Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
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It is scouring old data to find positive trends to play in the future, hoping they turn out to be positive on new races.
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From what I have seen when I have done this, whenever the trend gets close to 10 it dissolves. However, there are times when the trend goes a little longer and you can squeeze out some profits
Lately, I found a trend with Pletcher at Saratoga where the data was less than a month old at Saratoga where Pletcher's horses hit the board when their Morning Lines were less than 3-1 and on the Dirt and 19 out of 20 finished no worse than 2nd
I caught on to it at 10 in a row and I was able to squeeze out a profit for the last 9 out of 11 in a row
I've done plenty that never worked out that well they dissovled as soon as I found them but there are those like the one I found at Belmont where for almost a year so far, since June 18 2016, the Morning Line 2/1's on the Turf going less than 1 Mile won 17 of their last 29 races
I backfitted the living daily lights out of this one!!!
At the time I found the streak you were getting a 41% return on your money per $2 win wager and 24 of the 29 finished no worse than 2nd I will be keeping a very close eye on this situation when they return to Belmont
So sometimes it works and I try to take advantage of it when it does I was never able to get this type of consistency when handicapping the returns aren't that great but I take what they give me!!!