Arlington Million day card

[Valuist]

Odds on the Million and Beverly D courtesy of William Hill:

Million:
Cape Blanco 9-4
Gio Ponti 7-2
Wigmore Hill 9-2
Tagaaweed 15-2
Mission Approved 10-1
Rahystrada 12-1
Zack Hall 12-1
Deans Kitten 20-1
General Perfect 50-1
Proceed Bee 50-1

Beverly D
Stacelita 3-1
River Jetez 9-2
Cheetah 11-2
Fantasia 11-2
Dubawi Heights 8-1
Never Retreat 9-1
Pachattack 9-1
Eclair de Lune 14-1
Check the Label 20-1
Upperline 20-1
Romin Robin 25-1

[olddaddy]

Secretariat Stakes 1m2f, turf, 3yo ($400,000)

1 Newsdad Joel Rosario 10-1
2 Ziyarid Christophe Lemaire 10-1
3 Treasure Beach Colm O'Donoghue 2-1
4 Crimson China Rajiv Maragh 15-1
5 Casino Host Ramon Dominguez 8-1
6 Suntracer Shaun Bridgmohan 15-1
7 Banned Garrett Gomez 3-1
8 Derby Kitten Julien Leparoux 15-1
9 Willcox Inn Robby Albarado 9-2
10 L'Aiglon Florent Geroux 50-1

[Spiderman]

These races remind me of the time there was a P4, including two stakes from SAR and two from AP. Usually, high payouts. Haven't seen that type bet offered in awhile.

[Stillriledup]

100k Guaranteed pick 5 with a 15% takeout catches my eye. Big fields guys, start your cappin!

[Knowclew]

Nice card. Hope the current forecast is wrong. It is gorgeous here this week...upper 70's and dry. BUT, calling for thunderstorms starting late Friday night and all through Saturday. Could cause havoc to some solid early cappin'.

[olddaddy]

The best 4 grass races in a row that I have seen in awhile.

[Valuist]

No question it is the best track to play this Saturday. Not only the stakes but the supporting races as well.

[gm10]

Haven't analyzed the race yet but at first sight Treasure Beach seems to be overpriced at 2/1.

[Spiderman]

Originally Posted by Stillriledup

100k Guaranteed pick 5 with a 15% takeout catches my eye. Big fields guys, start your cappin!

In addition to the .50 cent $100K Guarantee P5, there is a $1 P6, without Guarantee, that begins in the 5th race. Right now, I have five possibles in 5th and five in the 6th that need to be trimmed by at least two each race. Checked last Saturday's P6 pool and it didn't amount to much for the effort. However, it may increase big time with the major stakes races included. The P5 is the bet, at this time.

[JustRalph]

Just perused the card. I know where my money is going Saturday........

I am not usually a big fan of APX....... and the poly......but this looks like a great day.........

[Stillriledup]

Originally Posted by Spiderman

In addition to the .50 cent $100K Guarantee P5, there is a $1 P6, without Guarantee, that begins in the 5th race. Right now, I have five possibles in 5th and five in the 6th that need to be trimmed by at least two each race. Checked last Saturday's P6 pool and it didn't amount to much for the effort. However, it may increase big time with the major stakes races included. The P5 is the bet, at this time.

I think the pick 5 and pick 4's are the way to go. P6 might be too small.

[Valuist]

Think all three of the big races have favorites who are vulnerable. I refuse to take a low price on any horse Aidan O'Brien runs on this continent; as for Stacelita, I don't think the United Nations was particularly strong this year. Don't have anything against Treasure Beach; I do think Banned and Wilcox Inn are going to give TB all he can handle.

[olddaddy]

The Aga Khans horse intrigues me.

[Valuist]

Originally Posted by olddaddy

The Aga Khans horse intrigues me.

I agree. How often have we seen multiple Euro shippers come in where one is very highly hyped and the other is overlooked......and the overlooked horse wins at a big price? Have seen it happen many, many times. I suppose if I was a book and had to put odds up, I guess I'd have to make Treasure Beach a favorite probably in the neighborhood of 9-5. But the 3-2 quoted by Billy Hill is too low, IMO. Not sure if they are fully taking into account O'Brien's stateside struggles.

[gm10]

Anyone know what the weather and turf condition are likely to be?