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Old 07-05-2020, 06:55 AM   #811
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R#11-1200M C2 (6F)T…..…10-7-11 W/ 2-8-4….@3mins to Post
5-8-10-4– Dutch LOSS 49% Profit Margin - PASSED / Not much action on the LS Winner #5

All in all it turned out to be another decent race card with some nice results.
The Dutch Win bets produced a break even result of hitting 2 of 4 races.
There were quite a few decent Verticals with nice value:
Hitting 8 of the 11 Quinellas, 2 Triples (and even 2 Quartets)
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Old 07-12-2020, 01:02 AM   #812
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Cool HONG KONG - SHA TIN SUN- 7/12/20

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet! Today’s is the final card at Sha Tin for the current race meet.
I’m won’t be posting my pre-race selections for this very competitive race card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 11 races at Sha Tin with all races on Turf.

Post Time Race #1 – 12:30 AM SUN EST

I’ve taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and using a unique static tote analysis have come up with my preliminary picks for each race. However, I’ll be only posting live selections this morning because the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these entries and any others I might have missed.

The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores. A few of the races this morning look wide open!

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

For those of you that have the resources to bet more than $2 per race you might want to consider the following in terms of betting:
1) Win Dutching 3 entries means betting each of the 3 entries so that no matter which one wins the return is the same. (Wait until 4 mins to post for final odds calculations).
2) For Quinellas there are many options:
a) Using all 3 of the top Keys with all the others = 12 bets
b) Boxing all 6 selections = 15 bets
3) Triples there also many options:
a) Using any Key in the top position w/All others = 20 bets
b) Using all 3 Keys in the top position w/All others = 60 bets
c) Using Top 4 selections in the top position w/All others = 80 bets
d) Boxing all 6 selections = 120 bets
(Warning: The odds of the selected entries @ 7 mins to post should determine playability by comparing the combined value of each group of 3 that may complete the triple with the amount to be bet).
Good Luck if you’re playing!
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Old 07-12-2020, 01:27 AM   #813
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R#1-1400M C5 (7F)T….7-3-2 W/ 1-6-11 …@3mins to Post
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Old 07-12-2020, 01:39 AM   #814
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R#1-1400M C5 (7F)T….7-3-2 W/ 1-6-11 …@3mins to Post
7-6-11-12– Dutch WIN 98% Profit Margin - PLAYED / $20.50 Quinella & $112.20 Triple BX
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Old 07-12-2020, 01:58 AM   #815
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R#2-1200M C4 (6F)T…….5-2-6 W/ 8-1-14 ……@3mins to Post
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Old 07-12-2020, 02:09 AM   #816
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R#2-1200M C4 (6F)T…….5-2-6 W/ 8-1-14 ……@3mins to Post
14-2-1-5– Dutch WIN 22% Profit Margin - PASSED / $126.60 Quinella & $7,210.80 Triple BX ($14,262.00 Quartet Bx) – All of that one!
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Old 07-12-2020, 02:27 AM   #817
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R#3–1400M C4 (7F)T…….6-3-12 W/ 5-2-13…..@3 mins to Post
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Old 07-12-2020, 02:37 AM   #818
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R#3–1400M C4 (7F)T…….6-3-12 W/ 5-2-13…..@3 mins to Post
3-2-10-12– Dutch WIN 52% Profit Margin - PLAYED / $19.80 Quinella
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Old 07-12-2020, 02:57 AM   #819
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R#4- 1600M C1 (8F)T……8-2-3 W/ 7-4 …@3mins to Post
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Old 07-12-2020, 03:08 AM   #820
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R#4- 1600M C1 (8F)T……8-2-3 W/ 7-4 …@3mins to Post
2-4-7-8– Dutch WIN 10% Profit Margin - PASSED / $19.00 Quinella & $278.60 Triple BX ($697.60 Quartet Bx) – All of that one!
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Old 07-12-2020, 03:29 AM   #821
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R#5- 1800M C4 (9F)T…..13-9-7 W/ 11-6-12 .…@3mins to Post
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Old 07-12-2020, 03:38 AM   #822
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R#5- 1800M C4 (9F)T…..13-9-7 W/ 11-6-12 .…@3mins to Post
7-10-6-12– Dutch WIN 71% Profit Margin - PLAYED /
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Old 07-12-2020, 03:52 AM   #823
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7-10-6-12– Dutch WIN 71% Profit Margin - PLAYED /
Hi Nitro - first of all I am definitely a fan of your posting and you definitely have got me looking into Hong Kong which I LOVE !!!!!!!!!!
I have a question though... you mentioned Dutch win profit margin 71% so you played it..... I am wondering about your figures as I was looking at race 5 and I calculated a profit of about 30% therefore decided to play the tri etc.... my "dutch" calculations are clearly complately wrong it seems .... (am new to dutching and I like it)
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Old 07-12-2020, 03:57 AM   #824
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R#6- 1200M C4 (6F)T…...3-2-6 W/ 7-14-11……@3mins to Post
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Old 07-12-2020, 04:06 AM   #825
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R#6- 1200M C4 (6F)T…...3-2-6 W/ 7-14-11……@3mins to Post
3-1-14-11– Dutch Win 2% Profit Margin - PASSED / No action on the LS Placer #1
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