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09-08-2018, 01:34 AM
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#76
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Let's see what these MLFs less than 3-1 do today:
Looks like #2 Sanavi should win the 1st race today at Belmont!!!
The even money MLFs at Belmont have lost 5 of their last 6
I think the streak gets broken today!!!
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We suspected the Morning Line even money winless streak would end and it did today as #2 Sanavi came through today paying $8.30 across the board!!!
Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!
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09-08-2018, 10:08 PM
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#77
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
We suspected the Morning Line even money winless streak would end and it did today as #2 Sanavi came through today paying $8.30 across the board!!!
Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!
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The Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 went 7 for 12 today at Belmont!!!
Chalk Players were on fire today as MLFs less than 3-1 had the Pick3 in races 2,3,4 and the late Daily Double in races 9,10
After just a 2 win day on Friday the MLFs less than 3-1 came back with 7 winners today!!!
I would avoid playing any chalk tomorrow especially Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1!!!
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12-06-2018, 03:23 PM
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#78
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 164
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Regression (reversion) to the Mean
You might want to research this phenonenon
__________________
"God hath written the language of the Universe in Mathematics" - Galileo
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12-07-2018, 12:36 PM
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#79
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: NJ
Posts: 3,822
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wizard of Odds
You might want to research this phenonenon
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That's the ironic part---right when he calls out a hot streak, that's when it's about to end (possible exception are some of the trainer bets). But if you point out this logic, you'll just get called a troll or a "hater".
I'd love to book his bets, but you know guys like him don't actually bet.
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12-07-2018, 01:00 PM
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#80
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by castaway01
That's the ironic part---right when he calls out a hot streak, that's when it's about to end (possible exception are some of the trainer bets). But if you point out this logic, you'll just get called a troll or a "hater".
I'd love to book his bets, but you know guys like him don't actually bet.
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Cast
When have you ever come up with anything but a complaint
At least I give bets to book what's your record how acurate are you?
Please show us all how it's done we're waiting
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12-07-2018, 01:21 PM
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#81
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by castaway01
That's the ironic part---right when he calls out a hot streak, that's when it's about to end (possible exception are some of the trainer bets). But if you point out this logic, you'll just get called a troll or a "hater".
I'd love to book his bets, but you know guys like him don't actually bet.
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They don't call you a troll for pointing out the weakness in logic they call you a troll for not providing your expertise on the subject
When people call you out you never respond
That's what trolls do, start arguments and leave
However, please provide us with your record and methodology we are all waiting to here from you
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12-07-2018, 03:35 PM
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#82
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Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 16,909
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Oracle,
I have a question.
In the thread title, you mentioned, "Creating an Index."
What is an "index?"
Thank you.
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12-07-2018, 07:27 PM
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#83
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dave Schwartz
Oracle,
I have a question.
In the thread title, you mentioned, "Creating an Index."
What is an "index?"
Thank you.
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Hey Dave
When I say "Create an index" I'm just speaking of a running total of wins from all Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 from one day to the next.
So for example, if the Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 had only 1 winner on day1 and say 3 winners the next day , or day2, then the "index" would be +2 or 3 - 1 = +2
Say there were 3 winners on day1 and only 1 winner the next day, or day2 then the "index" would be -2 or 1 - 3 = -2
The "index" is just the number of wins on day1 minus the number of wins on day2 for all Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1
I just called it an "index" as a fancy way of keeping track of the running win totals on previous racing days at NYC tracks
The bottom line is that, the number or "index" would go up or down depending on wins based on the previous day for all Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 at Aqueduct, Belmont or Saratoga
Last edited by TheOracle; 12-07-2018 at 07:31 PM.
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12-08-2018, 11:22 PM
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#84
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Chalk players had a field day today at Aqueduct as Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 went 5 for 7 today!!!
Interesting to note, 7 of 9 win prices today paid less than $8
Chalk Players were on fire today as MLFs less than 3-1 had the Pick3 in races 7,8,9 and the late Daily Double in races 8 and 9!!!
The $2 late pick3 paid $29.80 and the late $2 Daily Double paid $10.60
Too bad it doesn't always go this way!!!
I would avoid playing any chalk tomorrow!!!
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01-19-2019, 12:08 AM
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#85
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Chalk players have been having a great stretch as Morning Lines less than 3-1 have won 9 of their last 19 for the past 2 racing days at Aqueduct!!!
Interesting to note, they have managed to hit the board 13 straight times and have been off the board only once for the past 2 racing days!!!
I suspect Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 will have a tough day tomorrow!!!
Last edited by TheOracle; 01-19-2019 at 12:16 AM.
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01-19-2019, 08:40 PM
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#86
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Chalk players have been having a great stretch as Morning Lines less than 3-1 have won 9 of their last 19 for the past 2 racing days at Aqueduct!!!
Interesting to note, they have managed to hit the board 13 straight times and have been off the board only once for the past 2 racing days!!!
I suspect Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 will have a tough day tomorrow!!!
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We sniffed out a bad day for Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 as they went 2 for 13 today!!!
Interesting to note that there was a 9-5 Morning Line Favorite in the 2nd race that paid $10 but 5ers went 1 for 6 so even with the $10 winner you ended up with a $2 loss wagering on the 5ers!!!
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