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Old 07-05-2021, 12:56 PM   #1
cnollfan
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Odds-on favorites

This has been asked and answered before, I suspect.

Does anyone have stats of the frequency of odds-on favorites and finishing position?

For instance, horses at 0.80 - 0.90 to 1.00 finish first 48%, second 30%, 3rd 12%, etc.? (I don't know if those are the right answers, just estimating).
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Old 07-05-2021, 01:48 PM   #2
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From the sample page on Amazon of Barry meadow's "The Skeptical Handicapper"

Screen Shot 2021-07-05 at 1.43.47 PM.png

Screen Shot 2021-07-05 at 1.46.38 PM.png

Screen Shot 2021-07-05 at 1.46.57 PM.png

Screen Shot 2021-07-05 at 1.47.15 PM.png

Hope this helps! Sorry if this goes against the rules PA/CJ
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Last edited by CheckMark; 07-05-2021 at 01:49 PM.
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Old 07-05-2021, 01:59 PM   #3
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Thanks!
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Old 07-05-2021, 03:39 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cnollfan View Post
Thanks!
No problem

I did remember looking at stats like this from the book and while back so it was easy to just screenshot the pages (which are the sample pages off of Amazon) and post it here for you so all good
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Old 07-05-2021, 03:40 PM   #5
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I think this is what you asked for.


Code:
FINISH POSITIONS OF ODDS-ON HORSES
29,701 races from 1/1/20 to June 30, 2021
Dirt, 5f to 9f
Removed races with entries

Finish Occurrences
   1        4,149
   2        1,705
   3          851
   4          452
   5          284
   6          151
   7           86
   8           42
   9+          22

Total       7,742 (odds-on horses)
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Old 07-05-2021, 09:16 PM   #6
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Thanks! Both responses are helpful.
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Old 07-06-2021, 05:02 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cnollfan View Post
Thanks! Both responses are helpful.
I’m not sure why you’d be interested in those type of statistics, but in any case the general information that’s been provided so far is in my mind is worthless.
When trying to analyze something like this you would have to have far more detailed information.

All these type of races should be broken down by a least the following conditions:
Track / Racing Surface / Track Condition / Class / Distance / No of Entries
Only then can you get some meaningful insight.
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Old 07-06-2021, 08:25 PM   #8
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Originally Posted by Nitro View Post
I’m not sure why you’d be interested in those type of statistics, but in any case the general information that’s been provided so far is in my mind is worthless.
When trying to analyze something like this you would have to have far more detailed information.

All these type of races should be broken down by a least the following conditions:
Track / Racing Surface / Track Condition / Class / Distance / No of Entries
Only then can you get some meaningful insight.
He just wanted to know the %tages of odds on favorites and I have given him the correct screenshots

But I would have to agree about the races being broke down
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