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Old 04-11-2021, 01:22 AM   #6961
NorCalGreg
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I know a few of you are entered in the annual Santa Anita "Showvivor" contest. They have categories for winning, total money won, and a show contest. I've looked at (and entered) the contests previously, and am always amazed at how good contestants are. Here's the list of the players that have hit all their show bets--and this is just the contestants that are on at least 25 show picks in a row. There are many more below that consecutive number:



Absolutely amazing...these for the most part aren't even pro players. I don't know if they could all do as well if their own money was riding on these...still impressive.

-NCG
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Old 04-11-2021, 01:14 PM   #6962
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you gotta be good to hit 38/38 show bets, I don't care who ya are.
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Old 04-11-2021, 03:45 PM   #6963
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SA PONYPICKER

Yes...I know most of these people probably aren't handicapping without some sort of show method.
Still thirty-eight times in a row is REALLY testing the limits of show betting-accuracy. Or do any damn thing 38 times in a row, but especially any form of gambling...if you get to ten consecutive-you've done something.

I haven't posted PONYPICKS in quite a while, here are the so-called "Easy Winners". Are they easy? Play them and find out




I showed a spot play with this program in the past--found a tri in the last race that--since I've already posted the software, might as well find a play:

8th race



good luck

-NCG
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Old 04-11-2021, 04:34 PM   #6964
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Originally Posted by green80 View Post
you gotta be good to hit 38/38 show bets, I don't care who ya are.
Size of field probably has lot to do with with the success rate as well. If the fields are averaging 6 horses or less it makes it a lot easier to have a horse finish in the show position.
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Old 04-11-2021, 06:54 PM   #6965
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yes but at $2.10 to show you gotta hit 97%
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Old 04-11-2021, 07:28 PM   #6966
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NorCalGreg View Post
I know a few of you are entered in the annual Santa Anita "Showvivor" contest. They have categories for winning, total money won, and a show contest. I've looked at (and entered) the contests previously, and am always amazed at how good contestants are. Here's the list of the players that have hit all their show bets--and this is just the contestants that are on at least 25 show picks in a row. There are many more below that consecutive number:



Absolutely amazing...these for the most part aren't even pro players. I don't know if they could all do as well if their own money was riding on these...still impressive.

-NCG
What's the basic setup/rules for this contest? How many picks a day? Any track or only Santa Anita?
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Old 04-11-2021, 07:29 PM   #6967
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Trainer moves top power at OP

Updating my results, just betting the TM top power horse at Oaklawn Park for the last 3 weeks, no handicapping, betting every race since 3/25


No of bets= 123 No of Races=123
winners = 42 (34%)

total win payout = $255.00
total bet = $246.00

profit = $9.00

The highest price horse of the winners paid $13 so no longshot flier to skew the results.
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Old 04-11-2021, 07:29 PM   #6968
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Originally Posted by Kbatch57 View Post
Size of field probably has lot to do with with the success rate as well. If the fields are averaging 6 horses or less it makes it a lot easier to have a horse finish in the show position.
The contest director determines which races are eligible, the players don't decide.

It's only natural they would keep the largest contest fields open for tourney play.
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Old 04-11-2021, 07:54 PM   #6969
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Quote:
Originally Posted by green80 View Post
Updating my results, just betting the TM top power horse at Oaklawn Park for the last 3 weeks, no handicapping, betting every race since 3/25


No of bets= 123 No of Races=123
winners = 42 (34%)

total win payout = $255.00
total bet = $246.00

profit = $9.00

The highest price horse of the winners paid $13 so no longshot flier to skew the results.
Thank you for updating your results, Mike. We all knew the results would even out and fall back to reality. There aren't many 2 or 3-digit single ratings in existence--that can even show a profit, playing each race daily at the same track, for one month.

Honestly...Bris Prime Power is a more accurate rating than Platinum Power. We aren't arguing that. It will hit more winners, that's been shown.

The problem is--everyone HAS access to Bris Prime. Every blue-haired woman in the grandstand has it.

Now, imagine if only a few hundred people in this country had the Bris Power Numbers. That number would be much more valuable, due to it's rarity.

My Platinum Power Rating-2 or 3 digits (same as Bris')...has been tested and run through data banks, and shown to be slightly more profitable than the Bris Power. How can that be?

Easy....a few hundred people have, or can access Platinum Power. Maybe as many as one million horseplayers can get Bris Power numbers.

Enjoy your week,

-NCG
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Old 04-11-2021, 10:39 PM   #6970
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Originally Posted by TMQ View Post
What's the basic setup/rules for this contest? How many picks a day? Any track or only Santa Anita?
It's just for Santa Anita, TMQ. There are 4 or 5 races presented per race day--you select one only, from the eligible picks.

Not much use in starting now, as SA will be running a very limited schedule for the near future...like, maybe 2 days a week.

But there is always the Del Mar 'capping contest at their site, after SA finishes up.
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Old Yesterday, 02:06 PM   #6971
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Looks like DRF Stable Mail is working once again:

Horse name Lady Kim
Notes Not much effort at 9-1-claimed by Radesovich - should be worth a bet next out with a price.
Activity date 04-13-2021
Track Mahoning Valley
Distance 6 Furlongs
Race number 5
Post position 9
ML 6-1
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Old Today, 02:01 AM   #6972
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TAMPA 4-14

So much for Lady Kim.....

Think I'll concentrate my efforts on Tampa today. After a couple years of burning through bankrolls--Tampa started to finally come around for me. Couple monster longshots and generally solid play (for me) made for a solid season.

These are some of stats and sorted lists I begin with:

.

.
If you check columns like "Last 3 Speeds", "Speed Blast", "ITM%", etc...you'll get a feel for who the main players are in the races today. I guarantee you'll get a better perception of the contenders than with past performances, alone.

Good luck today,

-NCG
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