The first thing I look at is how the horse runs next out after posting a top (doesn't really apply here to a horse that pretty much has improved each start).
Next I look at the work tab and time since the last race. About a month layoff, two pretty decent works, so no problem for me there.
Then lets look at conditions... won a maiden 75k, won in the slop in an OC 62.5k drawing away, today steps up into graded stakes company, a real class test.
All in all, I wouldn't necessarily expect a bounce based on the above, but I also wouldn't expect a jump in the figs either based on the class test. A duplicate of her last out, sitting off the pace and having something left coming for home looks like she could be useful underneath.
If I had to choose a horse to bounce off her last race I would look to toss the
Wonder Gadot. After posting a previous top she regressed ever so slightly in the next, 3 works since last start, 2 good and 1 poor. Class test is a wash, but is breaking from an outside post this race. For my money I would rather use the
Chocolate Martini at a better price.
My picks
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This may be a bit oversimplified, but when I'm looking at a form it is how I quickly analyze whether or not a horse is likely to bounce. Just my two cents, good luck.