the ML at RETAMA ?

Been following this track for a couple weekends now.......the Morning line is a mess.......
__________________
WE ARE THE DUMBEST COUNTRY ON THE PLANET!
JustRalph is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-18-2010, 10:17 PM   #2
cj
@TimeformUSfigs
 
cj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
Add Remington to the list. It is not only bad, it is outright misleading.
cj is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-18-2010, 10:41 PM   #3
Turkoman
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Florida
Posts: 2,036
There are several tracks with the same problem. Today I liked a horse at Calder that was 4-1 in the morning line, but won the race and paid $22.40 to win.

Turkoman
Turkoman is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-18-2010, 10:44 PM   #4
Charlie D
Registered User
 
Charlie D's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Gods County, United Kingdom
Posts: 3,533
Who the hell is making the ML at Retama

Don't know and don't care.
Charlie D is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-18-2010, 10:46 PM   #5
cj
@TimeformUSfigs
 
cj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
Quote:
Originally Posted by Charlie D
Don't know and don't care.
I've thought the ML was ready to be put out to pasture for a long time.
cj is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-18-2010, 10:59 PM   #6
Charlie D
Registered User
 
Charlie D's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Gods County, United Kingdom
Posts: 3,533
Lots of people would be lost without help from the Eric Donovans of this world CJ.
Charlie D is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-18-2010, 11:01 PM   #7
cj
@TimeformUSfigs
 
cj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
Quote:
Originally Posted by Charlie D
Lots of people would be lost without help from the Eric Donovans of this world CJ.
If they need his help they are already lost.
cj is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-18-2010, 11:01 PM   #8
garyscpa
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Houston, TX
Posts: 1,518
Sure, but with a little experience, which most people on this board have, you know which morning lines are reasonably accurate.

At some of the smaller tracks, there's plenty of times I spot a horse with a 20-1 M/L, but I'm pretty sure everyone else is going to see him too, and sure enough, he goes off 2-1.
garyscpa is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-18-2010, 11:06 PM   #9
SharpCat
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 710
I find that it is done at most tracks. I set my own odds line for horses that are possible bets. I would love it if all tracks would eliminate morning line odds.
SharpCat is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-18-2010, 11:06 PM   #10
Charlie D
Registered User
 
Charlie D's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Gods County, United Kingdom
Posts: 3,533
Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
If they need his help they are already lost.

I agree, but a large part of public do use them as you probably know.
Charlie D is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-18-2010, 11:08 PM   #11
cj
@TimeformUSfigs
 
cj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
Quote:
Originally Posted by Charlie D
I agree, but a large part of public do use them as you probably know.
I always enjoy those that select the latter legs of P3s/P4s based on nothing but the ML.
cj is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-18-2010, 11:10 PM   #12
Charlie D
Registered User
 
Charlie D's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Gods County, United Kingdom
Posts: 3,533
Quote:
Originally Posted by SharpCat
I would love it if all tracks would eliminate morning line odds.

I don't think you would as a large part of public would have nothing to use and if that happened they'd probably not place bets.
Charlie D is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-18-2010, 11:15 PM   #13
Shelby
Registered User
 
Shelby's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Kansas
Posts: 1,833
When I was a beginner---and maybe I'm not far off of that, but I'm a 10 year bettor, studier etc.--I really paid attention to the M/L. I would see if it went up or down right up until the race. I won some from that and lost more than some.

I use the M/L as a LOOSE "jumping off point". I'm getting better at trusting my knowledge and using that in conjunction with the line.

I think
Shelby is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-18-2010, 11:46 PM   #14
Charlie D
Registered User
 
Charlie D's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Gods County, United Kingdom
Posts: 3,533
Practice, then more practice Shelby If your handicapping is based on numbers you can create some calcs to create the oddsline, but always remember, G.I.G.O

Last edited by Charlie D; 09-18-2010 at 11:54 PM.
Charlie D is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-19-2010, 07:47 AM   #15
Hambletonian
Registered User
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 341
A bad ML is a significant edge for the sharp handicapper

I made decent money at Delta a few years back simply because the ML was so mucked up. Horses that should have been 6-1 were 20-1 or 30-1. Most small timers and newbs are not going to use big longshots in their small exacta plays, 3 horse tri boxes, etc....and there were alot of overlays every day. It seemed there were one or two horses each day that were 20-1 or so on the ML that were my top rated horses. I wasn't betting serious money, did not know the circuit at all, but it was alot of fun. It works well on tracks with modest pools, those with whale participation are going to even out that bad ML.

Don't complain, take advantage!
Hambletonian is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:01 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.