Quote:
Originally Posted by reckless
I always thought Thoroughbred Cycles was the best book on handicapping ever written.
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I have all his books and in general thought they were well down with many interesting ideas.
I used to be a bigger proponet of form cycles, also having read stuff from handicappers like Cary Fotias (sp).
Then I started using pace figures and realized what was hard to explain and often attributed to going off form or "bouncing" was in fact easily explained with the pace context.
A recent example was Majestic Heat last weekend, who ran a very weak 4th I believe and never made a closing move but the pace was so abhorrently slow that only horses of great magnitude would have won the race with that setup.