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Old 02-03-2017, 07:07 AM   #31
PICSIX
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Fulcrum definition from "Handicapping Magic"; The fulcrum pace is the fastest second call time of all the contestants in the race taken from their last race, provided that the race is competitive and not atypically fast for the horse.

Part of the approach is to eliminate horses that have run poorly against similar fulcrum pace as today's race.

BTW, Handicapping Magic software is less expensive than Black Magic. I know Black Magic does more but I don't know how much more.
The software title is "The Handicapping Magician"
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Old 02-03-2017, 01:05 PM   #32
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PICSIX
Fulcrum definition from "Handicapping Magic"; The fulcrum pace is the fastest second call time of all the contestants in the race taken from their last race, provided that the race is competitive and not atypically fast for the horse.

Part of the approach is to eliminate horses that have run poorly against similar fulcrum pace as today's race.

BTW, Handicapping Magic software is less expensive than Black Magic. I know Black Magic does more but I don't know how much more.
It does much more trust me!
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Old 02-03-2017, 01:25 PM   #33
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TMM

I am a big fan of Pizzolla's but TMM is not a program I would recommend except for a couple of suggestions noted below.

TMM was basically developed as a tandem to the book Handicapping Magic and intentionally uses simple numbers that are relatively easily to calculate per the book (although who would want to do them by hand after you have learned how to and how they work? - thus the program). No real track to track adjustments and there are only rough approximations for surface and distance changes at the same track.

Having said that you get some really contrarian numbers and if you have some desire to see how the concepts of Handicapping Magic play out then get the program. Plus it's simple to use etc.

Black Magic (and hopefully soon, ValueCapper) is on a different plane of existence and uses velocity numbers, pace numbers, etc., etc. There is a learning curve but I've seen and used other programs with a much steeper curve. Having said that it is, thankfully, not a black box and requires handicapping and judgment, which means 5 BLAM players may wind up betting on 5 different horses in the same race! Hopefully I have the winner...

Best, Frank
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Old 02-03-2017, 01:38 PM   #34
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So, Mr, Speed - do you have TMM or Black Magic (BLAM) -I thought you had BLAM and if I'm wrong - and for all of those other folks out there who have and like TMM - that's great! It does do some interesting stuff...I used it several years and learned a lot but I was never happy with the numbers and thought it was a step down from his earlier program (name forgoteen at this point); although part of what Michael taught (same thing as Dick Schmidt) is that the numbers just need to be "good enough" - they all have variations and built in error, etc.
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Old 02-03-2017, 02:06 PM   #35
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Originally Posted by cato
So, Mr, Speed - do you have TMM or Black Magic (BLAM) -I thought you had BLAM and if I'm wrong - and for all of those other folks out there who have and like TMM - that's great! It does do some interesting stuff...I used it several years and learned a lot but I was never happy with the numbers and thought it was a step down from his earlier program (name forgoteen at this point); although part of what Michael taught (same thing as Dick Schmidt) is that the numbers just need to be "good enough" - they all have variations and built in error, etc.
Never used BM until now and I really like it!
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Old 02-03-2017, 02:09 PM   #36
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Thanks a lot Bill! I'm finding out some really interesting things! Was checking the fulcrum pace horse in dirt sprints today. There were 47 sprints and the fulcrum ran ITM in 17 of them, but 19 races did not have a fulcrum horse so in 17 of 28 races the fulcrum ran ITM. Betting to show would have been $34 bet with a return of $60.5 for a 1.78 ROI. I have to say I'm really loving this software!
Wouldn't you have bet $56, not $34, if there were 28 races?
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Old 02-03-2017, 02:47 PM   #37
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Wouldn't you have bet $56, not $34, if there were 28 races?
Your right! just a little profit now.
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Old 02-03-2017, 07:34 PM   #38
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ive used blam and was impressed primarily with the longshots it was able to detect. ive watched mike pizzolla's tapes and he is a real entertaining guy to see operate. to sum up his method, it was to me the longshots from blam hooked up with other horses in exotics that put him way over the top in roi.
hope you get a real kick out of the program speed figure
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Old 02-04-2017, 10:17 AM   #39
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Wasn't Michael Pizzola a protege of Jim the Hat Bradshaw?
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Old 02-04-2017, 12:39 PM   #40
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No, Sartin.
But Bradshaw did teach him the idea of a fulcrum and the PBS numbers.
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Old 02-08-2017, 12:01 AM   #41
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Fulcrum

Hey Speed. Play the fulcrum under in the exacta and you will have plenty of money for other bets. Finishes second a lot. Cha Ching!!

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Old 02-08-2017, 02:04 AM   #42
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Anybody planning on buying the new ValueCapper when it becomes available?
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Old 02-08-2017, 02:13 AM   #43
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Anybody planning on buying the new ValueCapper when it becomes available?
Wouldn't hold my breath on it ever coming out. Have you clicked on the graphic for the software? It says copyright 2015. It's been "coming soon" for nearly two years.
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Old 02-08-2017, 02:23 AM   #44
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Wouldn't hold my breath on it ever coming out. Have you clicked on the graphic for the software? It says copyright 2015. It's been "coming soon" for nearly two years.
lol I know. I saw a video with Mike P from a few months ago and he said it would be this spring I think.
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Old 02-14-2017, 11:19 PM   #45
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Pizzola

What I like about mike and his organization is when I spent 12 or 13 hundred dollars for the master handicapper program and after a few years he no longer supported it or put out the files for it. It was really great.
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