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01-26-2022, 11:43 PM
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#376
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Didn't get the Delta data today, either 
I did get DD and GPX for tomorrow...speaking of GPX, the BPST sole purpose is to identify the early speed. So it makes sense that it would be more useful in the shorter sprints [4.5F to 5.5F]. In the 6th KINGSTON QUEEN topped the B3PST and was adding juice 1st time. 'Queen paid a whopping 💲64.20-of which I also got none of.
When you use that method--you gotta 'cap a little bit-be sure your horse didn't just break his maiden, and CAN actually win this.
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01-27-2022, 03:10 PM
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#377
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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01-27-2022, 03:33 PM
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#378
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
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Exotic Bets program suddenly attracting much interest. Readers of this thread can see we're scoring some big hits.
To help you with SPEED DEMONS...here are some tracks with their spot play winning percentages. Like everything with horse racing, these aren't etched in stone. What wins one day might whiff the next.
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01-27-2022, 06:45 PM
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#379
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Benton, La.
Posts: 1,831
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any idea how many races in the samples those spot play percentages were taken from?
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01-27-2022, 06:58 PM
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#380
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 556
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im thinking there the green numbers all but the first have #s 
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01-27-2022, 07:24 PM
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#381
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
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Think I cut that top part off--but it was around 100 races, I believe. Yes it is that green box
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01-28-2022, 10:55 AM
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#382
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
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Noticed the B3PST rating seems to hit many 7 to 7.5F races. Usually you can't swing a dead cat without hitting a 7F race-but these were all I could find going today. I'll "live" test it for a few days, see if my hunch is correct:
TUP 7TH MY INDY 9/2
DD 2ND SOCIAL GALAXIE 5/1
CTX 2ND DEEMED ESSENTIAL 9/2
CTX 4TH BUZZHOUND 9/5
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01-28-2022, 02:00 PM
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#383
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Benton, La.
Posts: 1,831
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NorCalGreg
Think I cut that top part off--but it was around 100 races, I believe. Yes it is that green box
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in around 100 races you may not have but 10 or so of some of the spot plays so a good winner or two may skew the results. If you notice PRX with 578 races some of the spot play percentages are down to a more realistic level. However this is the kind of info I like to see, takes the work of of what to bet and where to bet it.
Last edited by green80; 01-28-2022 at 02:02 PM.
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01-28-2022, 09:53 PM
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#384
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Yeah it is good info to have...keep in mind, SPEED DEMONS was only released couple months ago. Santa Anita, Oaklawn and Penn haven't been running the entire time--so that explains some of the tracks not showing a ton of races.
Think my 7F BPST did okay today...I'll tally it all up after a few days. Haven't got tomorrow's data files yet, but will post the plays later.
One from the stable alert:
Be Bop a Lola (#8, 4/1) is entered at Tampa Bay Downs on Saturday, January 29th, 2022 in Race 4
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01-29-2022, 08:33 AM
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#385
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2012
Posts: 2,945
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Good Day @Tam 0128
Using the consensus, 8 listed winners, 3 exacta's in top 3 and 2 tri's
Early pick 3 going 3x1x3 resulted in a $114 payout
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01-29-2022, 10:19 AM
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#386
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2020
Posts: 89
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Quote:
Originally Posted by upthecreek
Using the consensus, 8 listed winners, 3 exacta's in top 3 and 2 tri's
Early pick 3 going 3x1x3 resulted in a $114 payout
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quick question - the consensus report you posted shows its from speed demons, what version do you have? mine is 14.23 but i don’t see that consensus button available.
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01-29-2022, 10:41 AM
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#387
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2020
Posts: 89
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GPX Stats to ponder for todays betting fun
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01-29-2022, 10:47 AM
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#388
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2012
Posts: 2,945
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OzYank
quick question - the consensus report you posted shows its from speed demons, what version do you have? mine is 14.23 but i don’t see that consensus button available.
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It's from the Best 5 software
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01-29-2022, 11:01 AM
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#389
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2001
Posts: 392
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Stats
What's the R.O.I on all this? Winning percentage is really not that important. It's the R.O.I. It's kind of like a woman in a bikini, it reveals a lot, but does not tell the whole story.
Bob
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01-29-2022, 11:30 AM
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#390
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
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Quote:
Originally Posted by upthecreek
It's from the Best 5 software
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My copy of Best-Five has the same thing--we were working on several programs at the time and the SPEED DEMONS heading ended up on at least 1 version of B-5. Not a problem.
Thank you Simon...your graphic skills far exceed my own feeble paint shop efforts 
Here's the results of yesterdays 7F B3PST plays-and today's short list:
TUP 7TH MY INDY 9/2 💲4.40
DD 2ND SOCIAL GALAXIE 5/1 2ND at 💲18-1
CTX 2ND DEEMED ESSENTIAL 9/2 SCRATCHED
*with the scratch-next in line was DISTORTED SPLENDOR 💲18.40
CTX 4TH BUZZHOUND 9/5 💲3.40
01-29 SPEED DEMONS TOP BPST 7 - 7.5F
TAM 2ND THEJIGISUP 3-1
SA 4TH FORBIDDEN KINGDOM 5/2
SAM 6TH MISS EMPIREMENT 3/5
GPX 4TH POSITIVE REVIEW 9/2
GPX 8TH FAMILY TIME 20-1
DED 8TH FORESTDUNGONE 6-1
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