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Old 02-24-2019, 04:30 PM   #16
LemonSoupKid
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Friday's Stronach 5 sequence

● Leg One – Laurel Park 9th Race – Dat Dares Gold $20

● Leg Two –Gulfstream Park 10th Race – Dr. Edgar $9.60

● Leg Three –Gulfstream Park 11th Race – Mo's Ride $4.80

● Leg Four – Golden Gate Fields 5th Race – Princess Run It $8.40

● Leg Five – Santa Anita Park 5th Race – Spy Ring $9.60

The Stronach 5, which grew to more than $1 million Friday afternoon, was hit by 83 bettors who each received $10,945.40.

The national pick 5, with an industry-low 12-percent takeout, kicked off at Laurel where Dat Dares Gold, who went off at 9-1, ran down favored My Chesa Charm to return $20. The 7-5 favorite Mo's Ride ($4.80) won the third leg at Gulfstream Park before Spy Ring closed out the sequence at Santa Anita returning $9.60.
Where do you usually get the results? I'm still wondering how ubiquitous this may be for various OTBs or tote machines.

If you didn't have a strong stance on Leg One and spread, that was very, very doable. And for $10k, a very nice hit.

I'll be paying attention for subsequent oppportunities, especially on carryovers. Is the play always on Friday?
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Old 02-25-2019, 02:29 AM   #17
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Why is leg one ok? Just so it doesn't come down to the final leg Maiden showdown? I see what you're saying, but order doesn't make it a better investment all of a sudden.
If the first leg has unraced maidens running, we can see which unraced maiden or maidens is taking action at the windows. No such luxury occurs in any other leg.
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Old 02-25-2019, 11:04 AM   #18
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Where do you usually get the results?

https://www.paulickreport.com/horsep...ettors-friday/
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Old 02-25-2019, 12:41 PM   #19
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Does any outlet show the will-pays into the final leg if you're lucky enough to be alive? Was scrambling between several ADW's & track feeds & could not find one to supply this information. Maybe it'd be nicer if the conclusion of the 4th leg didn't happen right on top of the 5th race.
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Old 02-25-2019, 01:23 PM   #20
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Old 03-04-2019, 03:49 PM   #21
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I thought you guys might find this interesting. Over the last 19 results dating back to late September 2018, the standard deviation is $22,105.

Here are the confidence intervals

68.3%, SEx̄ 9875.9014136886 - 20018.624902101
90%, 1.645SEx̄ 6604.8730886757 - 23289.653227114
95%, 1.960SEx̄ 5007.3941392508 - 24887.132176539
99%, 2.576SEx̄ 1883.4353048198 - 28011.09101097

I don't think the mean means much, but if you are interested, the mean payout for the last 19 paydays was $14,947. The lowest payout was $565, highest was $88,286. If I am reading the Laurel site correctly, that high payout was not after a carryover. The payouts after the 3 carryover in this time period were:

$17,832
$4,777
$9,679
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