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View Poll Results: Is Barefoot Angel a Legit Favorite or a Vulnerable Favorite??
Barefoot Angel is 'Legit'! 5 20.00%
Barefoot Angel is 'Vulnerable'! 11 44.00%
Barefoot Angel has been a money-burner, but this is a weak field 4 16.00%
I don't know. Tough call. 5 20.00%
Voters: 25. This poll is closed

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Old 07-03-2018, 06:08 PM   #16
098poi
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This being a maiden claimer I would focus more on the lightly raced horses, , , , and maybe .


I prefer the . The seems more solid than the so I will say


Win and .
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Old 07-03-2018, 08:47 PM   #17
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Well, it was nice that they could find such a good quality race for a holiday card!

I see four contenders - and I use that word lightly. The likely fav is aprven losers, but he's in a filed of losers and question marks. None of them will win, the others will lose.
If I were at the track, this would be my beer break. Races like this are why we have simulcasting.

But since I'm home making a mind bet, all I can lose is my mind, so here is my line...

5-2
3-1
6-1
6-1
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Old 07-03-2018, 09:02 PM   #18
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pass

Its probably a pass race no odds small field
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Old 07-03-2018, 11:46 PM   #19
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I had already handicapped the 2nd , 3rd and 5th races for tomorrow and was going to wait till morning to look at the 4th in regards to the early pick-4 but this post prompted me to look sooner. Upon my initial viewing I plan to use the Burkie and the Barefoot Angel both based on second race since blinkers off. There is not a lot of value in the race if Barefoot wins but if I can catch a couple of decent prices in the races before and after the pick-4 should be okay. If I was forced to bet this race it would probably be a flat bet on the at 5-1 or better and key the on top with the second and third in my tri's and supers.
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Old 07-04-2018, 12:44 AM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer View Post
7/4 Belmont Race#4

Is Barefoot Angel a Legit favorite, or a Vulnerable favorite?

Why?

What is your play?

http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...1/summary.html

(for past performances, click and scroll down)
B.A is too fast for this bunch,but I think there are 2 legitimate threats though
#3 BURKIE is litelly raced and improving and #7 didn’t have the best of starts last time and I think he gets loose and gets very brave in this race
My bet will be to box #3w 6-7 in exactas. And then bet 3-7w/3-6-7-4

Last edited by Profesor; 07-04-2018 at 12:48 AM.
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Old 07-04-2018, 12:46 AM   #21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nutz and Boltz View Post
You're not going to get 10-1 on Carmines Honor , fergetaboutit ! It will be second choice when the gates open.
Carmine’s honor was a vet scratch June 24 I hope he gets bet down
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Old 07-04-2018, 01:38 AM   #22
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I say Legit, this field is horrid and she lays over the field, not that I would ever bet her or this race. Lot more + than - for her chances.
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Old 07-04-2018, 10:34 AM   #23
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Burkie at 6-1 or better. I'm with the above poster that the and are the two I would use in horizontals.
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Old 07-04-2018, 11:19 AM   #24
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Wow. NYRAs Andy Serling went .

Could be some big prices if that plays out.

Don't miss Talking Horses coming up soon this afternoon for his insights.
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Old 07-04-2018, 02:58 PM   #25
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3 Burkie opened at 3-1 off an 8-1 ML
Value isn't there...likely a pass for me
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Old 07-04-2018, 03:05 PM   #26
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Ugly race. I'll pick Merger of Banks for fun, but I'm not really going to touch it with money.
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Old 07-04-2018, 03:26 PM   #27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmyb View Post
Barefoot angel doesn't seem to want to win. Suffers from seconditis at this level.

I'm going with Carmines honor. Dropping down, gets Irad, great works in the morning, looks like a great spot.

Quote:
Originally Posted by MadVindication View Post
Agree that Carmine's Honor is the best value at 10-1 with the drop in distance, early running style, reasonable class drop and jockey change to Irad Ortiz. But was scratched June 24, I don't know why. Barefoot Angel and Merger are too chalky for me.

That #4 The I Man is 4-1 where Burkie, who finished behind the fave BA, is 8-1, is a flag to me. I surmise that The I Man is an improving horse figured to at least hit the board.

If I play I would consider #5 Mr. Skittles as a 20-1 exotics bomber. Though has poor speed figs is dropping in distance and back to dirt, good enough for a long shot. But not sure if a tri or super would be worth it here.

Quote:
Originally Posted by PressThePace View Post
I'm in the same camp as the others. I think Carmine's Honor offers the most value in this spot. Burkie has every right to improve as well, a 3 YO who showed more gate speed last out running w/o the hood.


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Most likely will finish 3rd.

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Old 07-04-2018, 03:49 PM   #28
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Good picks guys. I guess we agree the fav was vulnerable.
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Old 07-04-2018, 04:50 PM   #29
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So the winner foes of at less than half his morning line.
Bet the underlays - overlays offer no value.

After looking at that race, I decide to pass the whole card.
No regrets.
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Old 07-04-2018, 06:45 PM   #30
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chalk

You best pass the whole afternoon, evening races might have better value I hate chalk!
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