*Handicapping Methods-Spot Play Testing-Software Etc

[NorCalGreg]

We do have an E-1 play today--

4TH PRINCESS SARIAH 20-1



---------------------------------------------------------------------


....and the rest of my selections:

BEL
1ST RUDY'S BOY 15-1
2ND DESIREE CLARY 6-1
7TH PRINCESS SARIAH 20-1
BTP
4TH M DEE 5-1
6TH RED RIVER TOCCET 4-1
CBY
3RD ETON RIDGE 8-1
GGF
7TH SECRET AGENT GIRL 10-1
PEN
6TH MC HOTTIE 5-1
SAX
1ST BUY ME A BOND 10-1

[NorCalGreg]

These are horses that were ranked #1 by a the same method I made my picks, but didn't qualify as "plays". Interesting they're all 12-1:

APX
6TH HIGH DIVER
8TH FRANCOIS
CBY
2ND STORM SHELTER
GPX
5TH RED AGUIA

[NorCalGreg]

RESULTS OF MY 10,000 RACE TEST
OKAY....maybe 1,000 race test

BEL
1ST RUDY'S BOY 15-1 xxx
2ND DESIREE CLARY 6-1 xxscratched
7TH PRINCESS SARIAH 20-1xxx
BTP
4TH M DEE 5-1 $4.00
6TH RED RIVER TOCCET 4-1 xxx
CBY
3RD ETON RIDGE 8-1 xxscratched
GGF
7TH SECRET AGENT GIRL 10-1 $14.40
PEN
6TH MC HOTTIE 5-1 $4.80
SAX
1ST BUY ME A BOND 10-1xxx

3 FOR 7 RETURNED $23.20


*wonder why--when you resize a pic, and make it smaller..the pixels increase? Just one of them unanswerable mysteries of life

[NorCalGreg]

CHELIOS is entered on May 27, 2017 at PARX RACING.

Your comments for this horse were: "4/23 trainer moves--watch next"


Race: 6 - 3:10 PM 12-1 ML

[mikesal57]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

CHELIOS is entered on May 27, 2017 at PARX RACING.

Your comments for this horse were: "4/23 trainer moves--watch next"


Race: 6 - 3:10 PM 12-1 ML

Worth a bet....like the 5 with him too

good luck

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by mikesal57

Worth a bet....like the 5 with him too

good luck

Right on, mikie

My site was down yesterday...they were talking about "we'll try to get it up and running in 48 hours" That was NOT going to happen--especially since it was their problem. My site regs expires 5/26---2018! They had it as 2017. It was back up in a few hours.

If you tried to buy a program and couldn't--I apologize.

If you didn't try to buy a program--WHY NOT???

I gots to get some money coming in--everytime I turn around people have their hand out---my wife thinks I actually make money on this..hahaha. It's just about time to renew my advertising, my programmer will be expecting his renumeration soon...I need a new website, etc.

This is another thing I'm looking at right now---it's EVD today. Most of the picks are 3-1 or less..and the star means a best bet.

...if they win--if not, they won't be best bets I guess.

[NorCalGreg]

Sorry--the above says "SANTA ANITA" but it's EVD. I have the SA pick-9 all Ability free on the website.

Didn't have a lot of time to spend on these--let's hope for the best

BEL
2ND HIGH FREQUENCY 6-1
3RD RUSSIAN GREEK 6-1
5TH CAUSE FOR SURPRISE 2-1
6TH PARTY MINT STAR 3-1
7TH REMARQUED 12-1

PRX
6TH CHELIOS 12-1

SAX
2ND PARCHED 20-1
4TH PLACIDO 8-1
6TH BOY HOWDY 8-1

[green80]

[/QUOTE]

which program is that printout from?

[NorCalGreg]

From yesterday:

BEL
2ND HIGH FREQUENCY 6-1
3RD RUSSIAN GREEK 6-1 xxscratched
5TH CAUSE FOR SURPRISE 2-1 xxscratched
6TH PARTY MINT STAR 3-1
7TH REMARQUED 12-1

PRX
6TH CHELIOS 12-1

SAX
2ND PARCHED 20-1 xxscratched
4TH PLACIDO 8-1
6TH BOY HOWDY 8-1

0 FOR 6. I was 6 units up---now I'm like...NO units up.

A pro player would be up at least 12 units by now---good thing I'm not a pro

I'm a SEMI-PRO....that means I win once in a while

[NorCalGreg]

One E-1 Belmont play ⬆⬆

[NorCalGreg]

In attempting to measure speed and pace in different ways, I add and subtract different elements---basically to see what happens.

My latest "speed" combines a pace element I'm positive someone has tried before. Here is the "formula":

Add together

-Last E-1
-Bris best SR of last-2
-Add any Bris early pace shape rating (plus.. or if minus deduct)
-Add Quirin points
-Must have raced within 30 days or no rating.

This is the top ten for the entire Belmont card today. BUSTIN IT looks crazy fast--but the next two after the 3rd race are interesting...both the 12F 7th. Speed is almost always overlooked in long routes, and this one is no different. The favorite is the horse with the powerful late kick--what a surprise.

I think these two both have a chance---looking at everything in total--probably TURCO BRAVO would be my top choice. I'll put $10W on Turco...$6W on Alter Boy...and box em up for $2--giving me $20 wagered.

ALTER BOY 15-1
TURCO BRAVO 8-1

This isn't a make-or-break race...just thought it would be interesting to see how they do in this marathon race.

[NorCalGreg]

The above (2 posts up)...E-1 play is from Belterra NOT Belmont

🤠🔫

[NorCalGreg]

I had TREESHAKER on my watch list---but never got an e-mail. Could that be an omen?

BEL
1ST TREE SHAKER 20-1
4TH BIGBOLDBOK 15-1
7TH TURCO BRAVO 8-1
7TH ALTER BOY 15-1
GGF
7TH TWO UNDER 8-1
EMD
2ND INDIAN POWER 6-1
CDX
4TH RICH DADDY 4-1
SAX
7TH CHARISMATIC 8-1
LSX
5TH SPEIGHTSTASTIC 4-1
WOX
9TH GWENDOLINE H 6-1
10TH PRINCESS NIIGON 4-1

[NorCalGreg]

My picks from my new program---what I have done so far---pretty much blows larely.

So..in the interest of science---and my bankroll--I have gone back to my trusty PLATINUM program for a brand new play.

I'll put this up on the website...but will explain this simple method here. I think you'll like this as much as either variation of "E-1" method.

Start out the same way....click the 2.5L button....then click the E-2 ON THE SCREEN (not the button on the interface)

With those horses....look for 300+ POWER...100+ E-2...and 300+ ABILITY

Very easy after a couple cards--I'll show 2 coming up:

This was from Woodbine:

[NorCalGreg]

The next example--just to be sure you have it down...is from GPX.

I was playing all odds---just to get a feel for how often it wins--and got a surprise when a 9/5 ML favorite was the only selection. They don't know this method @ GPX....because that ML favorite paid an amazing $12.60.

Here it is...and again it will be on the website: