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Old 07-18-2013, 01:42 PM   #1
PhantomOnTour
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Saratoga - Fri R7...is Dawly good enough?

Taking a long look at this 12-1 ML runner for Rudy Rodriguez.
Obviously, he's a little win shy, but has been in all time form for his last five races....running fast vs good foes.
May not get the blinding pace war he would appreciate, but there's enough pace to give him a shot.
My figs have him among the best (along with Tenango and Strike One) and I doubt that 12-1 line holds. BRIS prime power has him ranked 2nd.
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Old 07-18-2013, 02:32 PM   #2
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Yeah he is but its hard to say how any of Rudy's runners are going to run because most of them ran their good looking figs/races when he was a 25% trainer.

I think that race is Strike One's coming out party.
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Old 07-18-2013, 05:06 PM   #3
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All depends on if Rudy is BACK.

Know what i mean?

Dawly was full of run on Apr 27th, regressed a bit on May 23rd and was an even 2nd as the favorite (although losing to a good one) and was really empty on June 29th losing to horses he was supposed to beat. This June 29th "effort" was in the height of the RRR ice cold streak...so, if that "streak" is over, this horse can show massive improvement and bounce back to his Apr 27th race.

I think i have to see RRR perform at RRR levels before i start betting him. But, that all depends on Price, Warmups, how the track is playing, scratches, etc. but right now, i'm not thinking of investing money on RRR trained horses.
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Old 07-18-2013, 10:09 PM   #4
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The race looks pretty tough. I picked STRIKE ONE but I could see a number of them winning it (including Dawly).

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Old 07-18-2013, 10:15 PM   #5
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Think I will use Wall Dance as my longshot in the exotics.
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Old 07-18-2013, 10:23 PM   #6
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New Line
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Old 07-18-2013, 11:57 PM   #7
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Tiletown Five comes up the horse to beat.... 7/8 his game
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Old 07-19-2013, 12:30 AM   #8
PhantomOnTour
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Dawly

One of the major reasons I like him is that he broke from the rail and raced on the rail during a week when that was not the place to be.
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Old 07-19-2013, 12:35 AM   #9
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I'm betting Titletown Five.
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Old 07-19-2013, 01:11 AM   #10
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Titletown Five will be tough - he is the quickest of them all, but man, Lukas has run him all over and at many distances.
So far this year he has run 6f on dirt, 1m-1m1/16-1m1/8 & 1m3/16 on dirt and a 5f turf race....but he's almost always there when he sprints on dirt, esp fast dirt. Why no works since Jun 28 ?
Need someone to keep him honest early, but he stands a pretty good chance of getting away. I will use him on top but not for a lot of money. Lukas is much better when his runners make their 2nd start at the meet.

Strike One will be used more prominently as will Tenango...wildcard runner for me is Indy's Illusion.
But i'm sticking with Dawly - who likes the track and distance, has competitive figs, and a minor excuse for his last.
The only concern for me is Rudy's cold barn.
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Old 07-19-2013, 01:14 AM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ron
I'm betting Titletown Five.
Where the hell have you been?
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Old 07-19-2013, 07:45 AM   #12
sammy the sage
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Reminds me of ANOTHER LuKas horse that ran w/a big gap in works in the Triple crown LAST 2 races...
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Old 07-19-2013, 11:58 AM   #13
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gets an outside post for the first time in a while, and should get a nice trip. Alw1x races have me leaning towards the more lightly raced mules, but I could see almost any of these winning.

Playing the with - -
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Old 07-19-2013, 01:09 PM   #14
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New Line- 6 weeks from Bullets! 7 Furlongs Perfect! I'd take this one for 10-1.

Indy's Illusion- not going to overlook this one at 12-1.
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Old 07-19-2013, 01:19 PM   #15
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I like the Tenango. He fin 2nd in an 85K by a nose. Hot Jockey
Trainer Combo.
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