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05-31-2020, 04:08 AM
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#691
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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R#8- 1200M C3 (6F)T
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10-3-8 W/ 4-2-13
@3mins to Post
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05-31-2020, 04:18 AM
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#692
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#8- 1200M C3 (6F)T
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10-3-8 W/ 4-2-13
@3mins to Post
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1-11-13-2 Dutch LOSS 202% Profit Margin - PLAYED / Lots of very late action on the top 4 finishers too late to post a change
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05-31-2020, 04:37 AM
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#693
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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R#9- 1600M GR3 (8F)T
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8-2-1 W/ 11-3-4
@3mins to Post
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05-31-2020, 04:51 AM
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#694
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#9- 1600M GR3 (8F)T
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8-2-1 W/ 11-3-4
@3mins to Post
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2-1-6-11 Dutch WIN 51% Profit Margin PLAYED/ $43.20 Quinella w/Some Good Value
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05-31-2020, 05:14 AM
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#695
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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R#10-1400M C3 (7F)T
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5-8-2 W/ 4-13-11
.@3mins to Post
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05-31-2020, 05:27 AM
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#696
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#10-1400M C3 (7F)T
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5-8-2 W/ 4-13-11
.@3mins to Post
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13-10-5-1 Dutch LOSS 48% Profit Margin - PASSED / Lots of very late action on the LS Placer #10 too late to post a change
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05-31-2020, 05:47 AM
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#697
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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R#11 -1200M C2 (6F)T
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7-3-5 W/ 6-2-1
.@3mins to Post
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05-31-2020, 06:15 AM
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#698
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#11 -1200M C2 (6F)T
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7-3-5 W/ 6-2-1
.@3mins to Post
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5-12-7-6 Dutch WIN 21% Profit Margin - PASSED / No action on the LS Placer #12
It turned out to be very tough race card with only some fair results. The Dutch Win bets produced a break even result hitting 2 of 4 races. There were only a few decent Verticals. It was one of the most competitive race cards Ive seen in quite a while.
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06-07-2020, 12:22 AM
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#699
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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HONG KONG - SHA TIN SUN - 6/7/20
Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
Im wont be posting my pre-race selections for this very competitive race card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 10 races at Sha Tin with all races on Turf:
Post Time Race #1 12:45 AM SUN EST
Ive taken a look at the M/Ls in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with my preliminary picks for each race. However, Ill be only posting live selections this morning because the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these entries and any others I might have missed.
The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores. A few of the races this morning look wide open!
BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I cant make a Dutch Win bet Ill generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.
For those of you that have the resources to bet more than $2 per race you might want to consider the following in terms of betting:
1) Win Dutching 3 entries means betting each of the 3 entries so that no matter which one wins the return is the same. (Wait until 4 mins to post for final odds calculations).
2) For Quinellas there are many options:
a) Using all 3 of the top Keys with all the others = 12 bets
b) Boxing all 6 selections = 15 bets
3) Triples there also many options:
a) Using any Key in the top position w/All others = 20 bets
b) Using all 3 Keys in the top position w/All others = 60 bets
c) Using Top 4 selections in the top position w/All others = 80 bets
d) Boxing all 6 selections = 120 bets
(Warning: The odds of the selected entries @ 7 mins to post should determine playability by comparing the combined value of each group of 3 that may complete the triple with the amount to be bet).
Good Luck if youre playing!
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06-07-2020, 12:42 AM
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#700
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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R#1-1200M C5 (6F)T
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.5-4-7 W/ 1-10-11
@3mins to Post
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06-07-2020, 12:54 AM
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#701
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#1-1200M C5 (6F)T
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.5-4-7 W/ 1-10-11
@3mins to Post
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3-7-9-4 Dutch LOSS 81% Profit Margin PLAY / LS Winner #1 saw no betting action
It may be a long night with a lot of rain falling at Sha Tin.
Ill see how it goes for the next few races.
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06-07-2020, 01:13 AM
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#702
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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R#2-1200M C4 (6F)T
.1-4-8 W/ 3-2-11
@3mins to Post
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06-07-2020, 01:22 AM
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#703
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#2-1200M C4 (6F)T
.1-4-8 W/ 3-2-11
@3mins to Post
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6-7-1-11 Dutch LOSS 100% Profit Margin PLAY / LS Winner #6 & Placer #7 saw some very late betting action too late to post a change
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06-07-2020, 01:43 AM
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#704
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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R#31200M C4 (6F)T
.3-11-4 W/ 8-12-5
..@3 mins to Post
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06-07-2020, 01:53 AM
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#705
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#31200M C4 (6F)T
.3-11-4 W/ 8-12-5
..@3 mins to Post
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11-9-12-2 Dutch WIN 146% Profit Margin PLAY / LS Placer #9 saw some very late betting action - again too late to post a change
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