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Old 02-03-2021, 05:18 AM   #1
Half Smoke
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Super Bowl props

......................


statistician Mike Shackleford, who is a very sharp guy, posted this on his website
you can compare the fair value to what is offered by your book
he got the lines from William Hill on January 29
he notes that he hasn't updated his stats in several years
if I was doing this, which I'm not, (props are not my thing), I wouldn't worry about that too much
GLTA


edit: I just noticed the screen shot didn't come out great - the column in the far right is fair value
the fair value corresponds to "Yes" - which is the first column on the left







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Last edited by Half Smoke; 02-03-2021 at 05:23 AM.
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Old 02-03-2021, 07:58 AM   #2
lamboguy
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Half Smoke View Post
......................


statistician Mike Shackleford, who is a very sharp guy, posted this on his website
you can compare the fair value to what is offered by your book
he got the lines from William Hill on January 29
he notes that he hasn't updated his stats in several years
if I was doing this, which I'm not, (props are not my thing), I wouldn't worry about that too much
GLTA


edit: I just noticed the screen shot didn't come out great - the column in the far right is fair value
the fair value corresponds to "Yes" - which is the first column on the left







*
even though i have a tough time seeing i, this is one of the greatest posts i have ever seen.
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Old 02-03-2021, 08:19 AM   #3
Half Smoke
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Originally Posted by lamboguy View Post
even though i have a tough time seeing i, this is one of the greatest posts i have ever seen.

thank you for that


you can see more clearly at the link - it is the 7th post down in the link:




https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gamb...per-bowl-55/3/




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Old 02-12-2021, 11:12 PM   #4
davew
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a guy bet on himself

https://www.yahoo.com/news/super-bow...211422994.html
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