Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Handicapping Discussion


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 08-10-2007, 07:58 PM   #1
the_fat_man
Veteran
 
the_fat_man's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 1,599
A Serling's Show on YouBet

Nice analysis of the ARlington turf races (8/11) by Serling and (his guest) Steve Crist.

Online at


Good Job

Last edited by PaceAdvantage; 08-12-2007 at 02:10 AM. Reason: It't Crist, not Christ....lol
the_fat_man is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-10-2007, 08:35 PM   #2
the little guy
Registered User
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 7,333
Thanks.
the little guy is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-10-2007, 09:22 PM   #3
bigmack
Registered User
 
bigmack's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Bird Rock
Posts: 16,697
tlg - In regards to your take on Prom Party; I guess ground loss is ground loss irrespective of where it occurs in the grand scheme of things but am I wrong for giving more weight to a late loss than that of an early when there is less gas in the tank. Would be interested to hear your take.

Nice job on the shoe.
bigmack is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-10-2007, 09:41 PM   #4
cj
@TimeformUSfigs
 
cj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
I think I know where Andy stands on ground loss, but I'll let him address that. I would say ground loss is most important when horses are running the fastest.

On turf, that is usually late, while on dirt, it is usually early. But to know for a specific race, you need good pace and final time ratings. Just my two cents.
cj is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2007, 10:34 AM   #5
classhandicapper
Registered User
 
classhandicapper's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 20,613
Watch the races develop. If the outside horses are extending themselves to keep up with or gain on the inside horses then the ground loss is probably significant. If the are loafing and keeping up, it's probably less of an issue. Of course it helps to be somewhat familar with the horses also so you know if the outside horses are inferior/superior etc...

It seems to vary from track to track based on the sharpness of the turns, daily track bias, pace at the time of the ground loss, probably how the turns are banked etc...

I don't think you can measure these kinds of things very well without watching the races on that specific day and by being generally familiar with the track and horses.

I don't think there is a formula.
classhandicapper is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2007, 12:14 PM   #6
the_fat_man
Veteran
 
the_fat_man's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 1,599
Just caught the Siro's show with Serling and Crist breaking down today's SAR card.

Always nice to hear the opinions of other trip handicappers (Searling).

Definitely a learning experience.

Wish there were something like that happening on this board (with daily analysis of races).


P.S. NYRA really needs to SERIOUSLY think about replacing (one of both of ) the 2 clowns they have doing the daily breakdown of races with Serling (or someone equally competent).

Last edited by PaceAdvantage; 08-12-2007 at 02:11 AM. Reason: Christ man, it's Crist!
the_fat_man is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2007, 04:36 PM   #7
Onion Monster
Registered User
 
Onion Monster's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Western Kentucky
Posts: 273
Muchas gracias "El Hombre Gordo."

Nice analysis. They already nailed the winner of the Secretariat Stakes at a decent price (9-2). It wasn't one of those wishy-washy calls either, they both had Shamdinan as a single in their Pick 3 tickets.
Onion Monster is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-12-2007, 02:13 AM   #8
PaceAdvantage
PA Steward
 
PaceAdvantage's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,632
Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
P.S. NYRA really needs to SERIOUSLY think about replacing (one of both of ) the 2 clowns they have doing the daily breakdown of races with Serling (or someone equally competent).
Andy's been there, done that.....
PaceAdvantage is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-12-2007, 07:00 PM   #9
Indulto
Veteran
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 5,138
DT interviews a relaxed tlg at Saratoga:

Hour 3

Every ATRAB segment should be this enjoyable and informative.
Indulto is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-13-2007, 06:09 PM   #10
DrugS
Registered User
 
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 366
Christ and Sterling are the greatest in tandem!
DrugS is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:04 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.