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Old 04-09-2019, 03:15 PM   #1
elysiantraveller
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Israeli Election

Going to come down to the wire in Israel.

Reports are a bit all over and Exit Polls have been wrong in the past but it looks like the Likud party and the right coalition may be in trouble or we could be heading to a 60-60 Knesset... which makes forming a government... interesting.
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Old 04-09-2019, 03:44 PM   #2
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60/60 would not happen. There are three major political parties, or coalitions: Likud, Blue/White and Labor. None have anywhere close to the 61 required to govern. Whoever wins a plurality will be asked to form a government with the others or outlier parties. Likud and Blue/White are currently running neck and neck.
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Old 04-09-2019, 03:50 PM   #3
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60/60 would not happen. There are three major political parties, or coalitions: Likud, Blue/White and Labor. None have anywhere close to the 61 required to govern. Whoever wins a plurality will be asked to form a government with the others or outlier parties. Likud and Blue/White are currently running neck and neck.
Exits show Blue and White ahead in 2 out of 3 and tied in 1.

Going to be an interesting finish and forming a coalition will be tough depending on which parties can get to the threshold for seats.
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Old 04-09-2019, 04:11 PM   #4
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Benny Gantz, the leader of Blue/White has said he will not form a coalition with Bibi but I’d bet he would.

Of course, there is always a possibility that Netanyahu could form a government.
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Old 04-09-2019, 04:22 PM   #5
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Benny Gantz, the leader of Blue/White has said he will not form a coalition with Bibi but I’d bet he would.

Of course, there is always a possibility that Netanyahu could form a government.
May not have to... interesting to see how it shakes out.
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Old 04-09-2019, 04:37 PM   #6
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May not have to... interesting to see how it shakes out.
Yeah, except the other way. Looks like the Likud block has enough to govern.
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Old 04-09-2019, 04:55 PM   #7
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Yeah, except the other way. Looks like the Likud block has enough to govern.
Doesn't it depend on who the President picks to try and go first?

Bribes come out.
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Old 04-09-2019, 05:14 PM   #8
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Doesn't it depend on who the President picks to try and go first?

Bribes come out.
President’s discretion. Doubtful about bribes, though. Israel’s President is a Likud party member but he and Netanyahu are not friends.
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Old 04-09-2019, 05:17 PM   #9
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President’s discretion. Doubtful about bribes, though. Israel’s President is a Likud party member but he and Netanyahu are not friends.
Well for cabinet seats it would have to be pretty easy to entice a minority party to flip I would imagine.
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Old 04-09-2019, 05:33 PM   #10
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Well for cabinet seats it would have to be pretty easy to entice a minority party to flip I would imagine.
Yeah, I thought you meant bribing the President.

Anything is possible. Netanyahu’s chief of staff was convicted of a long list of crimes including bribery and Netanyahu himself is to be charged later this year. One of Israel’s Presidents was convicted of rape, Chief Rabbis of graft, etc. so...
anything
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Old 04-09-2019, 06:31 PM   #11
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Yeah, I thought you meant bribing the President.

Anything is possible. Netanyahu’s chief of staff was convicted of a long list of crimes including bribery and Netanyahu himself is to be charged later this year. One of Israel’s Presidents was convicted of rape, Chief Rabbis of graft, etc. so...
anything
Going to come down to the BW/Likud plurality I would imagine. Whoever takes it forms the government... or at least gets first dibs.
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Old 04-09-2019, 07:03 PM   #12
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Bibi wins!!!!
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Old 04-09-2019, 10:56 PM   #13
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95% counted.

Likud and Blue/White parties tied at 35 seats. The New Right Party may not get the number of votes needed to earn seats though hindering the ability for Likud to lead and form a new government.
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Old 04-09-2019, 11:01 PM   #14
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Nope, Bibi wins and the government will form.
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Old 04-09-2019, 11:15 PM   #15
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I win....I win.....

Not much difference with Israeli MSM compared to ours.
Right wing sources have their guy on top.
Neutrals still making it too close to call.

Go figure......

I'm sure Trump is just itching to phone and congratulate his good buddy.
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