*Handicapping Methods-Spot Play Testing-Software Etc

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

If you're winning 25%--and happy with it--great! If you want to up that percentage--maybe into the profit zone--check out PONYPICKER. For 25 bucks you get a lot of handicapping value--believe that.

3 horses with red flags eliminated
1ST DATA ROOM OFF 4-5
8TH THREEFIVEIND OFF 1-2
9TH SPECIAL RISK OFF 1-1

All 3 lost

The only other short price--with no red flags SELENITE ---won by daylight. Could have found a better card at a lesser track--but you get the idea.

Here's a method you can use in ADDITION to the built in spot plays. All YOU need to do is figure out if the track is EARLY or LATE....by that I mean does the track have a pronounced "early" bias? Most of the smaller tracks do----but not all. Any short track obviously will--don't even bother checking.

EARLY track:

-HORSE MUST BE TOP-2 IN E-1 AND E-2 last race.
3-TRAINER/JOCKEY COMBO 25% minimum
4-LAST RACE LESS THAN 29 DAYS AGO.

LATE or NEUTRAL track:

-HORSE MUST BE TOP-2 IN E-2 --AND LATE PACE last race
3-TRAINER/JOCKEY COMBO 25% minimum
4-LAST RACE LESS THAN 29 DAYS AGO.

EXTRA CREDIT= a qualifier showing a workout since last race

**This method wins---try it!

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

One Top-4 ABILITY today 8th HEY JABBER JAW 10-1

Top E-1'S on the card

2ND BROWSE 5-1

4TH SHAMCAT 12-1

other track's top E-1's

BTP
1ST DRAFT BEER 8/5
2ND DEPUTY COPYCAT 3-1

CDX
7TH JUSTA LADY 5-1
2ND GOLDEN MOON 4-1

SAX
5TH MONSTER MAN 4-1 $8.00
4TH BAY MUZAK 5-1 $7.00

PRM
8TH HARD LIQUOR 6-1
4TH THREE PADRES 2-1

PIM
7TH SIPPY CUP 20-1 $57.80
4TH NOBLE ROAD 10-1 xxscratched

You can find these on any of my programs that have pace figs--PLATINUM makes it easy since it sorts with one click. You can research a thousand different configurations with just a click on Platinum. I didn't even check Platinum's top-4 ABILITY for these tracks yet--I'll take a look later and see if there were any easy wins

These were just top-2 E-1's on the card

[NorCalGreg]

**Seriously I just put this method together recently--it did double my money on Derby Day, but be careful---as exacta minimums are $2.00 These boxes will run $12 each. They are listed in no particular order of preference--and are intended for exactas

[NorCalGreg]

No Top-4 Ability selections @ Bel today

E-1's

BEL
7TH AUDRIQUE 8-1
3RD ULTIMATE HOLIDAY 15-1

BTP
1ST MISTER HOLLOWAY 9-2
7TH RUUD GIRL 12-1

CDX
6TH RECOGNITION 5-1
7TH CANNINGTON 6-1

EVD
8TH FAIRWELL TAX BREAK 6-1
6TH SYRUP CAKE 8-1

GPX
6TH BLACKJACK BABY 6-1
4TH USA JEWEL 15-1

INDY
6TH STRUT THE RING 8-1
4TH GRANDPA GRUMPY 3-1

SAX
8TH HANDFULL 6-1
3RD EICHEL 15-1

[NorCalGreg]

Interesting HOT LIST @ BELMONT today:

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Interesting HOT LIST @ BELMONT today:

COMPLETED: 6867c-2d3e3 BEL #3 $20 Win 4 none $20.00 $690.00 + $670.00

Well that was an easy $670 score....hope EXOTIC BETS! PLAYERS jumped on it

[wolsons]

6th race MYAKKA RIVER paid $33,40 - coupla nice hits there!

[ReplayRandall]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Interesting HOT LIST @ BELMONT today:

Congrats on two HUGE hits.....

Ultimate Holiday [15-1] Diaz. Jr. H R 1st - 69.00 18.00 8.50

Myakka River [10-1] Franco M 1st - 33.40 11.40 6.90

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by ReplayRandall

Congrats on two HUGE hits.....

Ultimate Holiday [15-1] Diaz. Jr. H R 1st - 69.00 18.00 8.50

Myakka River [10-1] Franco M 1st - 33.40 11.40 6.90

Thanks guys! I know you both know this feeling--when EVERYTHING just drops into place--when the dang horses run LIKE THEY'RE SUPPOSED TO? That's me today

I'm enjoying it because these times come far and few between.

My E-1 play--that nailed a $59.00 winner @ Pimlico yesterday---well here's an email I just got from PaceViewers Steve and Kim:


"Your E-1 method delivered again last night at Charles Town in the 8th, $22.40!"

All the best,

Steve and Kim

[Pensacola Pete]

8th at GG. Emma Named Me, top power, $39.00.

[Vinnie]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Thanks guys! I know you both know this feeling--when EVERYTHING just drops into place--when the dang horses run LIKE THEY'RE SUPPOSED TO? That's me today

I'm enjoying it because these times come far and few between.

My E-1 play--that nailed a $59.00 winner @ Pimlico yesterday---well here's an email I just got from PaceViewers Steve and Kim:


"Your E-1 method delivered again last night at Charles Town in the 8th, $22.40!"

All the best,

Steve and Kim

Awesome Stuff Greg:

A Big Time tip of the hat to you!!

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by Pensacola Pete

8th at GG. Emma Named Me, top power, $39.00.

EMMA NAMED ME was the only Value Bet in Exotics

Let me show you what I'm working on---I mentioned all I have so far is $MONEYLINE$. For the heck of it here is what it had----ALL 8 WINNERS @ GGF

$1 Pick-6: 4,5,6 / 3,4,6 / 1,2,5 / 1,3,5 / 2,4 / 2,3,6
Bets: 486 Total: $486
--was the P-6 $1.00 cost

Payoff = $1.00 Pick 6 (4/6/2,5,7/3/4,6,8/3) Paid$17,447.70 (6OF6)

Not counting the pick-3's, 4, 5 and doubles......

This is the 2nd week in a row hitting the pick-6 for $17K--

Here's the $MONEYLINE$ card:

I gotta get me a SIZABLE bankroll together and start playing these things


*All but one (JAYHAWKER) was either a 1st or 2nd choice

[NorCalGreg]

Today's VALUE PLAY @ GGF

[Fred Mertz]

Hi Greg,

I'm going to Churchill (rip-off) Downs tomorrow to win my fortune.

I'll take any free tips you have. Otherwise, I'll pick my own losers. It'll be fun regardless. $6 beer might break me.

[timtam]

Can you make up the Moneyline Report using the Platinum stats?