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01-06-2018, 11:12 AM
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#211
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,125
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Gulfstream Race #1:
Fox Rox 10-1
Got to think the last was a needed race. In for a tag today and if you ignore the last race you have some solid speed figures for this group.
Race #4:
Starship Rocky 10-1
I see a high figure 2 back, but that was in the slop. Given a short break and reinforced that figure on this surface, and notice he missed the break in that one.
Race #10:
Bal Harbour 9-2
Highest last race figure, Pletcher and Johnny V. Second off the lay off and just keeps improving.
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01-07-2018, 11:42 AM
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#212
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,125
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Gulfstream Race #8:
I'm Pretty Strong 10-1
Does not look to be a strong field and trainer is solid. Lezcano is the first to give her a try. Solid works leading up to debut.
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01-07-2018, 01:46 PM
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#213
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 5,005
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I'll use yours with Motion's , 2TS, FTL.
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01-07-2018, 09:05 PM
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#214
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,125
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Laurel Race #7:
Power Of Snunner 10-1
8 yr old is a tough one. Race off the break was a sprint and not a bad run. Can't help but think that was the prep for this one. Running style fits the track and notice most of the speed is drawn inside of this one.
Race #8:
El Areeb 15-1
The Withers runner is doing what I always thought he should do. Sprint. Got to know the track in last in a 7f affair, and cuts back to 6 today. 4 works since last and is back with McCarthy.
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01-10-2018, 12:04 AM
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#215
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,125
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Gulfstream Race #2:
Frosty The Dragon 8-1
All the picks today are the same type of horse. Catch me if you can.
Race #6
Billy The Bull 9-2
Race #8:
Mr Joshua 6-1
Race #10
Prince of England 8-1
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01-11-2018, 09:39 AM
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#216
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,125
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
Gulfstream Race #2:
Frosty The Dragon 8-1
All the picks today are the same type of horse. Catch me if you can.
Race #6
Billy The Bull 9-2
Race #8:
Mr Joshua 6-1
Race #10
Prince of England 8-1
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One scratch and 2 of three were winners. Not bad but there was one thing missing in the winners, price.
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01-11-2018, 09:48 AM
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#217
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,125
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Gulfstream Race #4:
Cordele 6-1
Ton of speed in this one, outside draw and has tactical speed. Class is a question, but if you judge class by wins, she is 3 for 3 at this distance on the turf.
Race #7:
Lucky Switch 10-1
Solid trainer and jockey team up here. Off the pace runner tries the turf for the first time. Race sets up well for the running style. Drop in class might get her over the top.
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01-11-2018, 10:17 AM
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#218
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Hey Jay,
There are only 10 Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct which makes up only 14.9% of the entire card
Code:
RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 01-11-2018 1st race 2 Holland Park (KY) Maiden Special Weight One And One Eighth Miles K P McLaughlin 4/5# Dirt
2 01-11-2018 2nd race 2 All Clear (KY) Starter Allowance Six Furlongs D Gargan 7/5# Dirt
3 01-11-2018 3rd race 1 Frost Wise (NY) Stakes One And One Eighth Miles M Dilger 8/5# Dirt
4 01-11-2018 3rd race 4 Frostie Anne (NY) Stakes One And One Eighth Miles R R Rodriguez 2/1# Dirt
5 01-11-2018 3rd race 5 Riot Worthy (NY) Stakes One And One Eighth Miles C Baker 5/2# Dirt
6 01-11-2018 4th race 5 Stan the Man (KY) Maiden Special Weight Six Furlongs J P Terranova II 2/1# Dirt
7 01-11-2018 4th race 7 Preservationist (KY) Maiden Special Weight Six Furlongs J A Jerkens 6/5# Dirt
8 01-11-2018 5th race 6 Maddizaskar (KY) Claiming One Mile J T Toscano Jr. 9/5# Dirt
9 01-11-2018 6th race 3 Northern (FL) Claiming Six And One Half Furlongs W A Ward 2/1# Dirt
10 01-11-2018 8th race 1 Westwood (KY) Allowance Six And One Half Furlongs K P McLaughlin 9/5# Dirt
So I would venture a guess and say that win prices should be good today for any long shots that you come up with for the card!!!
I'm leaning on Gargan, Rodriguez, and J P (Terra Squad) Terranova for today's chalk!!!
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01-11-2018, 10:49 AM
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#219
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Hey Jay,
There are only 10 Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct which makes up only 14.9% of the entire card
Code:
RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 01-11-2018 1st race 2 Holland Park (KY) Maiden Special Weight One And One Eighth Miles K P McLaughlin 4/5# Dirt
2 01-11-2018 2nd race 2 All Clear (KY) Starter Allowance Six Furlongs D Gargan 7/5# Dirt
3 01-11-2018 3rd race 1 Frost Wise (NY) Stakes One And One Eighth Miles M Dilger 8/5# Dirt
4 01-11-2018 3rd race 4 Frostie Anne (NY) Stakes One And One Eighth Miles R R Rodriguez 2/1# Dirt
5 01-11-2018 3rd race 5 Riot Worthy (NY) Stakes One And One Eighth Miles C Baker 5/2# Dirt
6 01-11-2018 4th race 5 Stan the Man (KY) Maiden Special Weight Six Furlongs J P Terranova II 2/1# Dirt
7 01-11-2018 4th race 7 Preservationist (KY) Maiden Special Weight Six Furlongs J A Jerkens 6/5# Dirt
8 01-11-2018 5th race 6 Maddizaskar (KY) Claiming One Mile J T Toscano Jr. 9/5# Dirt
9 01-11-2018 6th race 3 Northern (FL) Claiming Six And One Half Furlongs W A Ward 2/1# Dirt
10 01-11-2018 8th race 1 Westwood (KY) Allowance Six And One Half Furlongs K P McLaughlin 9/5# Dirt
So I would venture a guess and say that win prices should be good today for any long shots that you come up with for the card!!!
I'm leaning on Gargan, Rodriguez, and J P (Terra Squad) Terranova for today's chalk!!!
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The percentages were before scratches
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01-12-2018, 12:24 AM
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#220
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,125
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Gulfstream Race #8:
One Direction Song 15-1
Try to steel this one. Looks like this race has some speed in it. Rail is out for this one and I like the speed on the turf when the rail is out. If you think a speed duel is in order in this race, look again. The other speed won its last race, on Wednesday.
Race #9:
Diddley 12-1
Dirt to turf is hard to judge, but the running style helps. Gets a hot jockey and the outside post puts this guy in a ideal stalking situation.
Aqueduct Race #7:
Dream Fever 6-1
Second off for a trainer that hits good here. Need the lead type can go wire to wire here.
Race #9:
Queen Apollo 8-1
Beat by the favorite in last while wide and the other got a much better trip. Even with the outside draw, has less competition for the lead here and turns the table.
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01-12-2018, 09:25 AM
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#221
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
Gulfstream Race #8:
One Direction Song 15-1
Try to steel this one. Looks like this race has some speed in it. Rail is out for this one and I like the speed on the turf when the rail is out. If you think a speed duel is in order in this race, look again. The other speed won its last race, on Wednesday.
Race #9:
Diddley 12-1
Dirt to turf is hard to judge, but the running style helps. Gets a hot jockey and the outside post puts this guy in a ideal stalking situation.
Aqueduct Race #7:
Dream Fever 6-1
Second off for a trainer that hits good here. Need the lead type can go wire to wire here.
Race #9:
Queen Apollo 8-1
Beat by the favorite in last while wide and the other got a much better trip. Even with the outside draw, has less competition for the lead here and turns the table.
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Hey Jay
There are quite a number of Morning Line Favorites today at Aqueduct
Code:
RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 01-12-2018 1st race 5 Hembree (KY) Starter Allowance One Mile R R Rodriguez 2/1# Dirt
2 01-12-2018 1st race 6 Vilma (KY) Starter Allowance One Mile L Rice 9/5# Dirt
3 01-12-2018 2nd race 1 Cocktail Countess (KY) Maiden Claiming Six And One Half Furlongs L Rice 2/1# Dirt
4 01-12-2018 2nd race 8 Solitary Gem (KY) Maiden Claiming Six And One Half Furlongs L Gyarmati 7/5# Dirt
5 01-12-2018 3rd race 1 Cotton Candy Cutie (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming One And One Eighth Miles R R Rodriguez 6/5# Dirt
6 01-12-2018 3rd race 4 Connie A (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming One And One Eighth Miles T A Pletcher 5/2# Dirt
7 01-12-2018 4th race 5 War Eagles Return (KY) Claiming Six Furlongs C J Englehart 2/1# Dirt
8 01-12-2018 4th race 7 Afleet Martini (KY) Claiming Six Furlongs J C Englehart 5/2# Dirt
9 01-12-2018 5th race 1 Bluegrass Prevails (NY) Claiming Six Furlongs R R Rodriguez 5/2# Dirt
10 01-12-2018 6th race 1 Impazible Creek (NY) Maiden Claiming Six Furlongs J C Kimmel 6/5# Dirt
11 01-12-2018 6th race 1A Impazible Woman (NY) Maiden Claiming Six Furlongs J C Kimmel 6/5# Dirt
12 01-12-2018 7th race 5 Acquainted (KY) Starter Allowance Seven Furlongs L Rice 8/5# Dirt
13 01-12-2018 8th race 4 Holiday Disguise (NY) Stakes Seven Furlongs L Rice 5/2# Dirt
14 01-12-2018 8th race 6 Quezon (NY) Stakes Seven Furlongs R Ribaudo 7/5# Dirt
However, they only make up 18.9% of the entire card before scratches
So I think your longshots have a chance today provided the card can carry at least 60+ entrants
If the total card goes down toward the mid to low 50s things might get chalky we’ll see!!!
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01-12-2018, 12:43 PM
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#222
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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I've been tracking D S Lalman on the wet stuff for a while at Aqueduct
He had a $69 number in 2014
Let's see if he can hit the board with this one in the 7th
7th race
#7 Blushing Justine
Let's see if he can sneak this one in and hit the board at a price!!!
Last edited by TheOracle; 01-12-2018 at 12:45 PM.
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01-13-2018, 11:02 AM
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#223
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Hey Jay
There are only 9 Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct
Which makes up only 14% of the entire card
Code:
RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 01-13-2018 1st race 2 Praetereo (KY) Claiming One And One Fourth Miles R R Rodriguez 5/2# Dirt
2 01-13-2018 2nd race 5 Belleville Spring (NY) Maiden Special Weight Six Furlongs G Weaver 8/5# Dirt
3 01-13-2018 3rd race 2 T R Crew (PA) Allowance Optional Claiming One Mile D G Donk 2/1# Dirt
4 01-13-2018 3rd race 3 Pioneer Spirit (KY) Allowance Optional Claiming One Mile B H Cox 8/5# Dirt
5 01-13-2018 4th race 6 Tammany Giant (NY) Maiden Claiming Six Furlongs J T Toscano Jr. 5/2# Dirt
6 01-13-2018 5th race 4 My Boy Tate (NY) Stakes Seven Furlongs M Nevin 5/2# Dirt
7 01-13-2018 6th race 2 Polar City (KY) Claiming One Mile J C Englehart 5/2# Dirt
8 01-13-2018 7th race 8 Shimmering Moon (NY) Allowance Six And One Half Furlongs M Nevin 5/2# Dirt
9 01-13-2018 8th race 7 Firenze Fire (FL) Stakes One Mile J Servis 3/5# Dirt
So your longshots should do well today!!!
I’m leaning towards Rodriguez and Nevin’s horses less than 3-1 in the Morning Line today!!!
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01-13-2018, 11:21 AM
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#224
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,125
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Thanks Oracle
Aqueduct Race #7:
Bow Town Cat 15-1
Last time this one was second off the layoff at this distance, she recorded the highest figure in the race.
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01-14-2018, 12:09 PM
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#225
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,125
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Aqueduct Race #3:
My Rose of Savanna 12-1
Claimed in first start of life after finishing within a length of a 2 time winner. Moved across the country and caught a sloppy track in second start. Gets a fast track today and can return to the stalk and pounce of first race.
Status Asthmaticus 15-1
Tried to wire a higher class in first start of life. Gets some class relief for second start and can improve off the first try.
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