*Handicapping Methods-Spot Play Testing-Software Etc

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by oughtoh

Hit the all button, then hit early speed. After that you go on the line and double click late. Make sure your using the 14.5 update or you will come out with different numbers.

I changed it up a bit...all the same clicks except for hitting the "LATE" button--at that point sort by Top Power, and see what pops up. Disregard anything less than 2-1, and only consider the top 2 or 3. At Houston tonight, top horse was less than 2-1, so went with the next two: YAMANO and BETA LAKE.

Yamano took it in the shorts, but Beta Lake paid $13.40. There are a ton of spot plays to try out--the main thing is to keep a record of what wins where. You would think the early horses that this method finds, would dominate at TUP--they don't. It does at other tracks-- the only way you know this is your records you keep

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by lefty359

Anybody know how Greg's trainer moves do at Gulfstream?

Sorry Lefty, didn't see your post. TM does okay at GPX, but it's not really consistent. One day a couple nice payoffs--nada the next. They have so many big prices, that's the reason I play that track--looking for longshots.

I would honestly rate it fair to middlin' @ GPX...I prefer Tampa-more consistent results.

[NorCalGreg]

.
I'll try to post up some GPX plays from TM tomorrow, Lefty.

Anyone interested in Chucktown tonight?

Have at it:

[lefty359]

Thanks, Greg. I'm having some trble today with Platinum. I loaded races from GP but get a complete blank except for the Platinum headings.
No horses show up. Weird.

[NorCalGreg]

Shoot me your email address, Lefty-I'll send a new program.

GPX and all others loaded up fine for me-you may have gotten a corrupted file. Also, they don't charge you twice for downloading a file you've already paid for, so you can always try downloading again in the future.

[coacht]

With trainer moves, look at each race and click the TMPACE column for the top picks .

GP results today:

R1 6 was top choice and won paid $7.00

R2 9 won. It was the second choice and paid $7.20

R3 10 won It was the second choice and paid $5.00

R4 5 won was the top choice and paid $5.00

R5 out

R6 1 won It was the fourth choice and paid $8.00

R7 2 won as the top choice and paid $3.40

R8 5 won. It was the second choice and paid $7.00

R9 8 won. It was the fourth choice and paid $37.40 !!!

R10 2 won as the top choice and paid $5.40

Obviously, the biggest payoff was the 8 horse on the turf in race 9.

Personally , I look at top four horses as contenders and go from there.

Good luck

[lefty359]

Thanks Greg and coach.

[NorCalGreg]

Some quick picks @ GPX from Trainer Moves:

EARLY SPEED

4TH ROCKING THE BOAT 2-1
7TH CRYSTAL COAST 4-1
8TH GATSBY 5-2
10TH BELGRANO 12-1

T/J$

4TH ALL AROUND 8-1
9TH TOFFEN 6-1

POWER

10TH HERO TIGER 9-2

LONGSHOT

1ST BOTTOM DECK 20-1

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Some quick picks @ GPX from Trainer Moves:

EARLY SPEED

4TH ROCKING THE BOAT 2-1 $7.40
7TH CRYSTAL COAST 4-1 2ND
8TH GATSBY 5-2 $6.80
10TH BELGRANO 12-1 X

T/J$

4TH ALL AROUND 8-1 X
9TH TOFFEN 6-1 $13.40

POWER

10TH HERO TIGER 9-2 X

LONGSHOT

1ST BOTTOM DECK 20-1 3RD

-NCG

[NorCalGreg]

Tampa was on fire again, today...TRAINER MOVES spot plays were bringing in winners just about everywhere EXCEPT the dreaded Aqueduct.

I didn't check every track, but these are the ones I did (I didn't show AQ because there was nothing to show)--these are just the Trainer/Jockey $$ spot play:



.
I also noticed late-running Houston had a big Maiden spot-play winner.

[stuball]

I played a live play tourny yesterday at GP -- pretty chalky $56 entry 5 players I won $250 actually $194 profit miight go back to the water tank and take another drink maybe tam today I used tmpace I wonder if it works at Tam

[green80]

tampa has 5 stakes races today, 4 of them graded, that usually changes everything. Proceed with caution.

[NorCalGreg]

The idea behind the TMPACE play was to find horses that should be well bet, at least. Naturally with that in mind you should get mostly favorites--I'm hoping for the horse that isn't a popular with bettors, for one reason or another.

Sometimes you still end up with a monster favorite-no changing that.
These are the top TMPACE rated horses in the stakes races today.

GPX

9TH WARRIORS PRIDE 5-1
10TH KARAK 3-1
11TH SHEA D SUMMER 7-2

TAMPA

5TH LAST JUDGEMENT 4-1
7TH CREW DRAGON 5-1
9TH LA SIGNARE 8-1
10TH JOUSTER 2-1
11TH AWESOME JERRY 15-1


AQ

6TH MISS BRAZIL 2-1
7TH CHATEAU 6-1
8TH PORTAL CREEK 6-1
9TH HIGHLY MOTIVATED 8/5

[NorCalGreg]

Somehow cut off Santa Anita from the TMPACE Stakes Race top figs:

SA

6TH MEDINA SPIRIT 7-2
8TH EXTRA HOPE 4-1
9TH FLAVIUS 6-1
10TH INDEPENDENCE HALL 4-1

[green80]

like NCG says, you gotta keep records. I have been using the t/j money moves play at MVR for the last few weeks and the record looks like this


Days played -17


Plays 42- Bet $84



Wins 5- for at total payout of $151.00


$67 profit on $84 invested- not to bad of return


we will see how it looks after 100 plays