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01-14-2022, 10:28 PM
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#1
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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formula's results for exacta and win plays
1/13/2022 races were back-fitted to formula
1/14/2022 races were not back-fitted
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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01-15-2022, 10:21 AM
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#2
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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another day of positive non back-fitter results
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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01-15-2022, 01:22 PM
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#3
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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corrected and properly defined
results added
9/4 exacta
my bet sized for the board was $182, returning $494
win bet sizes totaled the same $181 returning $246
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 01-15-2022 at 01:32 PM.
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01-15-2022, 04:17 PM
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#4
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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here is what my exacta board looked like when it hit the 1/9 exacta, paying $414 for a $1 bet at the track, race #7
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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01-15-2022, 06:19 PM
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#5
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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held on to a positive return at tampa bay today
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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01-15-2022, 11:15 PM
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#6
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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01-15-2022, 11:29 PM
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#7
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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01-16-2022, 10:42 AM
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#8
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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01-17-2022, 10:26 PM
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#9
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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The challenge! Back fit the 90 plus races into a profitable play, eliminating outliers and with a high win rate no less than 40 percent.
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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01-18-2022, 08:50 AM
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#10
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
The challenge! Back fit the 90 plus races into a profitable play, eliminating outliers and with a high win rate no less than 40 percent.
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for those that may be interested. I produce two exacta boards. one contains the bet sizes for the formulated horse exacta combinations, the other all the remaining exacta combinations.
there are two plays for each board
the 1st is the win horse listed on the top of the board (a column bet), the 2nd list the win horse on the side of the board (a row bet)
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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01-18-2022, 10:18 AM
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#11
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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results for multi exacta boards
gp 1/1/2022 way outperformed the same races in the 90 plus race sample.
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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01-18-2022, 11:31 AM
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#12
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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correction to gp 1/1/2022
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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01-18-2022, 01:08 PM
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#13
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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results for multi exacta boards aqu 1-14-2022
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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01-18-2022, 03:10 PM
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#14
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Bottom line for 29 races
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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01-19-2022, 10:08 AM
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#15
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Halfway through comparing the previous 90 plus races to the new.
the new race results outperform the corresponding races by 150% for a 5% profit. winning 52% of the races.
the remaining "previous races" were profitable on their own. i think the new race results will benefit from that.
once I have completed the full comparison, i will investigate the bet size formula for the new race results. I may see an improvement.
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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