Handicapping, Spot Plays, Software, etc

[CheckMark]

R2-R8
R1 you know hit already with #1 #6 hitting
R2: no hits key was 4th but #1 1st
R3: no hits key was 5th
R4: no hits key was 4th but #5 1st
R5: no hits key was 7th
R6: no hits key was 4th #1 #2 2nd 3rd
R7: no hits key was 7th but #4 1st
R8: no hits key was 5th but #6 1st

Sorry for the exactas today Greg
You did have some winners T3 though in Races 1-2-4-7-8
R1 $15.20 R2 $4.20 R4 $6.80 R7 $25.00 R8 $5.20

[NorCalGreg]

You're sorry about the exactas? I bet $32 and returned $42...I'm sorry I didn't win more-but I'll take it

[lefty359]

Small wins are better than big losses...

[CheckMark]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

You're sorry about the exactas? I bet $32 and returned $42...I'm sorry I didn't win more-but I'll take it

In bold is what I meant to say (sorry that you didn't hit after the 1st race)

[NorCalGreg]

[NorCalGreg]

Not much happening today in racing-good day to catch up on stats and research.

Being kind of burnt out on Chucktown, I'll try my luck at Remington and the qtr horses:

REMINGTON 03-24

3RD TRENDING UP 10-1 6/3,4

5TH LETHAL TIMBER 10-1 6/3,7

6TH THE HEAVY FAVORITE 4-1 7/8,10

7TH SWEET BROWN SUGAR 15-1 6/2,9

9TH JF PRINCESS STORM 5-1 2/1,4

5 exacta key boxes = $20 wagered.

-NCG

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Not much happening today in racing-good day to catch up on stats and research.

Being kind of burnt out on Chucktown, I'll try my luck at Remington and the qtr horses:

REMINGTON 03-24

3RD TRENDING UP 10-1 6/3,4

5TH LETHAL TIMBER 10-1 6/3,7

6TH THE HEAVY FAVORITE 4-1 7/8,10

7TH SWEET BROWN SUGAR 15-1 6/2,9

9TH JF PRINCESS STORM 5-1 2/1,4

5 exacta key boxes = $20 wagered.

-NCG

[NorCalGreg]

KEEPING THE PEACE (#2, 12/1), is entered at Laurel Park in Race 4, a 6 Furlong Dirt $27,500 STARTER ALLOWANCE, is scheduled to run at 2:13 PM.

[NorCalGreg]

Remember that late pick-4 I hit @ Penn couple days ago? Paid less than $10.00...that one.

Well compare that to today's late p-4 @ GPX. No big winners...matter of fact had a "60 point" horse UNPRECEDENTED included in that sequence. Those are usually the horse you want to single, after verifying their status as a solid favorite. As usual I take the top-2 in the other p-4 races

What was sweet was the payoff: $0.50 Pick 4 (5/6/7/2,5,8,12) Paid $164.15 (4OF4)

Beats the heck out of that measly Penn p-4--this one at GPX paid about a hundred dollars more than you would get at Penn.

[NorCalGreg]

[NorCalGreg]

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Decided to, instead of trying to be innovative--went ahead and boxed all 3 contenders per race in exacta boxes for $6 per, or $48
total wagered.

Hit the 2nd (5-1) for $21.10
3rd (5-1) for $41.70
5th (3-2) for $6.00
and the 8th (3-10) for $24.80

for a return of $93.60

[NorCalGreg]

This is turning into profitable venture...using selected Best-Five "key" races for low-cost exactas.



We just need to assume the ML is fairly accurate...or at least decide which races to play-based on that assumption. I try to find races that the morning line for all 3 of that race's picks = close to 20. The only one I played that came up short of the "20" was the 7th, and it was close enough (18). Use the highest odds horse for your key, and instead of a $6 exacta box-you'll wager only $4.

I wagered on 6 exactas-for $24.00...and hit just one:



One is all it took for a nice return.

-NCG

[NorCalGreg]

Keep looking...one glance at the Best-Five lineup here tells me this is a track with small fields, and dominant horses.

In other words, not much "mystery" here--which (the way I play, anyway) means generally low payouts-be they horizontal or vertical. My decision to avoid SA was an easy call:

Compare this to the above previous B-5 cards from RPX, GPX, and Tampa--see the difference?
You are hard-pressed to even find a race here with total ML over 10! This track has definitely seen better days.

[NorCalGreg]

*Load Up Moe (#4, 3/1) is entered Parx Racing on Monday, April 4th, 2022 in Race 4.
*Luxury Suite (#8, 8/1) is entered Parx Racing on Monday, April 4th, 2022 in Race 7.
*Borracho Concho (#5, 5/1) is entered Parx Racing on Monday, April 4th, 2022 in Race 10.
*Capt. Candy (#9, 5/1) is entered Parx Racing on Monday, April 4th, 2022 in Race 10.

One entry: LUXURY SUITE in the 7th is interesting...claimed 2-back at 11-1, hard to see what the attraction was. Raced once since-didn't raise a gallop in that one. Can't find his last win-but perhaps there were some whispers about this one on the backstretch-who knows? Trainer Michael Moore knows what he's doing, so I'll put a couple dollars on this one and see what happens.

-NCG