Del Mar Late Pick 4 .50 cent - Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com

Bluesthestandard · 08-20-2010, 01:07 PM

RACING NOTES

R5)The 8 trainers in Race 5 are a combined total of 3 turf sprint wins at Del Mar since 2007, and 6 of them haven’t won any. Rafael Bejarano won 4 of the first 8 turf dashes so far

R6)Races 6 and 8 are maiden claimers at 5-1/2. Speed has won 9 of the first 13 races at the meet for this class/distance

R7)Can La Nez handle turf and route?? Sprinters for this class/distance are 6/61 since 07'. And***trainer Eric Kruljac’s 15 wins at Del Mar since 2007 don’t include a single score on turf. I'll watch one first. Joel Rosario already has 4 turf mile wins this meet. Check out Warren’s Jitterbug running lines

Bluesthestandard · 08-20-2010, 01:53 PM

Race 5
HORSE CHANGE POSTED
# 1 Unico Lider (ARG) Scratched - Veterinarian 10:11 AM
# 4 Unionize Scratched - Stewards 10:11 AM
#10 Get Funky Jockey - Martin Garcia changed to Joel Rosario 10:11 AM
#11 Sea of Pleasure Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:11 AM
#12 Majestic Diamond (NZ) Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:11 AM
#13 Easy On The Eye (AUS) Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:11 AM
Race 6
HORSE CHANGE POSTED
# 2 Hostile Waters Scratched - Veterinarian 10:12 AM
Race 7
HORSE CHANGE POSTED
# 7 La Nez Scratched - Veterinarian 10:12 AM

NEW PICK 4

-------------$72.00

positive4th · 08-20-2010, 03:17 PM

Hopefully the 1st 4 races are allowed in this section, too :-)

I'm just going to use this as a live follow-along thread for the afternoon, good luck to everyone tackling Del Mar today!!

Race 1 - - I'm siding with the

Moonshine Alice here. Sadler/Rosario is always a decent proposition, but the real angle here for me is the sharp drop in class, coupled with the ship-in from Churchill. This horse faced better in KY and FL, and before her last lay-off, she faced MUCH better and showed up admirably at Santa Anita (along with an odd ship to Aqueduct for an overnight stakes.) I think she's shown her best at this distance on this surface, and the later we get into this meet, the more I'm digging first-time DMR starters like this one. Taking her to Win and in rolling doubles.

positive4th · 08-20-2010, 03:31 PM

Race 2 - - 2yo Fillies, and this is a contentious one, but I'm taking the

Missilette over a pretty wide-open field. This race could be a 6-horse wall in the end, and really no one would be a surprise - - being such a big proponent of class I'd normally side with the

in this spot, but I love the recent work, the comeback off of a win, adding a furlong for a horse that finished STRONG at 5.5f on this track last time out. Win and KH in rolling doubles for Missilette.

positive4th · 08-20-2010, 04:48 PM

Race 3 - - This race is why I won't be playing the P6 today. That being said, I LOVE the

Steve's Blue Sky in this spot. Look, its MSW, so we're not talking about world-beaters here, and the ones with experience (

and

) have shown promise on turf, not plastic.

The

on the other hand is a sharply-worked Sky Mesa firster who I think will not only fire for Neil French in this spot, but kick-start a BIG day for P-Val as well. Betting him to Win and in rolling doubles.

bks · 08-20-2010, 05:12 PM

Interesting find in the 3rd, positive. Love the workouts, love Sky Mesa as a win-early sire, yet French is 0-25 with firsters.*

positive4th · 08-20-2010, 05:16 PM

R4 - - Remember when I said big day for P-Val? I'm taking him again, this time up on the

Good Friday Gal.

I like the aggressive turn around here to the same level, same distance, same surface where she finished 2nd 2 weeks ago. You could argue for the

Indiara and I wouldn't disagree, but I like the pattern here and will stick to

to win and in rolling doubles.

redeye007 · 08-20-2010, 05:17 PM

pick 4

race 5

race 6

race 7

race 8

positive4th · 08-20-2010, 05:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by redeye007

pick 4

race 5

race 6

race 7

race 8

BOL

positive4th · 08-20-2010, 05:32 PM

Also going to take the Race #3 Pick 3 and cold punch it

In case my touting of Patrick Valenzuela's monster day turns out to be correct.

positive4th · 08-20-2010, 05:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bks

Interesting find in the 3rd, positive. Love the workouts, love Sky Mesa as a win-early sire, yet French is 0-25 with firsters.*

I'll happily concede if he loses, and he might, but I think of those 3 factors,

1) Sharp works
2) Sky Mesa as a win-early, and
3) French 0% firsters,

Number 3 is easily the one that has the least to do with THIS horse. Nevertheless, your point is well taken, and I'm standing by the

positive4th · 08-20-2010, 06:22 PM

OK, now for the actual LATE P4:

Main Ticket ($1 Base)

Main ticket is $18

Back-up #1 (.50 Base)

$27

Back-up #2 (.50 Base)

$36

Total Investment = $81

canleakid · 08-20-2010, 06:22 PM

LATE P-4
OK AFTER BIG WIN

@ SARATOGA, HIT THE LATE P-4 FOR $73.75

I WILL LET IT RIDE @ DEL MAR:

9-6-7-10 // 6-7-1-9 // 2-6-4 // 5-11-9 =$72.00

GOOD LUCK TO ALL

positive4th · 08-20-2010, 06:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by positive4th

Hopefully the 1st 4 races are allowed in this section, too :-)

I'm just going to use this as a live follow-along thread for the afternoon, good luck to everyone tackling Del Mar today!!

Race 1 - - I'm siding with the

Moonshine Alice here. Sadler/Rosario is always a decent proposition, but the real angle here for me is the sharp drop in class, coupled with the ship-in from Churchill. This horse faced better in KY and FL, and before her last lay-off, she faced MUCH better and showed up admirably at Santa Anita (along with an odd ship to Aqueduct for an overnight stakes.) I think she's shown her best at this distance on this surface, and the later we get into this meet, the more I'm digging first-time DMR starters like this one. Taking her to Win and in rolling doubles.

no dice.........tackled by the

and steam rolled........on to the 2nd

Bluesthestandard · 08-20-2010, 06:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by positive4th

Race 2 - - 2yo Fillies, and this is a contentious one, but I'm taking the

Missilette over a pretty wide-open field. This race could be a 6-horse wall in the end, and really no one would be a surprise - - being such a big proponent of class I'd normally side with the

in this spot, but I love the recent work, the comeback off of a win, adding a furlong for a horse that finished STRONG at 5.5f on this track last time out. Win and KH in rolling doubles for Missilette.

The disappointing effort by heavily favored Cathy’s Crunches is a strike against

Alaska Miss,

Miss Nikki C and

Michailasheartlite.