Interesting race. Hopefully produces a horse or two for the triple crown series.
Pondering keying the 5 or keying 158 at the bottom of tris/supers
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Originally Posted by jay68802
Principe Guilherme 5/2 Has not shown any depth to running style and has set soft fractions on the lead. Other speed in here make this guy a very risky one. Another on that would not surprise, but would bet against.
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Nailed it.
This horse could perhaps eventually be a player in the triple crown series, but the post draw, fractions from the wins, and style questions make this one a risky key. Has two options; Lose ground and run a G1 race to overcome it, or save ground from a deep stalking position. I'm guessing they just run into the teeth of the post bias and think they can overcome the wide trip without messing with this potential monster's style. I do not like that he failed to change leads on debut, and then in his 2nd race switched back to the left-lead in mid-stretch. Those are exactly the type of flaws that can be magnified under adversity such as a wide trip.
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Originally Posted by jay68802
Kowboy Karma 6/1 Larry Jones off a break showing a bullet work. Has run well enough to win figure wise but the best winning figure has been sprinting and the best route figure chasing. Underneath.
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Should sit a good trip and be moving mid-late. Not a super talent, but if the race becomes a grinding collapse, he'll be in the mix.
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Originally Posted by jay68802
Instilled Regard 4/1 Lot of eye candy here, big figure, got beat by a good one. Ships after a high pace race and is not showing a work on the track. Could be the best here but can bounce.
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The slow start in the Cash Call surprised me. Is that the plan here? Relax and save ground early? I did like the big aggressive middle move. Castellano is not typically a closing jock. Hopefully not caught in the middle of styles.
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Originally Posted by jay68802
Prince Lucky 8/1 Hard to knock a horse that is 3 for 4. Wide draw and a declining LP figure when stretched from 6 to 7f does not help the cause. Out.
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This horse looks talented and fit at a decent price. He's a difficult read in terms of class. Will know more, after the fact. Post draw could hurt him. Thinking along with The Cowboy = expect him to try to clear the field wire-to-wire.
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Originally Posted by jay68802
Lone Sailor 15/1 One of the more interesting runners here. Gets blinkers for the first time and the trainer is solid with this move. Like his Street Sense race and look for the same running line here. Contender.
Zing Zang 15/1 Improving, and has the connections and the breeding to be a good one. Need more proof at the moment but would not surprise.
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If the favorites tire late in a pace-collapse these guys have every right to accompany the