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Old 08-23-2020, 06:45 PM   #61
formula_2002
what an easy game.
 
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Saratoga* Race 4
75 #2
#2 wins returns $1.35 on the dollar
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Old 08-23-2020, 07:18 PM   #62
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Golden Gate* Race 6
28 #7
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Old 08-23-2020, 09:41 PM   #63
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Mountaineer Park* Race 8
203 #6
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Old 08-24-2020, 11:13 AM   #64
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yesterdays results

31% wins
$1 fb return =$0.78
$1 fb return =$0.79

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File Type: png 08-23-2020 results.PNG (98.6 KB, 8 views)
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Old 08-24-2020, 05:43 PM   #65
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Canterbury Park* Race 1


148 #5
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Old 08-24-2020, 06:57 PM   #66
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Canterbury Park* Race 1


148 #5
5 wins $1 return =$2.10
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Old 08-24-2020, 11:40 PM   #67
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I have clocked in 150 races where my bet size >=10
64 wins
my bet size $1 return was $1.46.

a $1 flat bet returned $1.04.
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Old 08-25-2020, 10:28 AM   #68
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FR Vichy* Race 1


smart money is on #3 . I say no bet
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Old 08-25-2020, 10:59 AM   #69
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FR Vichy* Race 1


smart money is on #3 . I say no bet
If I plan on winning with my top choice, in this case the #3, I have to know when to pass the race.

the #3 placed

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Old 08-25-2020, 11:21 AM   #70
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You may have explained what you are doing, but a refresher on what you are doing may be in order. If not, all anyone sees is bet this horse don't bet that horse without explanation for why certain decisions are being made.
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Old 08-25-2020, 03:03 PM   #71
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You may have explained what you are doing, but a refresher on what you are doing may be in order. If not, all anyone sees is bet this horse don't bet that horse without explanation for why certain decisions are being made.
That's fun. "bet this horse, don't bet that horse".

the decisions are made based on my analysis of the wps and exacta pools.

I can not tell you anything about the analysis other than its all about the relationships of all four pools to each other and determining the proper bet size that will outperform a flat win bet.

my pick will be the horse that is the favorite as it approaches the gate. if it comes out the favorite or not, its still the pick.

I think the 1st posted note on this thread may help understand the direction I am going, hopefully the winners circle.

I need much more data in order to present a proper statistical analysis, but as of now I'll go with what is developing.
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Old 08-25-2020, 03:17 PM   #72
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Indiana Grand* Race 3


at 3 min to post I have a play.. I hope it holds up in the final analysis
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Old 08-25-2020, 03:21 PM   #73
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Indiana Grand* Race 3


174 #1
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Old 08-25-2020, 03:44 PM   #74
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Parx Racing* Race 7


61 #4
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Old 08-25-2020, 03:57 PM   #75
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Belterra Park* Race 8


21 #1
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