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Old 07-11-2009, 04:14 AM   #1
Handiman
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FAST Saturday at Belmont

We'll take another shot at Belmont and see if it's going to be another fav day.

Belmont
horse..M/L fair odds
r1.
2 2.5 4.5
3 3.5 4.5
9 3 6
4 4 7

r2.Skip

r3.
3 1.6 2
5 3 3
6 4.5 4
2 3.5 7

r4.
1 2 3
6 3 4
3 8 5
5 10 6

r5.
5 4 2
8 4.5 2.5
2 2.5 14

r6.
6 2 3
2 2.5 3
3 1.6 4
4 12 4.5

r7.
4 8 3
9 2.5 6
8 4.5 6
3 10 7

r8.
7 2.5 3.5
4 4.5 5
3 3.5 5
6 4 5

r9.
2 2 4
7 12 4
6 4.5 4
1 1.6 5

r10
10 2 3
9 8 6
8 5 9
7 10 10


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Old 07-11-2009, 01:48 PM   #2
douglasw32
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Thank you!
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Old 07-11-2009, 06:39 PM   #3
douglasw32
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Not Bad

Belmont
horse..M/L fair odds
r1.
2 2.5 4.5----Pla
3 3.5 4.5----Win
9 3 6
4 4 7

Ex 22.00

r2.Skip

r3.
3 1.6 2----Pla
5 3 3
6 4.5 4
2 3.5 7----Win

Ex 26.20

r4.
1 2 3-----Win
6 3 4
3 8 5
5 10 6

r5.
5 4 2
8 4.5 2.5---Win
2 2.5 14

r6.
6 2 3
2 2.5 3---Pla
3 1.6 4---Win
4 12 4.5

Ex- 10.80

r7.
4 8 3
9 2.5 6---Win
8 4.5 6
3 10 7

r8.
7 2.5 3.5---Win
4 4.5 5
3 3.5 5---Pla
6 4 5

Ex- 15.20

r9.
2 2 4---Pla
7 12 4
6 4.5 4
1 1.6 5----Win

Ex- 16.60

r10
10 2 3
9 8 6---Pla
8 5 9
7 10 10


Nice win % but Still tasting Chalk.
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Old 07-11-2009, 08:47 PM   #4
formula_2002
what an easy game.
 
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with a win in almost every race, (i think you missed two in two days)
it might make sense to normalize your picks fair odds and then dutch bet all of them.

It might work better normalizing the track odds with 0 minuets to post and then dutch.

Good luck.
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Old 07-11-2009, 09:04 PM   #5
formula_2002
what an easy game.
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
with a win in almost every race, (i think you missed two in two days)
it might make sense to normalize your picks fair odds and then dutch bet all of them.

It might work better normalizing the track odds with 0 minuets to post and then dutch.

Good luck.
Code:
4.5	0.181818182	0.288600289	8.4	1.212121212
4.5	0.181818182	0.288600289		
6	0.142857143	0.22675737		
7	0.125	0.198412698		
	0.631493506	1.002370645
example above:
1.21 roi dutching all picks in 1st race
compared to a 1.05 roi if you flatbet all four.
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Old 07-11-2009, 11:01 PM   #6
Handiman
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I have a program I wrote some time ago called "The Dutchman" it dutches up to 4 horses and figures optimum bet based on percent of bankroll user wishes to max risk per race.

It's pretty cool. If I can find it I might be able to add it to the Fast program.

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Old 07-11-2009, 11:03 PM   #7
Handiman
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By the way I played mountaineer tonight and while belmont has been chalky, mountaineer had wins with fast of 22.00 30.00 19.00 and a couple smaller ones.

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Old 07-11-2009, 11:35 PM   #8
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Nice Work
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