Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > Handicapping Software


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 08-11-2018, 12:28 AM   #46
PaceAdvantage
PA Steward
 
PaceAdvantage's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,174
I am about to go 2 for 80 the last two days.

Winners paid $141 and $42.80

__________________
@paceadvantage | Support the site and become a today!
PaceAdvantage is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2018, 12:50 AM   #47
thaskalos
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,388
Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage View Post
I am about to go 2 for 80 the last two days.

Winners paid $141 and $42.80

Are you categorizing your results per particular track?
__________________
Live to play another day.
thaskalos is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2018, 12:56 AM   #48
Dave Schwartz
 
Dave Schwartz's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 16,873
Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage View Post
I am about to go 2 for 80 the last two days.

Winners paid $141 and $42.80

About 20 years ago I played several real longshot systems. Like minimum pays were around $20, and 2-4 horses per race.

Won my first bet for $2 that paid $62, then lost 163 in a row.

Stopped playing after 3 days. It was very depressing.

At the end of the week I backtested and found I would have been winner if I'd kept playing.

Decided that for me the psychotherapy and medication would cost more than I would make. LOL
Dave Schwartz is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2018, 01:01 AM   #49
PaceAdvantage
PA Steward
 
PaceAdvantage's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,174
Quote:
Originally Posted by thaskalos View Post
Are you categorizing your results per particular track?
Nope...just firing and praying
__________________
@paceadvantage | Support the site and become a today!
PaceAdvantage is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2018, 01:03 AM   #50
PaceAdvantage
PA Steward
 
PaceAdvantage's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,174
Think I'm gonna take a break for a while...maybe I'll play a little on Sunday, because of the contest...but this is definitely a GRIND.

Attached Images
File Type: png 081018_COB.PNG (111.1 KB, 44 views)
__________________
@paceadvantage | Support the site and become a today!
PaceAdvantage is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2018, 01:03 AM   #51
highnote
Registered User
 
highnote's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2002
Posts: 10,861
Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage View Post
I am about to go 2 for 80 the last two days.

Winners paid $141 and $42.80

Are you betting real money? If so, are you getting rebates? Rebates obviously help the bottom line.

Are you betting a fixed amount or a proportional amount that is based on your betting wealth, projected payoff, and edge?

If your system is profitable flat betting will increase your betting wealth, but proportional betting will maximize your betting wealth. Although, with proportional betting your wealth will likely shrink quite a bit after 50 losses in a row!
highnote is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2018, 01:04 AM   #52
highnote
Registered User
 
highnote's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2002
Posts: 10,861
Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage View Post
Think I'm gonna take a break for a while...maybe I'll play a little on Sunday, because of the contest...but this is definitely a GRIND.
Can you automate it?
highnote is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2018, 01:05 AM   #53
PaceAdvantage
PA Steward
 
PaceAdvantage's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,174
Yes. I've posted before, I bet REAL MONEY on every play I post in VIP.

Hell, I AM UP 15% after 347 plays in this current run. It's not like I'm losing...lol
__________________
@paceadvantage | Support the site and become a today!
PaceAdvantage is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2018, 01:06 AM   #54
highnote
Registered User
 
highnote's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2002
Posts: 10,861
Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage View Post
Yes. I've posted before, I bet REAL MONEY on every play I post in VIP.

Hell, I AM UP 15% after 347 plays in this current run. It's not like I'm losing...lol
That is the only way to know for sure if you can win. There is nothing like betting real money.

I'm late to the party. I just deleted my facebook account. I've got some catching up to do around here. LOL

Last edited by highnote; 08-11-2018 at 01:07 AM.
highnote is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2018, 01:09 AM   #55
Dave Schwartz
 
Dave Schwartz's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 16,873
PA, you've now had two $100+ horses in this run, right?
Dave Schwartz is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2018, 01:11 AM   #56
thaskalos
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,388
Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage View Post
Nope...just firing and praying
Aren't you curious to find out if track selection might greatly improve your overall results? The probability that your handicapping method is universally applicable is basically nil...IMO. By excluding certain unfavorable racetracks, your results might astonish you.
__________________
Live to play another day.
thaskalos is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2018, 01:21 AM   #57
highnote
Registered User
 
highnote's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2002
Posts: 10,861
Quote:
Originally Posted by thaskalos View Post
Aren't you curious to find out if track selection might greatly improve your overall results? The probability that your handicapping method is universally applicable is basically nil...IMO. By excluding certain unfavorable racetracks, your results might astonish you.
I agree. When I automated the Dr. Z system there were some tracks that were extremely profitable and others that consistently lost. Eventually, I dropped the losing tracks and only bet the winning tracks. Then eventually, the rest of the world caught on and none of them were profitable.

The problem with a system is that it might work for awhile, but if someone else starts betting your horses because they found the same advantage you found then your profits disappear.

Strike while the iron is hot!
highnote is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2018, 01:44 AM   #58
PaceAdvantage
PA Steward
 
PaceAdvantage's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,174
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dave Schwartz View Post
PA, you've now had two $100+ horses in this run, right?
I think the other one was in the last run
__________________
@paceadvantage | Support the site and become a today!
PaceAdvantage is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-28-2018, 11:22 PM   #59
PaceAdvantage
PA Steward
 
PaceAdvantage's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,174
Well, I didn't get a profit in my last 500 race run...things have to be reexamined before I run another 500 race run...

Attached Images
File Type: png 082818_CCU.PNG (64.0 KB, 37 views)
__________________
@paceadvantage | Support the site and become a today!
PaceAdvantage is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-28-2018, 11:50 PM   #60
ReplayRandall
Buckle Up
 
ReplayRandall's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 10,614
Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage View Post
Well, I didn't get a profit in my last 500 race run...things have to be reexamined before I run another 500 race run...

With any rebate at the 97% you posted, there's nothing to reexamine...
ReplayRandall is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply




Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:00 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.