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01-02-2023, 11:05 AM
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#46
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Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Fergus,ON
Posts: 3,710
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4 more games then it's the CFB National Championship! Records will be updated after these games for a final "Bowl" record
ReliaQuest Bowl
Mississippi St wins by 2.67pts with 39.5 total points and a win% of 51.1% to 48.8%
SU Pick: Mississippi State
ATS Pick: Mississippi State-1
O/U Pick: Under 46.5
Goodyear Cotton Bowl
USC wins by 9.11pts with 66 total points and a win% of 53.6% to 46.3%
SU Pick: USC
ATS Pick: USC-2
O/U Pick: Over 62
Cheez-It Citrus Bowl
LSU wins by 8.51pts with 54 total points and a win% of 53.5% to 46.4%
SU Pick: LSU
ATS Pick: LSU-8
O/U Pick: Under 58
Rose Bowl Game
Penn St wins by 0.90pts with 51 total points and a win% of 50.3% 49.6%
SU Pick: Penn State
ATS Pick: Penn State+2.5
O/U Pick: Under 52
__________________
Handicapping the world year round'
-Conley
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01-02-2023, 09:15 PM
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#47
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Location: st louis
Posts: 2,981
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Final bowl game numbers were 15-25 ATS and 21-20 O/U. I pulled out a positive on the totals when it looked hopelessly lost. I now stand up $1500 on the bowls. HOORAY!!!
There were four games I had a strong opinion on and I went 4-0, Fresno St, Texas Tech, Alabama and LSU. None of the four were ever in doubt as they were blowouts! Take out those four and I was way under half right. I guess next year I may have to go to $5000 on the ones I love.
It was really an embarrassment bowl predictions compared to years past, like last year when I won 2/3 of both the sides and totals. I put $200 on TCU and $200 on the over so I will finish the bowl season either 1100, 1500, 1900 ahead. All TCU has to do is score 23 points and the worse I can do is break even on the game.
__________________
You will never achieve 100% if 99% is okay!
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01-03-2023, 10:30 AM
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#48
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Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Fergus,ON
Posts: 3,710
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Updated records as of 1/2
SU: 24-17
ATS: 24-17
O/U: 26-14-1
1 more game TCU vs Georgia!
2021 Bowl Records
SU: 23-15
ATS: 14-22-1
O/U: N/A
__________________
Handicapping the world year round'
-Conley
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01-04-2023, 07:00 PM
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#49
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Beaverdam Virginia
Posts: 12,652
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zico20
Final bowl game numbers were 15-25 ATS and 21-20 O/U. I pulled out a positive on the totals when it looked hopelessly lost. I now stand up $1500 on the bowls. HOORAY!!!
There were four games I had a strong opinion on and I went 4-0, Fresno St, Texas Tech, Alabama and LSU. None of the four were ever in doubt as they were blowouts! Take out those four and I was way under half right. I guess next year I may have to go to $5000 on the ones I love.
It was really an embarrassment bowl predictions compared to years past, like last year when I won 2/3 of both the sides and totals. I put $200 on TCU and $200 on the over so I will finish the bowl season either 1100, 1500, 1900 ahead. All TCU has to do is score 23 points and the worse I can do is break even on the game.
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I have been following your posts but with back to back concussions in 2022, my memory needs some work. I know you hit big on Alabama, did you have another one of those? What I want to know would you have made that bet if you were even or up, or was that a desperation heave that connected.
15-25 ATS on points spreads and up $1500 is nuts.
I hate to brag, but I hit 63% and change on the NBA for a full season in the early 90's when most people did not have internet. I had just got divorced and moved to San Clemente, a long block from the beach.
Probably rode my motorcycle the 150 mile round trip to Tijuana Mexico to bet 3-5 times a week, so I had a huge sample, but don't remember how many bets I made, would have to figure 500 or so.
Are you ready for the punch line? I consider myself breaking even, I may have not even covered expenses. I found free parking for my 45 MPG bike and jogged to the Pueblo Amigo free admission sportsbook and never had more than 3 beers. I did tip decent when cashing, for a sportsbook ticket, but it was probably 1-2%.
I was betting $50-$500 single game and 2,3,4 game parlays for the same.
I think I must have been 0-37 on $500 bets.
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01-07-2023, 07:13 PM
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#50
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Location: st louis
Posts: 2,981
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Inner Dirt
I have been following your posts but with back to back concussions in 2022, my memory needs some work. I know you hit big on Alabama, did you have another one of those? What I want to know would you have made that bet if you were even or up, or was that a desperation heave that connected.
15-25 ATS on points spreads and up $1500 is nuts.
I hate to brag, but I hit 63% and change on the NBA for a full season in the early 90's when most people did not have internet. I had just got divorced and moved to San Clemente, a long block from the beach.
Probably rode my motorcycle the 150 mile round trip to Tijuana Mexico to bet 3-5 times a week, so I had a huge sample, but don't remember how many bets I made, would have to figure 500 or so.
Are you ready for the punch line? I consider myself breaking even, I may have not even covered expenses. I found free parking for my 45 MPG bike and jogged to the Pueblo Amigo free admission sportsbook and never had more than 3 beers. I did tip decent when cashing, for a sportsbook ticket, but it was probably 1-2%.
I was betting $50-$500 single game and 2,3,4 game parlays for the same.
I think I must have been 0-37 on $500 bets.
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When the lines first came out and before any game was played I bet a $1000 on Fresno, Alabama and LSU. I explained in earlier posts my reasoning for the last two, the point spreads were way off and I thought there would be opt outs for Purdue or Young would play for Alabama. I made the $500 Texas Tech right after I cashed for Fresno. Most of these games I didn't have a strong opinion one way or another, very difficult to see who is going to play hard and who is already on Christmas break time.
I analyzed the bowl games ahead of time as I always do so I can pounce when the lines come out. Most of my losses were $50 bets, games that in the regular season I would never put a dime on.
If anyone recalls at the start of the football season I told everyone I put $1000 on Kansas St, Alabama and Vanderbilt to go over their win totals. I won 2 of 3 so that was nice.
__________________
You will never achieve 100% if 99% is okay!
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01-09-2023, 10:09 AM
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#51
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Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Fergus,ON
Posts: 3,710
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CFB National Championship
Georgia wins by 13.98pts with 61 total points and a win% of 54.6% to 45.3%
SU Pick: Georgia
ATS Pick: Georgia-13
O/U Pick: Under 63.5
__________________
Handicapping the world year round'
-Conley
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01-09-2023, 06:30 PM
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#52
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velocitician
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 26,282
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Both have great offenses, but TCU will need so real luck to stop the Georgia macing for 4 quarters
__________________
"If this world is all about winners, what's for the losers?" Jr. Bonner: "Well somebody's got to hold the horses Ace."
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01-09-2023, 07:30 PM
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#53
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 103
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here is my logic in the national championship game
Michigan Hammered Ohio St in the big ten championship game.
TCU beat Michigan in a nailer biter in semi one.
Georgia survived off a missed late fg to beat ohio st
so they make Georgia a -13.5 favorite vs TCU
Ill take TCU and the points
actually got them +17.5 and over 55.5
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01-09-2023, 08:54 PM
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#54
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Just Deplorable
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Lebanon, Ohio
Posts: 8,064
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I think Georgia can cover the over by themselves if they want to.
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01-09-2023, 09:40 PM
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#55
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Just Deplorable
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Lebanon, Ohio
Posts: 8,064
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It's pretty simple, really. There are the top 2 from the SEC every year, there is OSU in roughly 3 out of 5 years, and there is everybody else. Clemson had a nice run that seems unlikely to be duplicated. And that's why the semi-finals are usually blowouts, because the selections are trying to look unbiased conference-wise, but the gap is just too wide to overcome. Last week's game was clearly the title game, and tonight is clearly semi-final-worthy. I think it will take a while before adding more teams to the mix will show anything different.
From the start of the playoff era, just pick the team with the most future pros.
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01-09-2023, 10:25 PM
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#56
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2018
Location: South of heaven
Posts: 385
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GA is pretty much gratuitously flogging the dead horse at this point. 😳
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01-09-2023, 10:44 PM
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#57
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Just Deplorable
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Lebanon, Ohio
Posts: 8,064
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rastajenk
I think Georgia can cover the over by themselves if they want to.
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Baby gets a new pair of shoes.
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01-11-2023, 11:20 AM
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#58
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Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Fergus,ON
Posts: 3,710
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CheckMark
CFB National Championship
Georgia wins by 13.98pts with 61 total points and a win% of 54.6% to 45.3%
SU Pick: Georgia
ATS Pick: Georgia-13
O/U Pick: Under 63.5
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CFB Championship
SU: 1-0
ATS: 1-0
O/U: 0-1
FINAL BOWL RECORD 2022
SU: 25-17 (59.5%)
ATS: 25-17 (59.5%)
O/U: 26-15-1 (63.4%)
2-YEAR BOWL RECORD (2021 and 2022)
SU: 48-32 (60%)
ATS: 39-39-1 (50%)
O/U: 26-15-1* (63.4%)
*2022 was 1st year for O/U picks
__________________
Handicapping the world year round'
-Conley
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01-11-2023, 03:00 PM
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#59
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Location: st louis
Posts: 2,981
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Finished 15-26 ATS and 22-20 O/U. The most important thing is I won money, AGAIN!
__________________
You will never achieve 100% if 99% is okay!
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01-11-2023, 03:32 PM
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#60
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Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Fergus,ON
Posts: 3,710
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zico20
Finished 15-26 ATS and 22-20 O/U. The most important thing is I won money, AGAIN!
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Congrats Zico looks like you beat me again
__________________
Handicapping the world year round'
-Conley
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