|
07-08-2014, 02:59 PM
|
#1
|
Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,799
|
a question for the figure makers here
does anyone take into consideration the weight compensation in basing the final number?
|
|
|
07-08-2014, 03:05 PM
|
#2
|
Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: The Big Apple
Posts: 4,252
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy
does anyone take into consideration the weight compensation in basing the final number?
|
I am not sure I understand your question; please elaborate
__________________
Independent thinking, emotional stability, and a keen understanding of both human and institutional behavior are vital to long-term investment success – My hero, Warren Edward Buffett
"Science is correct; even if you don't believe it" - Neil deGrasse Tyson
|
|
|
07-08-2014, 03:11 PM
|
#3
|
Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,799
|
some horses are assigned different weights in a race. for instance in 3 year old and up races, the 3 year old's always carry less weight than the older horses. often times 4 pounds. so my question is simple, does the final number that the figure maker puts on the horse reflect the difference in weight at all?
|
|
|
07-08-2014, 03:26 PM
|
#4
|
Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 441
|
Effect of Weight on Time Per Distance
Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy
does anyone take into consideration the weight compensation in basing the final number?
|
D_______delta(w)/delta(t)
(f)______(kg/s)
5_______13.61
6_______10.87
7________9.04
8________7.74
10_______6.03
12_______4.94
|
|
|
07-08-2014, 09:00 PM
|
#5
|
Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2014
Posts: 52
|
No...I find that it is worthless and not worth the effort
|
|
|
07-08-2014, 11:17 PM
|
#6
|
@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,833
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy
does anyone take into consideration the weight compensation in basing the final number?
|
Yes.
|
|
|
07-08-2014, 11:18 PM
|
#7
|
@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,833
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by clemkadiddle
No...I find that it is worthless and not worth the effort
|
Worthless can be debated, but not worth the effort? If you are using any kind of computer to assist there is no effort required.
|
|
|
07-09-2014, 01:35 AM
|
#8
|
Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 68
|
If the front runner in a 9f race was carrying 133lbs and his challengers were carrying 110lbs it would matter. But the 3 to 5 lbs difference for allowances doesn't matter. Especially in a sprint. What if the horse gained 50lbs between races. If you had the weight every horse on race day and no one else did that would be helpful.
|
|
|
07-10-2014, 10:49 AM
|
#9
|
Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 75
|
The Sheets guys do.
|
|
|
07-10-2014, 03:07 PM
|
#10
|
Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 20,640
|
When I look at figures I know I am dealing with approximations of pace, final time, and the relationship between the two. Then I am trying to incorporate very subjective judgments about ground loss, bias, quality of competition, and other component of trip on top of it to have an overall assessment.
There is a lot of room for small and even large error there.
So to me, a couple of pounds either way is a rounding error at best. I'll only notice huge weight shifts.
If you are the point where a few pounds matters, IMO you should already just be looking at the odds.
__________________
"Unlearning is the highest form of learning"
|
|
|
07-10-2014, 11:02 PM
|
#11
|
Apprentice
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: Va
Posts: 18
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy
does anyone take into consideration the weight compensation in basing the final number?
|
The Ragozin Sheets, best figures by far do.
Last edited by Silver florin; 07-10-2014 at 11:03 PM.
|
|
|
07-11-2014, 04:15 PM
|
#12
|
Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: The Big Apple
Posts: 4,252
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy
does anyone take into consideration the weight compensation in basing the final number?
|
Now that I understand your question, using just the weight toted by the horse would not be sufficient; you would need the weight toted by the horse plus its body weight.
__________________
Independent thinking, emotional stability, and a keen understanding of both human and institutional behavior are vital to long-term investment success – My hero, Warren Edward Buffett
"Science is correct; even if you don't believe it" - Neil deGrasse Tyson
|
|
|
07-11-2014, 04:20 PM
|
#13
|
@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,833
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cratos
Now that I understand your question, using just the weight toted by the horse would not be sufficient; you would need the weight toted by the horse plus its body weight.
|
This is the equivalent of saying since we don't know the exact makeup and moisture content of the track, we can't use the time of the race.
|
|
|
07-11-2014, 05:20 PM
|
#14
|
Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: The Big Apple
Posts: 4,252
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
This is the equivalent of saying since we don't know the exact makeup and moisture content of the track, we can't use the time of the race.
|
No it is not, your analogy is not even close. There has many studies done on this issue (search the Internet) and they all come to same conclusion, total weight of a horse and its load is what needed to calculate its energy and stamina over a distance with respect to speed. In other words, the science of physics doesn’t lie.
__________________
Independent thinking, emotional stability, and a keen understanding of both human and institutional behavior are vital to long-term investment success – My hero, Warren Edward Buffett
"Science is correct; even if you don't believe it" - Neil deGrasse Tyson
|
|
|
07-11-2014, 06:04 PM
|
#15
|
@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,833
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cratos
No it is not, your analogy is not even close. There has many studies done on this issue (search the Internet) and they all come to same conclusion, total weight of a horse and its load is what needed to calculate its energy and stamina over a distance with respect to speed. In other words, the science of physics doesn’t lie.
|
I'm not arguing that. I'm just saying if you don't have all the data, it doesn't mean you can't use pieces of it to your benefit.
|
|
|
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
|
|