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02-28-2021, 10:30 PM
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#16
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
Los Alamitos QH* Race 5
7 6 7 6
un un ov 0v
7 0 100 0 100
6 100 0 100 0
1 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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02-28-2021, 10:58 PM
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#17
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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strategic betting was rewarded.
played col #2 and col #3 when there was no matrix board play.
there were three races cost $600, return $1180
none of the 6 matrix board plays won cost = $325
cost of all plays = $925, returns $1180 for a $1 return of $1.27
I'll present the excel sheet for todays play tomorrow
this strategy fit the best of the study
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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03-01-2021, 12:03 PM
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#18
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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RESULTS FOR POSTED RACES
per study, races fg race 9 and ok race 9 were not plays
that left 8 races
total bet was $1090, return $1482
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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03-01-2021, 01:23 PM
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#19
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
Parx Racing* Race 2
4 6 4 6
un un ov 0v
4 0 71 0 71
6 68 0 68 0
2 32 29 32 29
3 0 0 0 0
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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03-01-2021, 01:51 PM
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#20
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
Parx Racing* Race 3
7 5 7 5
un un ov 0v
7 0 100 0 100
5 100 0 100 0
2 0 0 0 0
6 0 0 0 0
4 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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03-01-2021, 02:34 PM
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#21
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
Code:
Parx Racing* Race 3
7 5 7 5
un un ov 0v
7 0 100 0 100
5 100 0 100 0
2 0 0 0 0
6 0 0 0 0
4 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0
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this play cost $200 for the column 3 and 4 bet and returned $1920, all IN accordance with the study plays
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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03-02-2021, 01:32 PM
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#22
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
Formula 2002 exacta play study
Reviewing every race, my study now includes 579 races.
45 of those races were determined to be non-playable, leaving 534 playable races.
Here are the $1 exacta returns using the top two public choices with my system horses (x) at determined bet sizes.
Column 1, x/favorite, $0.73, 13% wins
Column 2, x /second favorite, $1.23, 23% wins
Column 3, favorite/ x, $0.98, 22% wins
Column 4, second favorite / x , $0.62, 11% win
Recently, I converted these plays into a matrix format with a different bet size calculator.
I only have 75 races in this analysis returning a $1 return of $1.25, 52% wins
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This exacta play may hold promise, I have only gone through 50 plays. Will continue analysis with the full data base as long as it holds promise. The matrix board play, top two choices over all shown in the matrix. No reverse.
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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03-02-2021, 05:19 PM
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#23
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
This exacta play may hold promise, I have only gone through 50 plays. Will continue analysis with the full data base as long as it holds promise. The matrix board play, top two choices over all shown in the matrix. No reverse.
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let me present the base line
I've reviewed 47 races 36% winners.
previous $1 return was $0.98, current $1.45.
lets see where this goes
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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03-02-2021, 11:33 PM
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#24
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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I have now reviewed 136 races. previous plays returned 36% winners.
new plays returned 26% winners
previous $1 return was $1.21, new $1.06
HOWEVER
ELEMINATING 1 OUTLIER RACE
THE PREVIOUS PLAYS THEN RETURNED $0.98 ON THE DOLLAR, THE NEW PLAYS RETURNED $1.12 ON THE DOLLAR. .
lets see where this goes[/B]
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 03-02-2021 at 11:35 PM.
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03-05-2021, 09:54 AM
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#25
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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uk doncaster race 2
Code:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 0 37
1 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0 1
2 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0 2
3 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 19 ---- ---- ---- 13 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 33 3
4 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0 4
5 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0 5
6 ---- ---- 19 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 14 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 33 6
7 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0 7
8 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0 8
9 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0 9
10 ---- ---- 10 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 10 10
11 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0 11
12 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0 12
13 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0 13
14 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0 14
15 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0 15
16 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0 16
0 0.00 0.00 29.61 0.00 0.00 19.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 151.94
#DIV/0! 1 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 03-05-2021 at 09:56 AM.
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03-06-2021, 03:34 PM
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#26
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
Aqueduct* Race 6
1 3 1 3
un un ov 0v
1 0 100 0 100
3 100 0 100 0
5 0 0 0 0
4 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0
6 0 0 0 0
7 0 0 0 0
8 0 0 0 0
9 0 0 0 0
10 0 0 0 0
11 0 0 0 0
12 0 0 0 0
13 0 0 0 0
14 0 0 0 0
15 0 0 0 0
16 0 0 0 0
100 100 100 100
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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03-06-2021, 05:46 PM
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#27
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
Santa Anita* Race 6
1 3 1 3
un un ov 0v
1 0 100 0 100
3 100 0 100 0
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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03-06-2021, 06:13 PM
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#28
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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the uk doncaster race was a a matrix play 6/2 won. bet size was $49 returning $48.
the sar race 6 was a column #2 and col #3 play bet $200 returned $640
the aqu race 3 play was a column #2 and column #3 play, bet $200, returned 0
total bet for the three races was $449, returning $688
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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03-06-2021, 06:21 PM
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#29
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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pax r 3 on 03-01-2021.. correction
Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
this play cost $200 for the column 3 and 4 bet and returned $1920, all IN accordance with the study plays
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correction, the 7/5 exacta play won. play was columns #2 and #3 not #3 and $4
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 03-06-2021 at 06:23 PM.
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03-06-2021, 09:20 PM
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#30
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
Los Alamitos QH* Race 1
2 5 2 5
un un ov 0v
2 0 34 0 34
5 32 0 32 0
6 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0
4 0 0 0 0
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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