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01-07-2019, 06:36 PM
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#1
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Smarty Pants
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Every Vote Counts
Posts: 3,160
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The Xpressbet Beat the Host Contest
First week:
I beat the host and hit one race and the host hit NONE in all eight races!
That makes me eligible to compete in the finals on March 2.
What a joke.
Last edited by Buckeye; 01-07-2019 at 06:37 PM.
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01-09-2019, 12:22 AM
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#2
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Smarty Pants
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Every Vote Counts
Posts: 3,160
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Something just occurred to me yesterday, there is a way to play this contest strategically.
The host's picks are revealed ahead of time for all the races and I only have to play one race at a time.
Sounds like a problem for the host.
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01-09-2019, 10:26 AM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Florida
Posts: 42
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The challenge, however, is to go after 'Beating the Host' or playing for the top 3 weekly prize money. The strategies are different.
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01-10-2019, 01:30 AM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,618
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I am trying to see how many weeks I can beat the host … before waiting for final.
I hit a race early and could not decide if I should keep handicapping on my own or just bet theirs. I missed 3 winners later by betting theirs, but I beat the host and on to next week.
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01-12-2019, 10:02 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,618
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Millie Ball (the expert today) almost won the first race with a 9/1 maiden but ended up winning 1 race with a $6.60 win price.
So better than Jeremy Plonk from last week, but still probably over half the entries beat the host again today.
Next week will probably be harder with Jon White.
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01-13-2019, 12:22 AM
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#6
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Smarty Pants
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Every Vote Counts
Posts: 3,160
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Quote:
Originally Posted by davew
Millie Ball (the expert today) almost won the first race with a 9/1 maiden but ended up winning 1 race with a $6.60 win price.
So better than Jeremy Plonk from last week, but still probably over half the entries beat the host again today.
Next week will probably be harder with Jon White.
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I know!
NEVER listen to me again since I went O/8 this week. 
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01-19-2019, 03:44 PM
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#7
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Smarty Pants
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Every Vote Counts
Posts: 3,160
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So far this week I'm 0/3 while the host won one race for a $3.60 payoff.
I see no reason not to continue.
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01-19-2019, 06:02 PM
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#8
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Smarty Pants
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Every Vote Counts
Posts: 3,160
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I just bet Dessman in the 7th at SA.
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01-19-2019, 06:17 PM
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#9
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Smarty Pants
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Every Vote Counts
Posts: 3,160
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That worked out pretty well.
Even though he was the favorite.
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01-19-2019, 06:28 PM
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#10
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Smarty Pants
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Every Vote Counts
Posts: 3,160
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Looks like we have a Grade 2 sprint on the dirt in race 9.
I'm behind the host so I must not agree with him.
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01-19-2019, 06:31 PM
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#11
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Smarty Pants
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Every Vote Counts
Posts: 3,160
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Roy H is not only his pick but also the fulcrum horse.
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01-19-2019, 06:50 PM
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#12
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Smarty Pants
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Every Vote Counts
Posts: 3,160
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I slapped a bet on the 5 CONQUEST TSUNAMI.
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01-19-2019, 07:19 PM
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#13
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Smarty Pants
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Every Vote Counts
Posts: 3,160
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I "took a shot" at 14-1 but got beat by the 1-5 favorite.
Not sure if I'm sad or happy.
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01-19-2019, 07:41 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,618
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Buckeye
I "took a shot" at 14-1 but got beat by the 1-5 favorite.
Not sure if I'm sad or happy.
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If you have already made the finals, and have no chance of beating the host the longest, you should change your strategy and go for the highest mutual that day.
Jon White had 3 winners for $10 mutual (3.6, 3.8, 2.8)
I beat them again today, 3 weeks in a row. I will count how many are still alive sometime this week.
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01-19-2019, 08:29 PM
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#15
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Smarty Pants
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Every Vote Counts
Posts: 3,160
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Quote:
Originally Posted by davew
If you have already made the finals, and have no chance of beating the host the longest, you should change your strategy and go for the highest mutual that day.
Jon White had 3 winners for $10 mutual (3.6, 3.8, 2.8)
I beat them again today, 3 weeks in a row. I will count how many are still alive sometime this week.
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Point well taken and does not escape me.
I get it.
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