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Old 02-11-2019, 07:19 PM   #16
Afleet
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Originally Posted by horses4courses View Post
Success stories on Derby futures are few and far between.
They do happen, but it really is lightning in a bottle.

The only chance of a score is through finding a horse who
has not shown recent good form, but has the potential to
improve greatly between now and early May.

Those jumping on the current "flavor of the week" are usually
tossing cash away for no real odds value. This is an edge to
those who play against the grain. That being said, it's still
odds against getting your horse in the gate on Derby Day.
Keep your bets small, and your potential returns enormous.

Good luck to those who try it, but it's a tough way to go.
I think the futures are a bad bet, but I bet it anyway
I played 22,23,24/3,4,12,22,23,24 and reversed, exacta wheel, and small win bets on 22,23. Total $70 bet-money I will never see again

Last edited by Afleet; 02-11-2019 at 07:20 PM.
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Old 02-11-2019, 08:01 PM   #17
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you may get half the KY derby field for 5/2. I would think most people would take that chance
Used to get great odds on the field bet in pool 2...Got Barbaro at 6/1 field and played him straight in the derby in addition...cleaned up...red board post of course...but...unfortunately the field bet in pool has since been hammered pretty hard and I've passed....want to get 5/1....greedy ain't I....there was another at 9/2 field bet #2 not to long ago...forgot who...didn't play it tho...probably why I can't remember....
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Old 02-11-2019, 08:09 PM   #18
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I think the futures are a bad bet, but I bet it anyway
I played 22,23,24/3,4,12,22,23,24 and reversed, exacta wheel, and small win bets on 22,23. Total $70 bet-money I will never see again
That's key - risking money that's not a big deal.

I hope you hit it big
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Old 02-11-2019, 08:31 PM   #19
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Used to get great odds on the field bet in pool 2...Got Barbaro at 6/1 field and played him straight in the derby in addition...cleaned up...red board post of course...but...unfortunately the field bet in pool has since been hammered pretty hard and I've passed....want to get 5/1....greedy ain't I....there was another at 9/2 field bet #2 not to long ago...forgot who...didn't play it tho...probably why I can't remember....
redboarding doesn't bother me and I didn't know the field was 6-1 in pool 2 when Barbaro won-must have been a strong favorite(s) in the choices section in that pool
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Old 02-11-2019, 08:33 PM   #20
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That's key - risking money that's not a big deal.

I hope you hit it big
I could be dead in the water after this weeks Risen Star; War of Will and Limonite both running-need both to hit the board
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Old 02-12-2019, 08:20 PM   #21
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Coliseum now off the derby trail per Baffert. Knicks Go and Maximus Mischief going the wrong way possibly. Mutual field/all others looking better. With this weeks stakes races featuring others on the list, a few more could be gone as well
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Old 02-12-2019, 10:20 PM   #22
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I could be dead in the water after this weeks Risen Star; War of Will and Limonite both running-need both to hit the board
If the KY Derby was held this weekend, I think War of Will would have a big shot.
He will have to keep progressing to win in May, but he's very good now.
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Old 02-13-2019, 06:33 PM   #23
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looks like they originally posted $1 will pays instead of $2 originally

https://www.kentuckyderby.com/upload..._Probables.pdf
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Old 02-13-2019, 07:17 PM   #24
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Put a Finn on Harvey Wallbanger. Mom's favorite drink back in the 70's. That is how I handicap these days.
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Old 02-13-2019, 08:01 PM   #25
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Coliseum off the derby trail.
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Old 02-14-2019, 01:24 PM   #26
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looks like they originally posted $1 will pays instead of $2 originally

https://www.kentuckyderby.com/upload..._Probables.pdf

Nice catch. Those figures make a heck of a lot more sense. Looking forward to Pool 3 when I can goof off playing Oaks-Derby doubles.
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Old 02-17-2019, 06:14 PM   #27
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Another spot opens up for the field players:

Network Effect off Triple Crown trail due to 'minor setback'

https://www.drf.com/top-headlines/to...setback-457639
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Old 02-24-2019, 05:47 PM   #28
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another spot opens up for the field players

Maximus Mischief to be sidelined indefinitely


http://live.drf.com/nuggets/47152-ma...d-indefinitely
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Old 02-25-2019, 12:16 PM   #29
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With Coliseum off the Derby trail can anyone tell me if there are any Tapit sired horses on the trail? I made a bet in Vegas a while back at 15-1 but don't even know which horses that covers now. If someone could link me to a list of the triple crown nominated horses I could peruse it myself as well. Many thanks in advance.
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Old 02-25-2019, 01:09 PM   #30
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With Coliseum off the Derby trail can anyone tell me if there are any Tapit sired horses on the trail? I made a bet in Vegas a while back at 15-1 but don't even know which horses that covers now. If someone could link me to a list of the triple crown nominated horses I could peruse it myself as well. Many thanks in advance.
https://www.pedigreequery.com/progeny/tapit

https://www.kentuckyderby.com/horses/leaderboard

Gun It, Dream Maker, Bourbon War, Intrepid Heart, Tacitus. Wicked indeed just ran 2nd in the Mine That Bird derby

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