What to you look for in turf sprints?

[Maximillion]

She really appears to be struggling at Laurel.

[kingfin66]

Originally Posted by cj

Last two years, turf sprints, NYRA circuit

Chad Brown, 86 starts, 17 wins, 20%, $1.35 ROI per $2

(26%, $1.82 ROI for all NYRA starters last two years)

Linda Rice, 141 starts, 23 wins, 16%, $1.49 ROI

(23%, $1.82 ROI overall)

Christophe Clement, 123 starts, 31 wins, 25%, $2.52 ROI

(19%, $1.69 ROI overall)

I think I'll pass on the first two.

I double checked my numbers and came out much closer to yours than I did last night.

Clement, 134 starts, 34 wins, 25.4%, $2.52 ROI

At Saratoga I have him at 10/34 29.4% $3.02, or as I like to call it, way more than enough to bet him in this situation!

[thespaah]

Originally Posted by Todaysracingdigest

With Belmont opening their meet on Friday, April 28, it is time for an influx of turf sprints!

I first look at trainer and jockey stats to see how they have done in the past with turf sprints. Then I look if the horse has any turf sprint experience.

One of my favorite angles are turf routers who try a turf sprint for the first time. They seem to run well a majority of the time (Remember Bobby's Kitten?)

I look for races where there are two or three speedballs.
Then toss those from the top and put those breaking from the outside that come from JUST off the pace on the top of my exotics. I have heard many trainers state this "speed is inside my horse so the rider can see what the speed is doing"...That HAS to mean something good. So I go with their expertise.
This angle works rather well.
One thing. If the turf course has not had any rain on it for several days, closers and stalkers are pretty much dead in the water. Speed kills on hard turf surfaces.

[Lose The Juice]

Originally Posted by Lose The Juice

Disco Partner just blasted home in 34.31 to win his seasonal, 7f on turf, first start for Clement, 5 wide around the field.

1:05.67 track record coming back off that.

[Lose The Juice]

105:39 by Trakus, final quarter 21.87. Tripped out, but numbers still amazing.

[Robert Fischer]

I look to survive.

Hopefully can eliminate a 1/3 of the field.

I emphasize chalk more than I emphasize opinions, when weighting the wagers.

Once in while, I'll have some standout horses at a price, but the above scenario happens quite a bit when stringing together multis.