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Old 07-07-2018, 07:57 PM   #1
MadVindication
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July 8 Belmont Victory Ride Stakes...damn...

It's a tough one. Free pp on TFUS.

Deserving fave in the 2-1 Mia Mischief, for speed. But not without competition.

First glance best value is Spectator at 5-1, SA Oaks runner up; sprint, route, she's ITM but looks like 6.5 is her niche. And Classy Act for 6-1. Biggest threats to the .

Curiosity in Seperationofpowers at 4-1. Class dropper with Jose Ortiz for jock, she'll take money. There's a 246 day lay off but her workouts look good and at her level the time off may not matter. Do you think she'll run well? A ML underlay or overlay? What odds you give her?

May consider Take Charge Paula as a tri/super bomber.
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Old 07-07-2018, 10:05 PM   #2
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I don't know much about Nevin, numbers are good, but DAmato is about as good as there is on the west coast, not sure its a positive trainer move.

Feels like the chalk is going to be very tough.
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Old 07-07-2018, 11:07 PM   #3
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Bet whoever is the chalk....1 minute into the race.

FREE PPs for a Belmont race - I can't afford them.
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Old 07-08-2018, 12:54 AM   #4
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good luck to Dixie Serenade
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Old 07-08-2018, 01:25 AM   #5
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I think you have to give the edge to the here. Can improve as a lightly raced 3 yr old and her breeding really suits the distance. Would love to see 5-2 on this one, but is owned by Klaravich and if they are betting, will be around 8 or 9-5.
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Old 07-08-2018, 02:55 PM   #6
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With Jay on the , out of Candy Ride, working lights out for Chad Brown. 5/2 would be a gift. looks tough on paper but looks to be hard pressed by the and . I tend to shy away from horses shipping in from California but the looks classy enough and shows ability to come from off the pace.

ex box.
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Old 07-08-2018, 03:04 PM   #7
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With Jay on the , out of Candy Ride, working lights out for Chad Brown. 5/2 would be a gift. looks tough on paper but looks to be hard pressed by the and . I tend to shy away from horses shipping in from California but the looks classy enough and shows ability to come from off the pace.

ex box.
A fun one.

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Old 07-08-2018, 03:20 PM   #8
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I like Classy Tune given the odds, the chalk is going to be very tough but price wise at 4/5 cant use her.
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Old 07-08-2018, 05:49 PM   #9
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Looks chalky...maybe Rosario takes the #7 back today and hopes for some pace fallout. He can get a share if things come apart a bit late.
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Old 07-08-2018, 05:54 PM   #10
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good luck to Dixie Serenade
holy phuk!
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Old 07-08-2018, 05:55 PM   #11
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Nice one Afleet!!!
45-1....hope you got some
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Old 07-08-2018, 05:58 PM   #12
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Nice one Afleet!!!
45-1....hope you got some
I wasnt playing today, but I own 3 foals by the sire and it could help me down the road!!!
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Old 07-08-2018, 06:02 PM   #13
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Winner actually looked pretty good on our stuff, was one of the free races of the day.

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Old 07-08-2018, 06:03 PM   #14
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That hurt, do all the dirty work to win the battle but lost the war.
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Old 07-08-2018, 06:13 PM   #15
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holy phuk!
I didn't mean to cuss-apologize. I'm going to the farm to see the sire and my foals in September and seeing the PA derby. I got carried away!
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