Alrighty guys here goes nothing
Horse by horse analysis followed by top 4 picks below
#7- Raced on turf his entire life and now moves to the dirt track; Form looks ok with itm finishes in G2 or G1 races so they are hoping the same success can come shifting surfaces; Underneath for 3rd and 4th exotics
#10- Likely favourite today in the wagering pools; Sharp winner in the Malibu at Santa Anita where he won by 4 lengths as the heavy favourite; Has been off since Dec 26 but has been showing some nice long workouts in prep for today's race; Baffert 38% with horses who won last time out; A major player
#3- Has had good success racing in the middle east with a 2nd place finish over in Dubai last year but now in Riyadh so a much different environment now; Has had 3 straight 2nd place finishes in a row which the last time out was a G1 where he just got snuffed at the wire at a good price (13-1); Lane hops back on from the Dubai win in hopes the same success can rub off here; Putting in 2nd and 3rd spots for exotics
#9- I guess the claim off 10k Steve Asmussen worked for the trainer and the horse with 3 wins over the local track; These 3 wins looked solid but came against lower classed horses but no doubt about the romp in last race though which jockey Gutierrez stays on; Hard to say weather he will like facing tougher but then again Emblem Road did it last year so anything can happen here; One to watch out for heading for home
#13- Had 9 wins from 13 starts last year and all those wins/starts came around the local circuit either at King Khaled or here at King Abdulaziz; These wins were impressive but again like #9 those wins were at much lower classes vs todays competition; Switches jockeys here and looking to get rolling late; Questionable for me
#6- Another Japanese shipper heading into the Saudi Cup with this one getting the job done in the G1 Champions Cup at Chukyo; Ryan moore gets the mount today which boosts the positivity for the connections now; Gets a better post and will try to make the best of it here today; In 2nd and 3rd spots for exotics
#8- Finished 6th in the Dubai WC last year but after that hasn't done too bad since then; This one has raced around this distance before so the experience is there and also the jockey O'Shea stays on again but this will tough to get exicted about this one as this is the toughest challege this year for Remourse; Toss
#4- Here is my boy who got the job done for me last year at a huge price; Has only raced twice since the Saudi Cup but did get a win here last time out; Not the same jockey as he had last year but moreno knows this horse well and has already posted 4 wins with him in this career; Is a much shorter price vs last year but I am hoping this horse can still show that he has got in and will be around late to battle the contenders once again; A big contender
#11- Has shown experience racing in G1 races but hasn't came around to finish well in any of those starts; Has been off since June and the horse has only raced on Turf the whole time like #7 so the connections are having high hopes this one can finish well I just don't see it today; Toss
#2- Winner of the Dubai World Cup last year tries to win the world's richest race for trainer Bob Baffert and will have to work with some quality class horses entered in today; Form has been sharp since the DWC and Dettori stays on from last time out and from Dubai start; Has also been off since Dec 26 Baffert is 29% with those horses coming off 61-180 days of layoff; Dettori can put this horse into a good spot and could upset them all here at hopefully a nice price; Contender
#12- Another local horse which has put up some nice recent racing as of late; Had a 6 race win streak into last race but got broken when he finished 2nd only by 3 1/2 lengths; This one shows almost a exact same pattern as Emblem Road and even though the price is big anything can happen here; In for 2nd and 3rd positons in exotics
#5- Hasn't been able to regroup after the G1 win in April of last year; Sure he has still be racing at that class level but can seem to get any better heading into here; A switch to Lemaire can help but will be tough to back with the form and only having Turf racing now on Dirt today; Toss
#1- Seems like this horse is showing a pattern with a win then poor start so if that rings true then this start won't be good then? Has been off since October and ships in from Japan but getting a top jockey in Moreira can help this ones chances; In for 3rd and 4th slots
Top 4 picks
This one is tough as there is a lot of talented horses in here and would hate to not back Emblem Road in here but unfortunately I have chosen
Lagertha Rhyme hoping the same vibes are there like last year as this one has sharp efforts and also patterns like what ER showed last year so here is hoping we can do it again this year at a big price! ; I do have
Emblem Road for 2nd as this horse can make a bold move turning for home and would not be surprised if this horse wins again; 3rd choice and 4th choices are
Country Grammer and and
Taiba
Good luck to everyone playing this race going to be a good one!