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12-05-2015, 01:37 PM
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#241
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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After scratches
PHP Code:
Haw AMS EuroSpd BRIS
r1: 3-2-6-5 3-6-2-5 6-3-2-5
r2: NA
r3: NA
r4: 1-2-6-5 5-1-7-6 7-2-5-6
r5: 3-5-8-2 5-3-8-2 5-8-3-2
r6: NA
r7: NA
r8: 6-3-5-7 6-3-7-5 3-6-8-7
Race 7 has 8 out of 10 horses over weight. They must have all over eatenat Thanksgiving.
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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12-05-2015, 03:52 PM
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#242
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Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 16,922
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Quote:
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Race 7 has 8 out of 10 horses over weight. They must have all over eatenat Thanksgiving.
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More likely the jockey. 
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12-06-2015, 07:20 AM
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#243
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Capper Al
PHP Code:
Haw AMS EuroSpd BRIS
r1: 3-2-6-5 3-6-2-5 6-3-2-5
r2: NA
r3: NA
r4: 1-2-6-5 5-1-7-6 7-2-5-6
r5: 3-5-8-2 5-3-8-2 5-8-3-2
r6: NA
r7: NA
r8: 6-3-5-7 6-3-7-5 3-6-8-7
Race 7 has 8 out of 10 horses over weight. They must have all over eatenat Thanksgiving. |
I'm just going to give this up to BRIS. Again all BRIS winners were the same as my final selection not my speed figures making me think once more that BRIS speed figures aren't really speed figures as one would think but are handicapped figures. I'll be going into a hundred race test of my figures verse BRIS and Beyer. All my figs are truly speed figs including my new figs about to be tested.
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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12-06-2015, 10:21 AM
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#244
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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Sunday GP 06 Dec
Punishment -- More Speed fig rankings. Races 6, 7, 8 and 10 are Maidens and N/A.
Code:
r1 r2 R3
Speed A B C D Speed A B C D Speed A B C D
AMS 7 6 3 8 AMS 10 8 7 5 AMS 1 4 5 2
Euro 7 3 5 8 Euro 8 10 7 5 Euro 1 2 4 5
BRIS 7 8 3 4 BRIS 8 7 1 5 BRIS 4 6 7 8
AMS2 7 6 3 8 AMS2 10 8 7 5 AMS2 1 4 5 2
Euro2 7 3 5 8 Euro2 8 10 7 5 Euro2 1 2 4 5
BRIS2 7 3 8 4 BRIS2 7 8 5 1 BRIS2 4 7 2 6
r4 r5 r6 MSW N/A
Speed A B C D Speed A B C D Speed A B C D
AMS 10 2 14 15 AMS 5 8 2 7 AMS 11 6 8 2
Euro 14 7 15 8 Euro 5 9 8 2 Euro 11 8 6 10
BRIS 1 14 10 7 BRIS 5 2 8 6 BRIS 5 1 10 2
AMS2 10 2 14 15 AMS2 5 8 2 7 AMS2 11 6 8 2
Euro2 14 15 8 7 Euro2 5 9 8 2 Euro2 11 8 6 10
BRIS2 1 14 10 7 BRIS2 5 2 8 6 BRIS2 8 5 1 10
r7 MC N/A r8 MC N/A r9
Speed A B C D Speed A B C D Speed A B C D
AMS 12 9 14 11 AMS 7 4 5 3 AMS 9 1 2 3
Euro 9 11 12 14 Euro 7 4 5 3 Euro 1 3 9 10
BRIS 4 9 12 11 BRIS 7 11 9 14 BRIS 1 9 6 8
AMS2 12 9 14 11 AMS2 7 4 5 3 AMS2 9 2 1 3
Euro2 11 9 12 14 Euro2 7 4 5 3 Euro2 1 3 9 10
BRIS2 4 9 12 11 BRIS2 7 11 4 9 BRIS2 1 9 6 2
r10
Speed A B C D
AMS 10 5 16 14
Euro 10 16 5 11
BRIS 13 7 2 10
AMS2 10 5 16 14
Euro2 10 16 5 11
BRIS2 13 7 10 2
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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12-06-2015, 11:09 AM
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#245
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Fort Worth,Texas
Posts: 606
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Capper Al
I'm just going to give this up to BRIS. Again all BRIS winners were the same as my final selection not my speed figures making me think once more that BRIS speed figures aren't really speed figures as one would think but are handicapped figures. I'll be going into a hundred race test of my figures verse BRIS and Beyer. All my figs are truly speed figs including my new figs about to be tested.
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Attached is Bris' exlanation of from Bris on how they compute speed figures.
It is speed rating plus track variant and adjusted from track to track.
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12-06-2015, 12:07 PM
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#246
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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GP is out for today's testing. Too many scratches and not enough time to re-figure on a Sunday afternoon.
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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12-12-2015, 08:00 AM
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#247
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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GP Saturday 12 Dec Selections
Before Scratches:
r1: 5 6 8 1 @ 4/1
r2: 13 2 7 9 @ 4/1
r3: 7 3 6 5 @ 4/1
r4: 1 9 4 3 @ 5/1
r5: 5 14 6 2 @ 2/1
r6: 4 5 16 11 @ 4/1
r7: 1 6 7 2 @ 4/1
r8: 9 8 6 10 @ 4/1 Best Bet
r9: 6 4 1 10 @ 3/1
r10: 7 4 6 2 @ 4/1
r11: 12 10 11 6 @ 4/1
Let's see how long the streak goes. Will it be three in a row with 50% plus winners?
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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12-12-2015, 08:24 AM
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#248
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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Best Bet
Why isn't #5 in today's race 5 at GP today with lower odds a better bet than #9 in race 8? It's all in how I set my odds. Unlike like taking weighted factors and adding them up and then reformat the percentages(the typical morning line) in to odds, I count contenders and add 1 for the unknown horse. For me this is a more realistic approach instead of fantasying that my numbers are exact or near to the truth. It works pretty well.
In race 5 there are two contenders that can win by my methods. Adding one for the unknown horse that doesn't figure gives me 3 horses or 1 out of 3 which is 2/1 odds.
Race 8 has four contenders making resulting in 4/1 odds. So why is #9 in race 8 preferred to #5 in race 5? Because it out distances the other contenders by more and is a consensus horse between myself, ML, and BRIS Prime. My next post on today's speed analysis will make this clear.
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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12-12-2015, 08:28 AM
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#249
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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Today's Speed figs
(More punishment)
Race 6 and Race 8 have consensus top speed figs, not race 5.
Code:
r1 r2 R3
Speed A B C D Speed A B C D Speed A B C D
AMS 5 8 2 10 AMS 9 1 2 11 AMS 5 2 7 8
Euro 5 8 6 10 Euro 2 9 1 11 Euro 2 5 7 8
BRIS 8 7 6 5 BRIS 2 7 13 9 BRIS 7 8 4 1
Guest Guest Guest
AMS2 5 8 2 10 AMS2 9 1 2 11 AMS2 5 2 7 8
Euro2 5 8 6 10 Euro2 2 9 1 11 Euro2 2 5 7 8
BRIS2 7 8 5 6 BRIS2 2 7 13 9 BRIS2 8 4 7 1
r4 r5 r6
Speed A B C D Speed A B C D Speed A B C D
AMS 11 3 9 1 AMS 6 15 13 12 AMS 5 11 7 13
Euro 3 11 9 1 Euro 1 12 13 11 Euro 5 9 11 15
BRIS 10 4 1 2 BRIS 14 13 12 5 BRIS 5 7 12 11
Guest Guest Guest
AMS2 11 3 9 1 AMS2 6 15 13 12 AMS2 5 11 7 13
Euro2 3 9 11 1 Euro2 1 12 13 11 Euro2 5 9 11 15
BRIS2 2 9 10 1 BRIS2 14 13 12 5 BRIS2 5 7 11 15
r7 r8 r9
Speed A B C D Speed A B C D 7 Speed A B C D
AMS 13 9 2 5 AMS 9 11 6 8 AMS 9 4 1 6
Euro 13 2 5 9 Euro 9 11 6 8 Euro 9 4 1 8
BRIS 9 5 2 6 BRIS 9 10 6 7 BRIS 10 4 8 3
Guest Guest Guest
AMS2 13 9 2 5 AMS2 9 11 6 8 AMS2 9 4 1 6
Euro2 13 2 5 9 Euro2 9 11 6 8 Euro2 9 4 1 8
BRIS2 9 13 5 2 BRIS2 9 6 11 10 BRIS2 10 4 3 8
r10 r11 r12
Speed A B C D Speed A B C D
AMS 3 8 1 2 AMS 4 11 12 6
Euro 3 2 7 6 Euro 11 4 12 6
BRIS 4 10 6 2 BRIS 12 10 5 4
Guest Guest
AMS2 3 8 1 2 AMS2 4 11 12 6
Euro2 3 2 7 8 Euro2 11 4 12 6
BRIS2 4 6 10 2 BRIS2 12 10 5 3
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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12-12-2015, 11:33 AM
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#250
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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GP 12 Dec
After scratches:
r1: 5 6 8 1 @ 4/1
r2: 13 2 7 9 @ 4/1
r3: 7 3 6 5 @ 4/1
r4: 1 9 4 3 @ 5/1
r5: 5 2 6 12 @ 4/1
r6: 11 16 15 13 @ 4/1
r7: 1 6 7 2 @ 4/1
r8: 9 6 8 11 @ 4/1 Best Bet
r9: 6 4 1 10 @ 3/1
r10: 7 4 6 2 @ 4/1
r11: 12 10 6 5 @ 5/1
Good Luck!
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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12-12-2015, 11:35 AM
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#251
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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(More Punishment)
Code:
r1 r2 R3
Speed A B C D Speed A B C D Speed A B C D
AMS 5 8 2 10 AMS 9 1 2 11 AMS 5 2 7 8
Euro 5 8 6 10 Euro 2 9 1 11 Euro 2 5 7 8
BRIS 8 7 6 5 BRIS 2 7 13 9 BRIS 7 8 4 1
Guest Guest Guest
AMS2 5 8 2 10 AMS2 9 1 2 11 AMS2 5 2 7 8
Euro2 5 8 6 10 Euro2 2 9 1 11 Euro2 2 5 7 8
BRIS2 7 8 5 6 BRIS2 2 7 13 9 BRIS2 8 4 7 1
r4 r5 r6
Speed A B C D Speed A B C D Speed A B C D
AMS 11 3 9 1 AMS 6 13 12 1 AMS 11 7 13 1
Euro 3 11 9 1 Euro 1 12 13 11 Euro 11 15 7 13
BRIS 10 4 1 2 BRIS 13 12 5 4 BRIS 7 11 15 1
Guest Guest Guest
AMS2 11 3 9 1 AMS2 6 13 12 1 AMS2 11 7 13 1
Euro2 3 9 11 1 Euro2 1 12 13 11 Euro2 15 11 7 13
BRIS2 2 9 10 1 BRIS2 13 12 5 6 BRIS2 11 7 15 1
r7 r8 r9
Speed A B C D Speed A B C D 7 Speed A B C D
AMS 13 9 2 5 AMS 9 11 6 8 AMS 9 4 1 6
Euro 13 2 5 9 Euro 9 11 6 8 Euro 9 4 1 8
BRIS 9 5 2 13 BRIS 9 6 7 11 BRIS 10 4 8 3
Guest Guest Guest
AMS2 13 9 2 5 AMS2 9 11 6 8 AMS2 9 4 1 6
Euro2 13 2 5 9 Euro2 9 11 6 8 Euro2 9 4 1 8
BRIS2 9 13 5 2 BRIS2 9 6 11 7 BRIS2 10 4 3 8
r10 r11 r12
Speed A B C D Speed A B C D
AMS 3 8 1 2 AMS 4 12 6 3
Euro 3 2 7 6 Euro 4 12 6 5
BRIS 4 10 6 2 BRIS 12 10 5 4
Guest Guest
AMS2 3 8 1 2 AMS2 4 12 6 3
Euro2 3 2 7 8 Euro2 4 12 6 5
BRIS2 4 6 10 2 BRIS2 12 10 5 3
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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12-12-2015, 01:30 PM
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#252
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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Speed fig update
Scratch race 11 at gP:
Code:
Speed A B C D
AMS 4 12 6 3
Euro 4 12 6 3
BRIS 12 10 4 3
Guest
AMS2 4 12 6 3
Euro2 4 12 6 3
BRIS2 12 10 3 4
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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12-12-2015, 03:38 PM
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#253
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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Late scratch GP race 11
Now
r11: 10 6 1 3 @ 5/1
Speed
Code:
Speed A B C D
AMS 4 6 3 7
Euro 4 6 3 1
BRIS 10 4 3 1
Guest
AMS2 4 6 3 7
Euro2 4 6 3 1
BRIS2 10 3 4 9
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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12-13-2015, 07:06 AM
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#254
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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What a day at GP. Two bombs hit which weren't on my radar. A $2 bet to win would of returned $131 and $166 for these bombs. As for speed figs, BRIS nosed me out in the last race, but not really a sparling day for either of us. I like GP, but it is tough.
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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12-18-2015, 12:57 PM
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#255
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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Tampa Bay 19 Dec Selections
6 out of 10 Races are maiden races. 7 races both BRIS Prime and the Morning Line agree. I even agree with them in 6 out of these 7 races. Beware!!!
More info can be found in the thread 'What's up with the Capper?'.
Good Luck
Before Scratches:
Before Scratches:
r1: 12 7 5 4 @ 4/1
r2: 5 1 8 3 @ 5/1
r3: 7 1 8 9 @ 4/1
r4: 11 4 3 7 @ 3/1
r5: 11 13 6 12 @ 2/1
r6: 6 8 1 3 @ 3/1 Best Bet
r7: 11 12 10 3 @ 4/1
r8: 3 1 5 7 @ 4/1
r9: 7 10 11 9 @ 3/1
r10: 8 4 9 7 @ 3/1
__________________
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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