Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Handicapping Discussion


View Poll Results: Do you think a $1 PK-6 increment makes sense?
Yes - it would increase handle on that wager 50 62.50%
No - leave it as it is 22 27.50%
Not sure 8 10.00%
Voters: 80. This poll is closed

Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 11-22-2012, 09:58 AM   #1
horses4courses
Registered User
 
horses4courses's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 14,569
$1 Pick-6 increment?

Looking at today's Hollywood Park card, with a PK-6 carryover in excess of $500K, it doesn't take me long to figure out that I won't be playing. Again.

In order to play the PK-6 properly, I would need a $100K bankroll strictly for that wager, and not bet in excess of 2% of it on any given card.
It would be nice to take a flyer on a small ticket today for a chance at a big score but, with a $2 increment, it's throwing money away.
Do you think PK-6 handle would increase, or decrease, in California if they halved the increment?

Also, do you think that a $1 PK-6 would increase it's popularity at east coast tracks? I know that Gulfstream has their own version (10 cent winner take all), and they seem to have made progress with it.

I'm adding a poll with the basic question of whether, or not, you think a $1 PK-6 increment is a good thing.
There may, however, be different circumstances at various tracks as to what might make the wager a success there. Any thoughts?

Last edited by horses4courses; 11-22-2012 at 10:06 AM.
horses4courses is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-22-2012, 10:02 AM   #2
Gapfire
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 899
I've often thought the same thing. I guess the $2 denomination helps create the big carryovers though.
__________________
2011 P.A.I.H.L. Finalist & 2012 PA Day 2 Breeders' Cup Contest Winner - Proud Sponsor 2014 Gapfire Ridersup Contest
https://www.gapfire.com/free.htm
Gapfire is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-22-2012, 11:31 AM   #3
magwell
Registered User
 
magwell's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 2,202
I would play the Pk 6 often, with $1 increments......You need to go deep to have any chance......
__________________
I hate losing more than I love winning......
magwell is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-22-2012, 04:01 PM   #4
Al Gobbi
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 997
Handle already has dropped on the Pick 6 in California - there have been a least three or four carryovers between SA and HP this fall that were around $30,000 - $40,000 and last week at Aqueduct there was a one day carryover of a whopping $12k.

It took three racing days to get a $560k triple carryover at Hollywood. Two or three years ago a three day pot would be around 1.5 million. And its probably only going to continue to drop.
Al Gobbi is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-22-2012, 05:52 PM   #5
gm10
Registered User
 
gm10's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Ringkoebing
Posts: 4,342
Quote:
Originally Posted by horses4courses
Looking at today's Hollywood Park card, with a PK-6 carryover in excess of $500K, it doesn't take me long to figure out that I won't be playing. Again.

In order to play the PK-6 properly, I would need a $100K bankroll strictly for that wager, and not bet in excess of 2% of it on any given card.
It would be nice to take a flyer on a small ticket today for a chance at a big score but, with a $2 increment, it's throwing money away.
Do you think PK-6 handle would increase, or decrease, in California if they halved the increment?

Also, do you think that a $1 PK-6 would increase it's popularity at east coast tracks? I know that Gulfstream has their own version (10 cent winner take all), and they seem to have made progress with it.

I'm adding a poll with the basic question of whether, or not, you think a $1 PK-6 increment is a good thing.
There may, however, be different circumstances at various tracks as to what might make the wager a success there. Any thoughts?
$0.50 would be perfect imo. I'm not too sure about the $0.10 one. You don't want too many winners either.
gm10 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-22-2012, 06:07 PM   #6
tiger rose
Registered User
 
tiger rose's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 1,754
It's one of the worst % plays you can make.
Very seldom play it,Big carryover days will take a stab,but not any big tickets

i like the gulfstream $0.10 winner take all play,you can cover a lot of longshots for a small investment

if you are bankrolling it large still i believe your much better off spreading it on the running P 3's
tiger rose is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-22-2012, 09:14 PM   #7
Robert Goren
Racing Form Detective
 
Robert Goren's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Lincoln, Ne but my heart is at Santa Anita
Posts: 16,316
Why would they want to mess up one of the few good things that S. Cal races has going for it? I never bet it, but if you look at their pool size, it is one few things that is being bet out there.
__________________
Some day in the not too distant future, horse players will betting on computer generated races over the net. Race tracks will become casinos and shopping centers. And some crooner will be belting out "there used to be a race track here".
Robert Goren is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-22-2012, 09:38 PM   #8
citygoat
Registered User
 
citygoat's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 223
i still miss santa anita's 5 dollar exactas
citygoat is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-23-2012, 03:58 AM   #9
lamboguy
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,764
Quote:
Originally Posted by citygoat
i still miss santa anita's 5 dollar exactas
i have to agree with you on that one. all these different exotic wagers have done nothing but hurt the game throughout the years. if it was up to me, i would only have a daily double and 3 exacta's on a racing card. never happen though!
lamboguy is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-23-2012, 05:49 AM   #10
judd
Registered User
 
judd's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: oakmont pa
Posts: 4,828
i only play w-p-s
__________________
Bet wps
judd is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-23-2012, 10:34 AM   #11
thaskalos
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,569
Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy
i have to agree with you on that one. all these different exotic wagers have done nothing but hurt the game throughout the years. if it was up to me, i would only have a daily double and 3 exacta's on a racing card. never happen though!
Only a daily double and three exactas?

With today's six and seven-horse fields...what do you think this type of wagering format would do to the already dwindling mutuel handle nationwide?
__________________
"Theory is knowledge that doesn't work. Practice is when everything works and you don't know why."
-- Hermann Hesse
thaskalos is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-23-2012, 07:10 PM   #12
mlbelang
Registered User
 
mlbelang's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2012
Location: Albany NY
Posts: 131
Quote:
Originally Posted by judd
i only play w-p-s

I've been trying out this way of playing but I feel like it is just one huge grind.

Like today...I was doing crap at the A all day. I saw 2 horses I liked in the 7th (1 and 2) and played a $10 box. You just cant beat getting a $450 ticket every now and then for $10. In my opinion.

I never play Pick 6....every so often pick 3. Love the Double and Exacta wagers.

My go to bets:
1. Exacta
2. Win
3. Double
4. Show

Last edited by mlbelang; 11-23-2012 at 07:15 PM.
mlbelang is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-24-2012, 08:14 AM   #13
JohnGalt1
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,230
Quote:
Originally Posted by citygoat
i still miss santa anita's 5 dollar exactas
And don't forget the $3 minimum pick threes.
JohnGalt1 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-24-2012, 12:05 PM   #14
MickJ26
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 862
NYRA raises their takeout when there's a pick six carryover, so it'd be unlikely they'd do anything to make it more hittable, even if it does increase handle in the short term.
MickJ26 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-25-2012, 05:51 AM   #15
fmolf
Registered User
 
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: massapequa park ny
Posts: 2,164
Quote:
Originally Posted by MickJ26
NYRA raises their takeout when there's a pick six carryover, so it'd be unlikely they'd do anything to make it more hittable, even if it does increase handle in the short term.
Asa ny resident and bettor i think the amt. should be lowered.In cal. the 50cent p5 with its lowered takeout has overtaken the p6 as the favored wager.I play mostly w-p-s and exactas, with an occassional double or p3in certain situations.It is my feeling that most if not all p6 payouts are underlaid.
fmolf is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 05:08 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.