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Old 05-27-2019, 10:31 PM   #16
TheOracle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
Here are today's Morning Line 5er's at Belmont before scratches

Code:
1	05-27-2019	4th race	2	Newly Minted (NY)	Stakes	Seven Furlongs	L Rice		8/5#	Dirt
2	05-27-2019	4th race	7	Espresso Shot (NY)	Stakes	Seven Furlongs	J R Abreu	9/5#	Dirt
3	05-27-2019	7th race	3	Still There (NY)	Stakes	One Mile	D Kobiskie	7/5#	Dirt
4	05-27-2019	7th race	4	Kathryn the Wise (NY)	Stakes	One Mile	C C Brown	8/5#	Dirt
5	05-27-2019	8th race	3	Offering Plan (NY)	Stakes	One Mile	C C Brown	6/5#	Turf
Looks like more carnage again for the 5ers today

Let's focus on Rice

Code:
pick05-27-20191	05-27-2019	4th race	2	Newly Minted (NY)	Stakes	Seven Furlongs	L Rice		8/5#	Dirt
Let's see if Rice can get this one to the winners circle today at Belmont!!!
There wasn't as much carnage as I expected from the 5er's today at Belmont they managed to win 2 races and you got a huge 0.10 profit playing them to win

Let's see if the 5er's go back to their winning ways on Friday especially the 8/5's

Code:
1	05-27-2019	4th race	2	Newly Minted (NY)	Stakes	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	L Rice		8/5#	W	3.8	3.0	2.5
2	05-27-2019	4th race	7	Espresso Shot (NY)	Stakes	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	J R Abreu	9/5#				
3	05-27-2019	7th race	3	Still There (NY)	Stakes	Dirt Fast	1 M	D Kobiskie	7/5#				
4	05-27-2019	7th race	4	Kathryn the Wise (NY)	Stakes	Dirt Fast	1 M	C C Brown	8/5#	W	6.3	3.7	2.5
5	05-27-2019	8th race	3	Offering Plan (NY)	Stakes	Turf Good	1 M	C C Brown	6/5#	S			2.1

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
-5	5	2	0	1	40%	$10.1	$10	$0.1	1%			
			
					WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
					60%	$23.9	$30	$-6.1	-21%	7.1
Rice did come through for us today with #2 Newly Minted paying $9.30 across the board!!!

Code:
res05-27-20191	05-27-2019	4th race	2	Newly Minted (NY)	Stakes	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	L Rice	8/5#	W	3.8	3.0	2.5
Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 05-27-2019 at 10:34 PM.
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Old 05-27-2019, 11:11 PM   #17
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The Morning Line 8/5's started out having a rough weekend at Belmont but came back strong today with 3 wins!!!

Code:
1	05-24-2019	1st race	7	Blacktop Legend (VA)	Mdn Clm	Turf Good	6 Furl	J Thomas	8/5#	S			2.3
2	05-24-2019	3rd race	6	Inclunation (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 1/16M	R R Rodriguez	8/5#	P		2.9	2.1
3	05-24-2019	4th race	8	Stock Trade (KY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16M	W I Mott	8/5#	P		2.5	2.1
4	05-24-2019	5th race	2	Lucky Bet (NY)		Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 1/16M	J K Sweezey	8/5#	W	4.7	2.7	2.3
5	05-24-2019	9th race	4	Pretty Spectacular (NY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	A Maymo		8/5#				
6	05-25-2019	9th race	2	Fog of War (KY)		Stakes	Turf Firm	7 Furl	C C Brown	8/5#				
7	05-26-2019	6th race	6	Minsky Moment (NY)	Alw Op CDirt Fast	1 1/16M	C C Brown	8/5#				
8	05-26-2019	8th race	3	Prompt (KY)		Alw Op CDirt Fast	1 1/8 M	W I Mott	8/5#	W	4.2	3.0	2.1
9	05-27-2019	4th race	2	Newly Minted (NY)	Stakes	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	L Rice		8/5#	W	3.8	3.0	2.5
10	05-27-2019	7th race	4	Kathryn the Wise (NY)	Stakes	Dirt Fast	1 M	C C Brown	8/5#	W	6.3	3.7	2.5

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
8-5	10	4	2	1	40%	$19	$20	$-1	-5%			
			
					WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
					70%	$52.7	$60	$-7.3	-13%	15.9
Let's keep an eye on the Morning Line 8/5's coming off a loss at Belmont
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Old 05-30-2019, 02:56 PM   #18
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The Morning Line 5er's have been having moderate success on a wet Surface on the Dirt so far this year at Belmont you are getting 24% per $2 win wager!!!

Code:
Horse_Cents_Blog

1	04-26-2019	1st race	5	Professor Snape (KY)	Clm	Dirt Muddy	6 Furl	R R Rodriguez	8/5#	W	5.4	2.6	2.2
2	04-26-2019	4th race	11	Homemade (NY)		Mdn Clm	Dirt Sloppy	1 1/16 ML Rice		8/5#	W	3.7	2.5	2.1
3	04-26-2019	5th race	8	Avalina (KY)		Alw Op CDirt Sloppy	7 Furl	D Gargan	7/5#	W	3.5	2.7	2.4
4	04-26-2019	6th race	9	Morelikelythannot (KY)	Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	1 1/4 M	C C Brown	8/5#				
5	04-26-2019	6th race	10	Safta (KY)		Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	1 1/4 M	D Magner	4/5#	P		2.6	2.1
6	04-26-2019	7th race	4	Mizzen Max (NY)		Alw	Dirt Sloppy	6.5 FurlM Nevin		8/5#				
7	04-27-2019	1st race	6	Candid Desire (NY)	Clm	Dirt Good	6 Furl	C F Martin	6/5#				
8	05-04-2019	1st race	5	Special Story (NY)	Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6 Furl	G DiPrima	7/5#	W	5.4	2.7	2.1
9	05-04-2019	2nd race	16	I Saw It All (NY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6 Furl	G C Contessa	9/5#	W	8.9	4.7	4.5
10	05-04-2019	3rd race	6	Mo Soul (CA)		Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6 Furl	R Atras		9/5#	W	3.7	2.7	2.2
11	05-04-2019	6th race	7	Mr. Dougie Fresh (KY)	Alw Op CDirt Sloppy	6.5 FurlJ Servis	4/5#	W	2.9	2.4	2.1
12	05-04-2019	8th race	8	Invest (NY)		Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	6 Furl	L Rice		9/5#	W	2.6	3.1	2.2
13	05-04-2019	11th race	8	Prince Lucky (PA)	Stakes	Dirt Sloppy	1 M	T A Pletcher	4/5#				
14	05-05-2019	1st race	3	Call Me (KY)		Clm	Dirt Sloppy	1 1/16 MM Kantarmaci	8/5#	W	7.3	3.6	2.6
15	05-05-2019	3rd race	3	Trouble for Skylar (NY)	Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6 Furl	D Gargan	6/5#	S			2.7
16	05-05-2019	4th race	14	Princess Pinky (NY)	Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	1 M	M Nevin		9/5#				
17	05-05-2019	8th race	5	Come Dancing (KY)	Stakes	Dirt Sloppy	1 M	C F Martin	2/5#	W	2.6	2.2	2.1
18	05-12-2019	2nd race	5	Jemography (NY)		Mdn Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6.5 FurlJ Sharp		7/5#	P		3.1	2.6
19	05-12-2019	4th race	2	Lion Dance (KY)		Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	6 Furl	J A Jerkens	8/5#	P		3.4	2.4
20	05-12-2019	5th race	5	Rally Cap (NY)		Clm	Dirt Sloppy	7 Furl	R Handal	9/5#	W	5.0	4.1	2.8
21	05-12-2019	6th race	14	Shamrock Kid (NY)	Clm	Dirt Sloppy	1 M	B H Cox		8/5#	W	3.9	2.8	2.4
22	05-12-2019	6th race	15	Tiz No Bluff (KY)	Clm	Dirt Sloppy	1 M	M Nevin		9/5#	S			3.0
23	05-12-2019	7th race	1	Bluegrass Jamboree (NY)	Alw Op CDirt Sloppy	6 Furl	C Baker		8/5#	P		2.8	2.3
24	05-12-2019	8th race	4	Much Better (KY)	Stakes	Dirt Sloppy	6 Furl	B Baffert	4/5#				
25	05-12-2019	9th race	16	Red Zinger (NY)		Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	1 M	G C Contessa	6/5#	W	4.6	3.2	2.7
26	05-23-2019	3rd race	6	Queen Kahen (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Good	6 Furl	R R Rodriguez	7/5#	W	3.4	2.6	2.1
27	05-23-2019	5th race	8	Zipman (KY)		Mdn Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6.5 FurlR Atras		9/5#	P		2.5	2.1
28	05-23-2019	8th race	1	Preservationist (KY)	Alw Op CDirt Sloppy	1 1/16 MJ A Jerkens	8/5#	W	7.0	3.2	2.4

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
-5	28	15	5	2	53.5%	$69.9	$56	$13.9	24%	
					
					WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
					78.5%	$183.5	$168	$15.5	9%	54.1
Let's focus on these

Code:
pick05-30-20192	05-30-2019	1st race	2	Moondance Joy (NY)	Claiming	Six And One Half Furlongs	E R Barker	7/5#	Dirt

pick05-30-20196	05-30-2019	7th race	6	Safta (KY)	Maiden Special Weight	One And One Sixteenth Miles	D Magner	7/5#	Dirt

pick05-30-20197	05-30-2019	8th race	4	Elios Milos (NY)	Allowance	Six Furlongs	J R Abreu	8/5#	Dirt
Let's see if at least 2 of these can get to the winners circle today at Belmont as the track is listed as good!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 05-30-2019 at 03:05 PM.
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Old 05-30-2019, 10:53 PM   #19
TheOracle
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Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
The Morning Line 5er's have been having moderate success on a wet Surface on the Dirt so far this year at Belmont you are getting 24% per $2 win wager!!!

Code:
Horse_Cents_Blog

1	04-26-2019	1st race	5	Professor Snape (KY)	Clm	Dirt Muddy	6 Furl	R R Rodriguez	8/5#	W	5.4	2.6	2.2
2	04-26-2019	4th race	11	Homemade (NY)		Mdn Clm	Dirt Sloppy	1 1/16 ML Rice		8/5#	W	3.7	2.5	2.1
3	04-26-2019	5th race	8	Avalina (KY)		Alw Op CDirt Sloppy	7 Furl	D Gargan	7/5#	W	3.5	2.7	2.4
4	04-26-2019	6th race	9	Morelikelythannot (KY)	Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	1 1/4 M	C C Brown	8/5#				
5	04-26-2019	6th race	10	Safta (KY)		Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	1 1/4 M	D Magner	4/5#	P		2.6	2.1
6	04-26-2019	7th race	4	Mizzen Max (NY)		Alw	Dirt Sloppy	6.5 FurlM Nevin		8/5#				
7	04-27-2019	1st race	6	Candid Desire (NY)	Clm	Dirt Good	6 Furl	C F Martin	6/5#				
8	05-04-2019	1st race	5	Special Story (NY)	Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6 Furl	G DiPrima	7/5#	W	5.4	2.7	2.1
9	05-04-2019	2nd race	16	I Saw It All (NY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6 Furl	G C Contessa	9/5#	W	8.9	4.7	4.5
10	05-04-2019	3rd race	6	Mo Soul (CA)		Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6 Furl	R Atras		9/5#	W	3.7	2.7	2.2
11	05-04-2019	6th race	7	Mr. Dougie Fresh (KY)	Alw Op CDirt Sloppy	6.5 FurlJ Servis	4/5#	W	2.9	2.4	2.1
12	05-04-2019	8th race	8	Invest (NY)		Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	6 Furl	L Rice		9/5#	W	2.6	3.1	2.2
13	05-04-2019	11th race	8	Prince Lucky (PA)	Stakes	Dirt Sloppy	1 M	T A Pletcher	4/5#				
14	05-05-2019	1st race	3	Call Me (KY)		Clm	Dirt Sloppy	1 1/16 MM Kantarmaci	8/5#	W	7.3	3.6	2.6
15	05-05-2019	3rd race	3	Trouble for Skylar (NY)	Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6 Furl	D Gargan	6/5#	S			2.7
16	05-05-2019	4th race	14	Princess Pinky (NY)	Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	1 M	M Nevin		9/5#				
17	05-05-2019	8th race	5	Come Dancing (KY)	Stakes	Dirt Sloppy	1 M	C F Martin	2/5#	W	2.6	2.2	2.1
18	05-12-2019	2nd race	5	Jemography (NY)		Mdn Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6.5 FurlJ Sharp		7/5#	P		3.1	2.6
19	05-12-2019	4th race	2	Lion Dance (KY)		Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	6 Furl	J A Jerkens	8/5#	P		3.4	2.4
20	05-12-2019	5th race	5	Rally Cap (NY)		Clm	Dirt Sloppy	7 Furl	R Handal	9/5#	W	5.0	4.1	2.8
21	05-12-2019	6th race	14	Shamrock Kid (NY)	Clm	Dirt Sloppy	1 M	B H Cox		8/5#	W	3.9	2.8	2.4
22	05-12-2019	6th race	15	Tiz No Bluff (KY)	Clm	Dirt Sloppy	1 M	M Nevin		9/5#	S			3.0
23	05-12-2019	7th race	1	Bluegrass Jamboree (NY)	Alw Op CDirt Sloppy	6 Furl	C Baker		8/5#	P		2.8	2.3
24	05-12-2019	8th race	4	Much Better (KY)	Stakes	Dirt Sloppy	6 Furl	B Baffert	4/5#				
25	05-12-2019	9th race	16	Red Zinger (NY)		Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	1 M	G C Contessa	6/5#	W	4.6	3.2	2.7
26	05-23-2019	3rd race	6	Queen Kahen (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Good	6 Furl	R R Rodriguez	7/5#	W	3.4	2.6	2.1
27	05-23-2019	5th race	8	Zipman (KY)		Mdn Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6.5 FurlR Atras		9/5#	P		2.5	2.1
28	05-23-2019	8th race	1	Preservationist (KY)	Alw Op CDirt Sloppy	1 1/16 MJ A Jerkens	8/5#	W	7.0	3.2	2.4

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
-5	28	15	5	2	53.5%	$69.9	$56	$13.9	24%	
					
					WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
					78.5%	$183.5	$168	$15.5	9%	54.1
Let's focus on these

Code:
pick05-30-20192	05-30-2019	1st race	2	Moondance Joy (NY)	Claiming	Six And One Half Furlongs	E R Barker	7/5#	Dirt

pick05-30-20196	05-30-2019	7th race	6	Safta (KY)	Maiden Special Weight	One And One Sixteenth Miles	D Magner	7/5#	Dirt

pick05-30-20197	05-30-2019	8th race	4	Elios Milos (NY)	Allowance	Six Furlongs	J R Abreu	8/5#	Dirt
Let's see if at least 2 of these can get to the winners circle today at Belmont as the track is listed as good!!!
The 5er’s got us to split a pair today as #6 Safta came through with a win paying $10.10 across the board. Not too shabby for a 7/5 Morning Line Favorite. I thought #2 Moondance Joy was going to win but got the place spot as the 7-5 Morning Line Favorite

Code:
res05-30-20191	2019-05-30	1st race	2	Moondance Joy (NY)	Claiming	Six And One Half Furlongs	E R Barker	7/5#	Dirt Good	0.0	2.3	2.1

res05-30-20195	2019-05-30	7th race	6	Safta (KY)	Maiden Special Weight	One And One Sixteenth Miles	D Magner	7/5#	Dirt Sloppy	4.8	3.0	2.3
#4 Elios Milos was scratched in the 8th race today at Belmont

Congratulations to those who saw the #6 Safta play and were able to make a profit!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 05-30-2019 at 10:57 PM.
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Old 06-21-2019, 07:49 AM   #20
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Since this post the Morning Line 5er's have not been as successful on a wet Surface on the Dirt at Belmont as they were in the beginning of May

Code:
1	05-30-2019	1st race	2	Moondance Joy (NY)	Clm	Dirt Good	6.5 Furl	E R Barker	7/5#	P		2.3	2.1
2	05-30-2019	2nd race	2	Big Engine (NY)		Clm	Dirt Good	6 Furl		J Servis	8/5#	S			2.4
3	05-30-2019	3rd race	3	Dunbar Road (KY)	Alw	Dirt Good	1 1/16 M	C C Brown	3/5#	W	2.7	2.1	2.1
4	05-30-2019	4th race	2	Love Me Tomorrow (NY)	Mdn SpclDirt Good	5 Furl		W A Ward	9/5#	S			2.3
5	05-30-2019	7th race	6	Safta (KY)		Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	1 1/16 M	D Magner	7/5#	W	4.8	3.0	2.3
6	06-13-2019	1st race	1	Air On Fire (KY)	Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6.5 Furl	J Servis	3/5#	W	2.7	2.1	
7	06-13-2019	1st race	1A	Bourbon Did It (NY)	Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6.5 Furl	J C Englehart	3/5#				
8	06-13-2019	2nd race	1	Lough Na Mona (NY)	Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	1 M		C Clement	9/5#				
9	06-13-2019	3rd race	2	Mo Soul (CA)		Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6 Furl		R Atras		7/5#				
10	06-13-2019	5th race	4	Sharpin (KY)		Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6.5 Furl	M Stidham	7/5#	P		2.3	2.1
11	06-13-2019	6th race	3	Aris Naughty Luca (FL)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Sloppy	1 1/16 M	L Rice		7/5#	P		2.8	2.1
12	06-13-2019	8th race	1	Carrera Cat (NY)	Alw	Dirt Sloppy	6.5 Furl	J Morrison	6/5#	W	5.8	3.1	2.2
13	06-19-2019	1st race	2	Big Bennys Tribute (KY)	Clm	Dirt Good	5.5 Furl	R R Rodriguez	7/5#	P		2.4	2.1
14	06-19-2019	3rd race	6	Tiz R Bella (NY)	Clm	Dirt Good	6 Furl		H J Bond	8/5#	W	5.1	2.9	2.1
15	06-19-2019	4th race	7	Aris Naughty Luca (FL)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Good	1 M		L Rice		4/5#	W	2.8	2.2	2.1
16	06-19-2019	8th race	3	Proven Reserves (KY)	Alw Op CDirt Good	1 1/16 M	C C Brown	4/5#				
17	06-20-2019	1st race	4	Playthatfunnymusic (NY)	Clm	Dirt Muddy	1 M		G P Gullo	7/5#	P		3.9	2.7
18	06-20-2019	3rd race	5	Meet Me in L A (KY)	Mdn SpclDirt Muddy	1 M		J A Jerkens	6/5#	W	3.3	2.3	2.1
19	06-20-2019	6th race	7	Ratajkowski (NY)	Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	6 Furl		B A Lynch	6/5#	W	2.9	2.3	2.2

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
-5	19	8	5	2	42.1%	$30.1	$38	$-7.9	-21%
						
						WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
						78.9%	$94.7	$114	$-19.3	-17%	30.9

Interesting that, out of 19 races since May 30th, 5er's were involved in 9 Claiming races or 47%. However, last month and towards the end of April out of 28 races they were involved in 9 Claiming races out of 28 total races or 32%

Let's see what these do today

Code:
1	06-21-2019	1st race	1	Incredible Miss (KY)	Maiden Claiming			One Mile	T A Pletcher	4/5#	Dirt
2	06-21-2019	3rd race	1	Canarsie Kid (NY)	Allowance			Six Furlongs	M Miceli	8/5#	Turf
3	06-21-2019	4th race	3	Eagle Pass (KY)		Claiming			One Mile	D P Duggan	6/5#	Dirt
4	06-21-2019	6th race	3	Mutakatif (IRE)		Allowance Optional Claiming	Six Furlongs	C C Brown	7/5#	Turf
5	06-21-2019	8th race	1	Out of Orbit (NY) (MTO)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Six Furlongs	P M Serpe	8/5#	Turf
6	06-21-2019	8th race	1A	No Deal (NY) (MTO)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Six Furlongs	P M Serpe	8/5#	Turf


Let's focus on the entry in the 8th race with Serpe
Code:
pick06-21-20191	06-21-2019	8th race	1	Out of Orbit (NY) (MTO)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Six Furlongs	P M Serpe	8/5#	Turf
pick06-21-20191	06-21-2019	8th race	1A	No Deal (NY) (MTO)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Six Furlongs	P M Serpe	8/5#	Turf
Let's see if Serpe can get one of these to the winners circle today at Belmont if off the Turf and the Surface is wet
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Old 06-21-2019, 11:35 PM   #21
TheOracle
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Join Date: Oct 2014
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
Since this post the Morning Line 5er's have not been as successful on a wet Surface on the Dirt at Belmont as they were in the beginning of May

Code:
1	05-30-2019	1st race	2	Moondance Joy (NY)	Clm	Dirt Good	6.5 Furl	E R Barker	7/5#	P		2.3	2.1
2	05-30-2019	2nd race	2	Big Engine (NY)		Clm	Dirt Good	6 Furl		J Servis	8/5#	S			2.4
3	05-30-2019	3rd race	3	Dunbar Road (KY)	Alw	Dirt Good	1 1/16 M	C C Brown	3/5#	W	2.7	2.1	2.1
4	05-30-2019	4th race	2	Love Me Tomorrow (NY)	Mdn SpclDirt Good	5 Furl		W A Ward	9/5#	S			2.3
5	05-30-2019	7th race	6	Safta (KY)		Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	1 1/16 M	D Magner	7/5#	W	4.8	3.0	2.3
6	06-13-2019	1st race	1	Air On Fire (KY)	Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6.5 Furl	J Servis	3/5#	W	2.7	2.1	
7	06-13-2019	1st race	1A	Bourbon Did It (NY)	Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6.5 Furl	J C Englehart	3/5#				
8	06-13-2019	2nd race	1	Lough Na Mona (NY)	Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	1 M		C Clement	9/5#				
9	06-13-2019	3rd race	2	Mo Soul (CA)		Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6 Furl		R Atras		7/5#				
10	06-13-2019	5th race	4	Sharpin (KY)		Clm	Dirt Sloppy	6.5 Furl	M Stidham	7/5#	P		2.3	2.1
11	06-13-2019	6th race	3	Aris Naughty Luca (FL)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Sloppy	1 1/16 M	L Rice		7/5#	P		2.8	2.1
12	06-13-2019	8th race	1	Carrera Cat (NY)	Alw	Dirt Sloppy	6.5 Furl	J Morrison	6/5#	W	5.8	3.1	2.2
13	06-19-2019	1st race	2	Big Bennys Tribute (KY)	Clm	Dirt Good	5.5 Furl	R R Rodriguez	7/5#	P		2.4	2.1
14	06-19-2019	3rd race	6	Tiz R Bella (NY)	Clm	Dirt Good	6 Furl		H J Bond	8/5#	W	5.1	2.9	2.1
15	06-19-2019	4th race	7	Aris Naughty Luca (FL)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Good	1 M		L Rice		4/5#	W	2.8	2.2	2.1
16	06-19-2019	8th race	3	Proven Reserves (KY)	Alw Op CDirt Good	1 1/16 M	C C Brown	4/5#				
17	06-20-2019	1st race	4	Playthatfunnymusic (NY)	Clm	Dirt Muddy	1 M		G P Gullo	7/5#	P		3.9	2.7
18	06-20-2019	3rd race	5	Meet Me in L A (KY)	Mdn SpclDirt Muddy	1 M		J A Jerkens	6/5#	W	3.3	2.3	2.1
19	06-20-2019	6th race	7	Ratajkowski (NY)	Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	6 Furl		B A Lynch	6/5#	W	2.9	2.3	2.2

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
-5	19	8	5	2	42.1%	$30.1	$38	$-7.9	-21%
						
						WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
						78.9%	$94.7	$114	$-19.3	-17%	30.9

Interesting that, out of 19 races since May 30th, 5er's were involved in 9 Claiming races or 47%. However, last month and towards the end of April out of 28 races they were involved in 9 Claiming races out of 28 total races or 32%

Let's see what these do today

Code:
1	06-21-2019	1st race	1	Incredible Miss (KY)	Maiden Claiming			One Mile	T A Pletcher	4/5#	Dirt
2	06-21-2019	3rd race	1	Canarsie Kid (NY)	Allowance			Six Furlongs	M Miceli	8/5#	Turf
3	06-21-2019	4th race	3	Eagle Pass (KY)		Claiming			One Mile	D P Duggan	6/5#	Dirt
4	06-21-2019	6th race	3	Mutakatif (IRE)		Allowance Optional Claiming	Six Furlongs	C C Brown	7/5#	Turf
5	06-21-2019	8th race	1	Out of Orbit (NY) (MTO)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Six Furlongs	P M Serpe	8/5#	Turf
6	06-21-2019	8th race	1A	No Deal (NY) (MTO)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Six Furlongs	P M Serpe	8/5#	Turf


Let's focus on the entry in the 8th race with Serpe
Code:
pick06-21-20191	06-21-2019	8th race	1	Out of Orbit (NY) (MTO)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Six Furlongs	P M Serpe	8/5#	Turf
pick06-21-20191	06-21-2019	8th race	1A	No Deal (NY) (MTO)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Six Furlongs	P M Serpe	8/5#	Turf
Let's see if Serpe can get one of these to the winners circle today at Belmont if off the Turf and the Surface is wet


The Serpe entry let us down today as the 5ers had a rough time of it in the Slop at Belmont
Code:
res06-21-20191	2019-06-21	8th race	1	Out of Orbit (NY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Six Furlongs	P M Serpe	8/5#	Dirt Sloppy	0.0	0.0	0.0
res06-21-20191	2019-06-21	8th race	1A	No Deal (NY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Six Furlongs	P M Serpe	8/5#	Dirt Sloppy	0.0	2.7	2.1
#1A No Deal finished 2nd and was upset paying $4.90 across the board
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Old 06-28-2019, 10:38 AM   #22
TheOracle
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Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
The Morning Line 8/5s have had moderate success in Maiden Claiming races so far this season at Belmont on the Dirt

Code:
1	04-26-2019	4th race	11	Homemade (NY)	        Mdn Clm	Dirt Sloppy	1 1/16 ML Rice	        8/5#	W	3.7	2.5	2.1
2	04-28-2019	3rd race	1	Walkoff (KY).    	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	T A Pletcher	8/5#	W	4.9	3.0	2.7
3	05-19-2019	6th race	3	Mental Model (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 M	C C Brown	8/5#	W	6.5	3.4	2.6
4	05-24-2019	1st race	7	Blacktop Legend (VA)	Mdn Clm	Turf Good	6 Furl	J Thomas	8/5#	S			2.3
5	05-24-2019	3rd race	6	Inclunation (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 1/16 MR R Rodriguez	8/5#	P		2.9	2.1
6	05-24-2019	5th race	2	Lucky Bet (NY)	        Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 1/16 MJ K Sweezey	8/5#	W	4.7	2.7	2.3
7	05-24-2019	9th race	4	Pretty Spectacular (NY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	A Maymo	        8/5#				
8	06-16-2019	2nd race	6	Ghostly Beauty (FL)	Mdn Clm	Turf Firm	6 Furl	G Weaver	8/5#	P		2.9	2.6

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
8-5	8	4	2	1	50%	$19.8	$16	$3.8	23%	
					
                                        WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
                                        87.5%	$53.9	$48	$5.9	12%	16.7
However, recently they have lost 2 in a row

Code:
pick06-28-20193	06-28-2019	2nd race	5	Inclunation (KY)	Maiden Claiming	One Mile	R R Rodriguez	8/5#	Dirt
Let’s see if this one can get to the winners circle today at Belmont!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 06-28-2019 at 10:47 AM.
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Old 06-29-2019, 01:08 PM   #23
TheOracle
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Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
The Morning Line 8/5s have had moderate success in Maiden Claiming races so far this season at Belmont on the Dirt

Code:
1	04-26-2019	4th race	11	Homemade (NY)	        Mdn Clm	Dirt Sloppy	1 1/16 ML Rice	        8/5#	W	3.7	2.5	2.1
2	04-28-2019	3rd race	1	Walkoff (KY).    	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	T A Pletcher	8/5#	W	4.9	3.0	2.7
3	05-19-2019	6th race	3	Mental Model (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 M	C C Brown	8/5#	W	6.5	3.4	2.6
4	05-24-2019	1st race	7	Blacktop Legend (VA)	Mdn Clm	Turf Good	6 Furl	J Thomas	8/5#	S			2.3
5	05-24-2019	3rd race	6	Inclunation (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 1/16 MR R Rodriguez	8/5#	P		2.9	2.1
6	05-24-2019	5th race	2	Lucky Bet (NY)	        Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 1/16 MJ K Sweezey	8/5#	W	4.7	2.7	2.3
7	05-24-2019	9th race	4	Pretty Spectacular (NY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	A Maymo	        8/5#				
8	06-16-2019	2nd race	6	Ghostly Beauty (FL)	Mdn Clm	Turf Firm	6 Furl	G Weaver	8/5#	P		2.9	2.6

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
8-5	8	4	2	1	50%	$19.8	$16	$3.8	23%	
					
                                        WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
                                        87.5%	$53.9	$48	$5.9	12%	16.7
However, recently they have lost 2 in a row

Code:
pick06-28-20193	06-28-2019	2nd race	5	Inclunation (KY)	Maiden Claiming	One Mile	R R Rodriguez	8/5#	Dirt
Let’s see if this one can get to the winners circle today at Belmont!!!
#5 Inclunation got the win yesterday paying $8.90 across the board on the Dirt

Code:
res06-28-20191	06-28-2019	2nd race	5	Inclunation (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 M	R R Rodriguez	8/5#	W	4.1	2.7	2.1

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit

This makes 5 out of 7 wins for the 8/5s in this situation

Code:
1	04-26-2019	4th race	11	Homemade (NY)	        Mdn Clm	Dirt Sloppy	1 1/16 ML Rice	        8/5#	W	3.7	2.5	2.1
2	04-28-2019	3rd race	1	Walkoff (KY)	        Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	T A Pletcher	8/5#	W	4.9	3.0	2.7
3	05-19-2019	6th race	3	Mental Model (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 M	C C Brown	8/5#	W	6.5	3.4	2.6
4	05-24-2019	3rd race	6	Inclunation (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 1/16 MR R Rodriguez	8/5#	P		2.9	2.1
5	05-24-2019	5th race	2	Lucky Bet (NY).   	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 1/16 MJ K Sweezey	8/5#	W	4.7	2.7	2.3
6	05-24-2019	9th race	4	Pretty Spectacular (NY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	A Maymo	        8/5#				
7	06-28-2019	2nd race	5	Inclunation (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 M	R R Rodriguez	8/5#	W	4.1	2.7	2.1
ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
8-5	7	5	1	0	71.4%	$23.9	$14	$9.9	70%						
                                        WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
                                        85.7%	$55	$42	$13	30%	13.9

Jerkens has an 8/5 Maiden Claimer in the 1st race today at Belmont

Code:
pick06-29-20191	06-29-2019	1st race	2	Skywriting (KY)	Maiden Claiming	One Mile	J A Jerkens	8/5#	Dirt
Let’s see if he can get this one to the winners circle today at Belmont!!!
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Old 06-30-2019, 10:30 AM   #24
TheOracle
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Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
#5 Inclunation got the win yesterday paying $8.90 across the board on the Dirt

Code:
res06-28-20191	06-28-2019	2nd race	5	Inclunation (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 M	R R Rodriguez	8/5#	W	4.1	2.7	2.1

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit

This makes 5 out of 7 wins for the 8/5s in this situation

Code:
1	04-26-2019	4th race	11	Homemade (NY)	        Mdn Clm	Dirt Sloppy	1 1/16 ML Rice	        8/5#	W	3.7	2.5	2.1
2	04-28-2019	3rd race	1	Walkoff (KY)	        Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	T A Pletcher	8/5#	W	4.9	3.0	2.7
3	05-19-2019	6th race	3	Mental Model (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 M	C C Brown	8/5#	W	6.5	3.4	2.6
4	05-24-2019	3rd race	6	Inclunation (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 1/16 MR R Rodriguez	8/5#	P		2.9	2.1
5	05-24-2019	5th race	2	Lucky Bet (NY).   	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 1/16 MJ K Sweezey	8/5#	W	4.7	2.7	2.3
6	05-24-2019	9th race	4	Pretty Spectacular (NY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	A Maymo	        8/5#				
7	06-28-2019	2nd race	5	Inclunation (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 M	R R Rodriguez	8/5#	W	4.1	2.7	2.1
ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
8-5	7	5	1	0	71.4%	$23.9	$14	$9.9	70%						
                                        WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
                                        85.7%	$55	$42	$13	30%	13.9

Jerkens has an 8/5 Maiden Claimer in the 1st race today at Belmont

Code:
pick06-29-20191	06-29-2019	1st race	2	Skywriting (KY)	Maiden Claiming	One Mile	J A Jerkens	8/5#	Dirt
Let’s see if he can get this one to the winners circle today at Belmont!!!
Jerkens was off the board with the 8/5 Morning Line Maiden Claimer

Code:
res06-29-20191 2019-06-29	1st race	2	Skywriting (KY)	Maiden Claiming	One Mile	J A Jerkens	8/5#	Dirt Fast	0.0	0.0	0.0
This now makes 5 of their last 8 for the 8/5 Morning Line Maiden Claimers on the Dirt

Let’s see if the next one is a winner
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