We've had easterly winds most days so far in NW suburban Chicago and that really kills speed out of the 1 mile chute. Of the 8 furlongs, 5 are run due east, about 1 is around the turn, and about 2 furlongs for the homestretch so speed has definitely been disadvantaged in the mile races. The winds will shift as we get closer to June and they will come out of the west and speed should hold a bit better at 1 mile and 7 furlongs.
I've noticed there's been quite a few repeat winners and dropping speed, a great angle at normal dirt meets, has not been good. And IMO, speed figures, be they Beyers, T-Graph, BRIS or my own, aren't very good over this fake stuff.
Here's the proto-type winner, from what I've seen:
1. coming off a win. Doesn't matter if its moving up
2. Stalking or closing running style. Speed has not been good
3. At least one work over the Poly (be it at AP or Kee or TP) since a horse's last race.
Last edited by Valuist; 05-21-2007 at 11:46 PM.
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