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11-16-2023, 02:59 PM
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#16
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 313
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Redboard
I still don't understand why doing All five times in a high 5 is cheating. And why the track is withholding payouts.
7x6x5x4x3x2 = 2520
So a 10 cent bet is $252
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There are two possibilities:
1) The money didn't exist.
However this occurred an account(s) were able to place bets that far exceeded their balance, with the actual ticket cost not being deducted properly, but winnings credited correctly.
In this case the aim is to collect as much as possible, so stake as high as you can and collect most of it. The single race exotics work well for this and if you overwhelm the pool the return is basically the investment - takeout.
2) Someone hacked an account that had the funds:
This makes less sense on the betting. Aim should be to bet unlikely combinations heavily and collect a profit on the overlays through a different account, not spread on ALL and depress payouts on the more likely results.
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11-16-2023, 03:13 PM
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#17
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 313
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11-16-2023, 03:24 PM
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#18
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,655
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Quote:
Originally Posted by affirmedny
$1 minimum @ Churchill on that bet
Also if you box the entire field it does not affect the odds at all as you're covering each combo equally, no?
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no, it increases the pay-offs on the higher probability combinations and hurts on the next to impossible pay-offs.
I hope the pools get more money from crypro genius millionaires.
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11-16-2023, 03:38 PM
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#19
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 457
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11-16-2023, 04:02 PM
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#20
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 20,614
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dilanesp
This is such an incompetently run sport.
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The whole world is going to hell in a handbasket. It's not just horse racing. We are just a little worse than average.
__________________
"Unlearning is the highest form of learning"
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11-16-2023, 05:17 PM
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#21
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: JCapper Platinum: Kind of like Deep Blue... but for horses.
Posts: 5,291
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iamt
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Imagine that.
I guess there's no way of knowing how much more the exotics in affected pools would have paid minus the glitch.
There's also no telling how much this might have cost legitimate players yesterday who bet within the limits of their account balances. (Fyi, I cashed exotics in at least two of the affected races.)
Also, unless FanDuel/TVG somehow recovers money from the player or players who gamed the system:
Come settlement time FanDuel/TVG now owes several host tracks some serious money which will have to come from their own pockets.
-jp
.
__________________
Team JCapper: 2011 PAIHL Regular Season ROI Leader after 15 weeks
www.JCapper.com
Last edited by Jeff P; 11-16-2023 at 05:23 PM.
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11-16-2023, 05:24 PM
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#22
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 313
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The combos that were chalkier have paid more than they should, those with longer runners less.
Assuming that FanDuel keeps/recovers the returns on the wagers the major cost will be the signal fee on their wagers (as long as the tracks pursue it).
I expect there is a net loss on the wagers themselves to be added on top of it.
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11-16-2023, 05:55 PM
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#23
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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Calm down.
Typical wagering. CAW dollars in the pool. There is an abundance of common everyday things. It's inconsequential at best.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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11-16-2023, 08:07 PM
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#24
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 313
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iamt
The combos that were chalkier have paid more than they should, those with longer runners less.
Assuming that FanDuel keeps/recovers the returns on the wagers the major cost will be the signal fee on their wagers (as long as the tracks pursue it).
I expect there is a net loss on the wagers themselves to be added on top of it.
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Or maybe the losses were a chunk more than I expected, from DRF:
For example, the bettor made $554,400 in wagers into the super high five pool at Churchill Downs in the fourth race on Wednesday, using the “all” button in all five spots, at $220 for each of 2,520 combinations, insuring 220 winning tickets. On paper, that generated $85,434 in winning tickets, but a net loss of $468,966.
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11-16-2023, 09:00 PM
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#25
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: JCapper Platinum: Kind of like Deep Blue... but for horses.
Posts: 5,291
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Link to the DRF article:
DRF | by Matt HegartyNov 16, 2023
FanDuel probe focuses on costs of suspicious wagers:
https://www.drf.com/news/fraudulent-...-computer-hack
Quote:
For example, the bettor made $554,400 in wagers into the super high five pool at Churchill Downs in the fourth race on Wednesday, using the “all” button in all five spots, at $220 for each of 2,520 combinations, insuring 220 winning tickets. On paper, that generated $85,434 in winning tickets, but a net loss of $468,966.
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Quote:
Wagering sites are typically held accountable for the information that is relayed by their systems into commingled pools, so FanDuel is likely on the hook for the bets. All of the tracks targeted by the bettor paid out the bets based on the information in the commingled pools.
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Quote:
It remains unclear how many pools the bettor targeted. Based on historical betting patterns, it appears likely that exacta and trifecta pools were also targeted by the bettor before the accounts were shut down mid-afternoon on Wednesday. However, one official said that the glitch or hack had been traced to new code introduced into the system on Tuesday night, limiting the impact to Wednesday’s races.
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So the root cause turned out to be new code (obviously never fully tested) uploaded to live server(s) Tuesday night.
Wow.
Just wow.
-jp
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__________________
Team JCapper: 2011 PAIHL Regular Season ROI Leader after 15 weeks
www.JCapper.com
Last edited by Jeff P; 11-16-2023 at 09:11 PM.
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11-17-2023, 10:40 AM
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#26
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 20,614
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Quote:
So the root cause turned out to be new code (obviously never fully tested) uploaded to live server(s) Tuesday night.
Wow.
Just wow.
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I'm glad I'm not that programmer or QA guy. I've done both jobs and they aren't easy or pressure free. Both can age you prematurely.
__________________
"Unlearning is the highest form of learning"
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11-17-2023, 12:04 PM
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#27
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 5,803
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11-17-2023, 12:08 PM
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#28
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 5,803
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11-17-2023, 05:14 PM
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#29
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 313
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That is an awful lot of words to say not much at all.
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11-17-2023, 06:09 PM
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#30
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: JCapper Platinum: Kind of like Deep Blue... but for horses.
Posts: 5,291
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In the interest of transparency, the industry should:
1. Publish a list of races affected by the glitch (date, track, and race number.)
2. Publish a report showing amount of glitch money wagered into the individual pools (win, place, show, exa, tri, super, high5, dd, pick-x etc.) for each of the affected races.
3. Publish a report showing what the parimutuel payoffs would have been for each of the affected races absent the glitch.
Additionally, FanDuel/TVG should step up and do the right thing:
Make affected players whole for any shortfall in parimutuel payoffs.
If a parimutuel payoff absent the glitch would have been more than what was actually paid out:
Pay that player the difference.
This would be easy to do for ADW players. (The player's ADW could easily provide FanDuel/TVG with proof of individual tickets for the affected races.)
This would take a bit more work for players who cashed paper tickets for affected races on track or at a simulcast facility.
It could still be done for most affected players using surveillance video, etc.
-jp
.
__________________
Team JCapper: 2011 PAIHL Regular Season ROI Leader after 15 weeks
www.JCapper.com
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