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Old 06-13-2018, 09:24 AM   #61
TheOracle
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The Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 have lost 9 straight races since Sunday!!!

We issued a BUY on Sunday for the MLFs less than 3-1 in today's races based on the fact that there was only 1 winner from this group on Sunday

I suspect a slight spike upward / today with possibly 3 wins from this group



I will be focusing on the following:

1st race
#10 St. Louie

4th race
#9 Goldtown

Let's see what happens!!!
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Old 06-14-2018, 10:26 AM   #62
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Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
The Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 have lost 9 straight races since Sunday!!!

We issued a BUY on Sunday for the MLFs less than 3-1 in today's races based on the fact that there was only 1 winner from this group on Sunday

I suspect a slight spike upward / today with possibly 3 wins from this group



I will be focusing on the following:

1st race
#10 St. Louie

4th race
#9 Goldtown

Let's see what happens!!!
We were right in that there were 3 winners from this group however, we were wrong with the selections above to be included as winners for the day #10 St. Louie and #9 Goldtown were huge disappointments yesterday!!!

The Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 won 3 races yesterday at Belmont!!!



We got the upward spike but had the wrong horses

We will issue a HOLD for today's upcoming races at Belmont for MLFs less than 3-1 even though we've had 3 upward spikes whenever there have been 3 winners from this group on the previous day!!!



The Belmont Morning Line Favorites Index (MLFI) is up +2 from Sunday!!!

Two of the 3 winners from this group made up both halves of the Daily Double in races 7 and 8!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the plays and were able to make a profit!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 06-14-2018 at 10:29 AM.
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Old 06-14-2018, 12:13 PM   #63
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Although I've issued a HOLD for the Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 for today it would seem that there would be more than 3 winners since ther are so many entered even with the scratches!!!
Code:
RowNum:    Date:    Race:    PgmNum:    Horse:    RaceCond:    Distance:    Trainer:    Odds:    Surface
1    06-14-2018    1st race    2    Shes Trouble (NY)    Maiden Special Weight    Five And One Half Furlongs    L Rice    5/2#    Dirt
2    06-14-2018    1st race    3    Princess Pinky (NY)    Maiden Special Weight    Five And One Half Furlongs    M Nevin    2/1#    Dirt
3    06-14-2018    2nd race    1A    Hidden Vow (NY)    Claiming    One Mile    J Servis    8/5#    Turf
4    06-14-2018    2nd race    9    Mobridge (NY)    Claiming    One Mile    W I Mott    2/1#    Turf
5    06-14-2018    2nd race    1    Nobody Move (NY) (MTO)    Claiming    One Mile    R R Rodriguez    8/5#    Turf
6    06-14-2018    3rd race    6    La Piu Bella (KY)    Claiming    One And One Sixteenth Miles    L Rice    9/5#    Turf
7    06-14-2018    3rd race    2    Giant Boxer (NY) (MTO)    Claiming    One And One Sixteenth Miles    R R Rodriguez    5/2#    Turf
8    06-14-2018    4th race    3    Pirates Treasure (NY)    Claiming    Seven Furlongs    J A Jerkens    7/5#    Dirt
9    06-14-2018    4th race    4    Truly a Moon Shot (KY)    Claiming    Seven Furlongs    R R Rodriguez    5/2#    Dirt
10    06-14-2018    6th race    1    In Denile (NY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    J C Kimmel    2/1#    Dirt
11    06-14-2018    6th race    1A    Out of Orbit (NY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    P M Serpe    2/1#    Dirt
12    06-14-2018    6th race    4    Missbigtimes (NY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    J C Englehart    5/2#    Dirt
13    06-14-2018    7th race    6    A True Giant (NY)    Allowance    Six Furlongs    R R Rodriguez    8/5#    Dirt
14    06-14-2018    8th race    8    Silver Shaker (KY)    Allowance    One And One Sixteenth Miles    C C Brown    2/1#    Turf
15    06-14-2018    8th race    1    Frostie Anne (NY) (MTO)    Allowance    One And One Sixteenth Miles    R R Rodriguez    2/5#    Turf
16    06-14-2018    9th race    8    Hidden Bamboo (KY)    Maiden Claiming    Six Furlongs    R Diodoro    6/5#    Dirt
Let's see what the totals are after today's 5th race!!!
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Old 06-15-2018, 04:12 PM   #64
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Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
Although I've issued a HOLD for the Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 for today it would seem that there would be more than 3 winners since ther are so many entered even with the scratches!!!
Code:
RowNum:    Date:    Race:    PgmNum:    Horse:    RaceCond:    Distance:    Trainer:    Odds:    Surface
1    06-14-2018    1st race    2    Shes Trouble (NY)    Maiden Special Weight    Five And One Half Furlongs    L Rice    5/2#    Dirt
2    06-14-2018    1st race    3    Princess Pinky (NY)    Maiden Special Weight    Five And One Half Furlongs    M Nevin    2/1#    Dirt
3    06-14-2018    2nd race    1A    Hidden Vow (NY)    Claiming    One Mile    J Servis    8/5#    Turf
4    06-14-2018    2nd race    9    Mobridge (NY)    Claiming    One Mile    W I Mott    2/1#    Turf
5    06-14-2018    2nd race    1    Nobody Move (NY) (MTO)    Claiming    One Mile    R R Rodriguez    8/5#    Turf
6    06-14-2018    3rd race    6    La Piu Bella (KY)    Claiming    One And One Sixteenth Miles    L Rice    9/5#    Turf
7    06-14-2018    3rd race    2    Giant Boxer (NY) (MTO)    Claiming    One And One Sixteenth Miles    R R Rodriguez    5/2#    Turf
8    06-14-2018    4th race    3    Pirates Treasure (NY)    Claiming    Seven Furlongs    J A Jerkens    7/5#    Dirt
9    06-14-2018    4th race    4    Truly a Moon Shot (KY)    Claiming    Seven Furlongs    R R Rodriguez    5/2#    Dirt
10    06-14-2018    6th race    1    In Denile (NY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    J C Kimmel    2/1#    Dirt
11    06-14-2018    6th race    1A    Out of Orbit (NY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    P M Serpe    2/1#    Dirt
12    06-14-2018    6th race    4    Missbigtimes (NY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    J C Englehart    5/2#    Dirt
13    06-14-2018    7th race    6    A True Giant (NY)    Allowance    Six Furlongs    R R Rodriguez    8/5#    Dirt
14    06-14-2018    8th race    8    Silver Shaker (KY)    Allowance    One And One Sixteenth Miles    C C Brown    2/1#    Turf
15    06-14-2018    8th race    1    Frostie Anne (NY) (MTO)    Allowance    One And One Sixteenth Miles    R R Rodriguez    2/5#    Turf
16    06-14-2018    9th race    8    Hidden Bamboo (KY)    Maiden Claiming    Six Furlongs    R Diodoro    6/5#    Dirt
Let's see what the totals are after today's 5th race!!!
We sniffed out another bad day for the Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 yesterday as there were only 2 winners from the eventual group of 13 at Belmont!!!



We got the upside down v /\ shape so maybe today's MLFs less than 3-1 have a shot at more winners today!!!

We will issue a BUY for today's upcoming races at Belmont for MLFs less than 3-1 hopefully they will do much better than yesterday!!!



The Belmont Morning Line Favorites Index (MLFI) is down -1 from yesterday and we look for a spike today!!!

Let's see what happens after today's 5th race from this group
Code:
RowNum:    Date:    Race:    PgmNum:    Horse:    RaceCond:    Distance:    Trainer:    Odds:    Surface
1    06-15-2018    1st race    2    Michael Wonderful (KY)    Claiming    One Mile    R R Rodriguez    8/5#    Turf
2    06-15-2018    1st race    7    Double Deep (KY)    Claiming    One Mile    R Diodoro    5/2#    Turf
3    06-15-2018    2nd race    2    Money Laundering (NY)    Claiming    Six Furlongs    B N Levine    2/1#    Dirt
4    06-15-2018    2nd race    3    Ripe (KY)    Claiming    Six Furlongs    R Diodoro    9/5#    Dirt
5    06-15-2018    3rd race    4    Loose (FL)    Claiming    Six Furlongs    R R Rodriguez    1/1#    Dirt
6    06-15-2018    4th race    1    Kuna (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    W A Ward    5/2#    Turf
7    06-15-2018    4th race    6    Cyclical (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    W A Ward    8/5#    Turf
8    06-15-2018    6th race    6    Take Charge Aubrey (NY)    Maiden Special Weight    One And One Sixteenth Miles    B N Levine    5/2#    Dirt
9    06-15-2018    7th race    8    Yummy Bear (NY)    Allowance    Six Furlongs    D G Donk    5/2#    Turf
10    06-15-2018    8th race    3    J Js Dreaming (NY)    Allowance    One Mile    M A Hennig    8/5#    Dirt
11    06-15-2018    8th race    6    Honor Up (NY)    Allowance    One Mile    W I Mott    5/2#    Dirt
12    06-15-2018    9th race    5    Seam (KY)    Maiden Claiming    Six Furlongs    R Handal    9/5#    Dirt
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Old 06-18-2018, 10:22 PM   #65
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
.
.
.

The Belmont Morning Line Favorites Index (MLFI) is down -1 from yesterday and we look for a spike today!!!

Let's see what happens after today's 5th race from this group
Code:
RowNum:    Date:    Race:    PgmNum:    Horse:    RaceCond:    Distance:    Trainer:    Odds:    Surface
1    06-15-2018    1st race    2    Michael Wonderful (KY)    Claiming    One Mile    R R Rodriguez    8/5#    Turf
2    06-15-2018    1st race    7    Double Deep (KY)    Claiming    One Mile    R Diodoro    5/2#    Turf
3    06-15-2018    2nd race    2    Money Laundering (NY)    Claiming    Six Furlongs    B N Levine    2/1#    Dirt
4    06-15-2018    2nd race    3    Ripe (KY)    Claiming    Six Furlongs    R Diodoro    9/5#    Dirt
5    06-15-2018    3rd race    4    Loose (FL)    Claiming    Six Furlongs    R R Rodriguez    1/1#    Dirt
6    06-15-2018    4th race    1    Kuna (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    W A Ward    5/2#    Turf
7    06-15-2018    4th race    6    Cyclical (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    W A Ward    8/5#    Turf
8    06-15-2018    6th race    6    Take Charge Aubrey (NY)    Maiden Special Weight    One And One Sixteenth Miles    B N Levine    5/2#    Dirt
9    06-15-2018    7th race    8    Yummy Bear (NY)    Allowance    Six Furlongs    D G Donk    5/2#    Turf
10    06-15-2018    8th race    3    J Js Dreaming (NY)    Allowance    One Mile    M A Hennig    8/5#    Dirt
11    06-15-2018    8th race    6    Honor Up (NY)    Allowance    One Mile    W I Mott    5/2#    Dirt
12    06-15-2018    9th race    5    Seam (KY)    Maiden Claiming    Six Furlongs    R Handal    9/5#    Dirt
There were only 3 winners from the above group of Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 last Friday at Belmont!!!

However, I have noticed a spike upward that occurred in 3 out of the last 4 instances whenever there were exactly 3 winners among the group of Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1!!!



The Belmont Morning Line Favorites Index (MLFI) is up +3 since Saturday!!!

Other MLFs beat 5ers (Morning Lines ending with 5) on Sunday by a 6 to 0 margin (there were only two 5ers on the card)!!!

A big spike is usually followed by a downward slope \ the next racing day so my guess is a HOLD for this group on Wednesday!!!
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Old 06-23-2018, 01:08 AM   #66
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he Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 have lost 11 straight races since yesterday!!!



We will issue a BUY on Saturday for the MLFs less than 3-1 in today's races based on the fact that there was only 1 winner from this group on Friday they were just terrible.

[RESIZE[img]http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/

I suspect a slight spike upward / with possibly 3 wins from the MLFs on Saturday!!!



The Belmont Morning Line Favorites Index (MLFI) is down from Thursday to -4.

5ers (Morning Lines ending with 5) beat other MLFs by a 1 to 0 margin

It will be interesting to see what happens in the first 3 races at Belmont since MLFs less than 3-1 have been 0 for their last 11!!!
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Old 06-23-2018, 08:56 AM   #67
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As the Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 have lost 11 straight races at Belmont, I am interested to see what happens in the 1st and 3rd races today!!!



I am particularly interested in these today at Belmont

1st race
#4 Malarkey

4th race
#3 Punked

We've issued a BUY for today and will attack with the above to get things going!!!

Let's see what happens!!!
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Old 06-24-2018, 09:16 AM   #68
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Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
As the Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 have lost 11 straight races at Belmont, I am interested to see what happens in the 1st and 3rd races today!!!



I am particularly interested in these today at Belmont

1st race
#4 Malarkey

4th race
#3 Punked

We've issued a BUY for today and will attack with the above to get things going!!!

Let's see what happens!!!
We sniffed out a good day for the Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 but unfortunately we picked the wrong horses as #4 Malarkey and #3 Punked finished 2nd in their respective races!!!

We got the upward spike we were looking for yesterday as the MLFs less than 3-1 had 4 wins!!!



After 12 straight losses, the Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 got 4 wins including the late Daily Double and exactas in the 3rd and 4th races at Belmont yesterday!!!

I suspect a plunge downward \ from the MLFs less than 3-1 today



The Belmont Morning Line Favorites Index (MLFI) is up +3 from Saturday.

5ers (Morning Lines ending with 5) tied other MLFs with 2 wins a piece

We will issue a HOLD for today!!!
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Old 07-06-2018, 01:48 PM   #69
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Since this post the Morning Favorites Lines less than 3-1 did not have much movement in terms of spikes


The wins from this group oscillated between 3 and 4 with a slight spike at 5 on June 30th





I am starting to take an interest in the gaps between wins from this group they have been 0 for their last 2 since yesterday!!!




The Belmont Morning Line Favorites Index (MLFI) is 0 and stays the same from yesterday.

5ers (Morning Lines ending with 5) tied other MLFs with 2 wins a piece

We will issue a HOLD for today!!!
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Old 07-07-2018, 10:34 AM   #70
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We sniffed out another bad day as the Morning Favorites Lines less than 3-1 did not do much yesterday winning only 1 of 9 races at Belmont including 2 even money Favorites finishing 2nd!!!



Morning Favorites Lines less than 3-1 have been 0 for their last 4



Today should be interesting and I am suspecting there will be a spike today from this group



The Belmont Morning Line Favorites Index (MLFI) is down -3 from yesterday.

5ers (Morning Lines ending with 5) beat other MLFs by a 1 to 0 margin.

We will issue a BUY for today!!!

I am leaning toward #2 Whitmore in today's 7th race at Belmont!!!
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Old 07-08-2018, 10:52 AM   #71
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We had the right idea yesterday at Belmont but we had the wrong horse as #2 Whitmore ran 2nd but rounded out the Exacta with #1 Limousine Liberal which was not too shabby for 2 Favorites!!!



Morning Favorites Lines less than 3-1 got 4 wins yesterday showing a nice spike from the downward slope on Friday!!!

MLFs less than 3-1 rounded out 2 Exactas yesterday in the 4th and 7th races they also provided a decent Daily Double in the 3rd and 4th races along with a win in the 11th!!!

As much as I hate to admit it the Exotics were the way to go yesterday with the MLFs less than 3-1 as straight win bets gave a negative return!!!



I am suspecting there will be a downward slope today from this group as Claiming races have not been very friendly to MLFs less than 3-1



5ers (Morning Lines ending with 5) beat other MLFs by a 3 to 1 margin

The Belmont Morning Line Favorites Index (MLFI) is up +3 from yesterday.

We will issue a HOLD for today!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 07-08-2018 at 10:59 AM.
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Old 07-14-2018, 10:52 AM   #72
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As we round out Belmont and head into Saratoga we take a look at the final week of the season for Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1



For the month of July, there have been no spikes after a 4 win day among this group they have all been downward sloping \ with a drop in wins and today looks to be much the same



We will issue a HOLD for this group today!!!



A HOLD makes sense as the last week of the season is usually where you find the big prices!!!

Although, I will make an exception in the case of C Clement his Turfers have been on fire in July!!!

Belmont was quite a challenge in terms of data hopefully Saratoga will be much smoother!!!
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Old 07-15-2018, 12:02 PM   #73
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There was a spike upward yesterday the first from a previous 4 win day from this group we issued a HOLD and there was no way we could go with a BUY based on previous patterns








MLFs less than 3-1 did very well yesterday winning 5 of 11 completing a PICK 3 in races 1 through 3 and providing 2 more wins in the 5th and 8th races paying over $5 in each race. The 3 wins gave you 2 Daily Doubles as well.






The Belmont Morning Line Favorites Index (MLFI) is up +1 from yesterday and up +3 since July 12th

Other MLFs beat 5ers (Morning Lines ending with 5) by a 3 to 1 margin.

We will issue a BUY for today since it looks like rain today at Belmont the small fields should help the MLFs less than 3-1!!!





I am leaning toward this one today

3rd race
#1 Hay Field

Let's see what happens!!!
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Old 09-07-2018, 01:06 PM   #74
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There was a spike upward yesterday the first from a previous 4 win day from this group we issued a HOLD and there was no way we could go with a BUY based on previous patterns








MLFs less than 3-1 did very well yesterday winning 5 of 11 completing a PICK 3 in races 1 through 3 and providing 2 more wins in the 5th and 8th races paying over $5 in each race. The 3 wins gave you 2 Daily Doubles as well.






The Belmont Morning Line Favorites Index (MLFI) is up +1 from yesterday and up +3 since July 12th

Other MLFs beat 5ers (Morning Lines ending with 5) by a 3 to 1 margin.

We will issue a BUY for today since it looks like rain today at Belmont the small fields should help the MLFs less than 3-1!!!





I am leaning toward this one today

3rd race
#1 Hay Field

Let's see what happens!!!
I didn't realize that #1 Hay Field won this race and paid $14.70 across the board!!!

Sorry for the late congratulations!!!

Code:
Row#:	Date:		Race:		Pgm#:	Horse:			RaceCond:			Distance:		Trainer:		Odds:	TrackCond:	Win$:	Place$:	Show$:
6	2018-07-15	3rd race	1	Hay Field (NY)		Allowance Optional Claiming	Seven Furlongs		J C Englehart		5/2#	Dirt Sloppy	8.4	3.7	2.6
7	2018-07-15	3rd race	2	Held Accountable (NY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Seven Furlongs		P M Serpe		7/2#	Dirt Sloppy	0.0	0.0	0.0
8	2018-07-15	3rd race	3	Tiznows Smile (NY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Seven Furlongs		C Baker			10/1#	Dirt Sloppy	0.0	0.0	0.0
9	2018-07-15	3rd race	4	No Hayne No Gayne (NY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Seven Furlongs		S M Asmussen		6/1#	Dirt Sloppy	0.0	0.0	3.0
10	2018-07-15	3rd race	5	Byself (NY)		Allowance Optional Claiming	Seven Furlongs		R A Violette Jr.	4/5#	Dirt Sloppy	0.0	3.0	2.1
Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 09-07-2018 at 01:16 PM.
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Old 09-07-2018, 01:24 PM   #75
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I didn't realize that #1 Hay Field won this race and paid $14.70 across the board!!!

Sorry for the late congratulations!!!

Code:
Row#:	Date:		Race:		Pgm#:	Horse:			RaceCond:			Distance:		Trainer:		Odds:	TrackCond:	Win$:	Place$:	Show$:
6	2018-07-15	3rd race	1	Hay Field (NY)		Allowance Optional Claiming	Seven Furlongs		J C Englehart		5/2#	Dirt Sloppy	8.4	3.7	2.6
7	2018-07-15	3rd race	2	Held Accountable (NY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Seven Furlongs		P M Serpe		7/2#	Dirt Sloppy	0.0	0.0	0.0
8	2018-07-15	3rd race	3	Tiznows Smile (NY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Seven Furlongs		C Baker			10/1#	Dirt Sloppy	0.0	0.0	0.0
9	2018-07-15	3rd race	4	No Hayne No Gayne (NY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Seven Furlongs		S M Asmussen		6/1#	Dirt Sloppy	0.0	0.0	3.0
10	2018-07-15	3rd race	5	Byself (NY)		Allowance Optional Claiming	Seven Furlongs		R A Violette Jr.	4/5#	Dirt Sloppy	0.0	3.0	2.1
Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!
Let's see what these MLFs less than 3-1 do today:



Looks like #2 Sanavi should win the 1st race today at Belmont!!!

The even money MLFs at Belmont have lost 5 of their last 6


I think the streak gets broken today!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 09-07-2018 at 01:28 PM.
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