Top Horse Analytics: 10/21/2014 Weekly Statistics

[Augenj]

Welcome to a subset of the weekly statistics produced by Top Horse Analytics. Updated win stats will be posted here weekly for Favorites, Morning Line Favorites, Top Horse, and Conditional Top Horse* for all of the active and paused tracks we analyze.

THA Active Tracks: BEL, GPW-d, KEE-d, SA
THA Paused Tracks: CD, DMR-d
THA Inactive Tracks: AQU, GP, OP, SAR-d, TAM

Active - currently active tracks.
Paused - between meets in a logical year.
Inactive - waiting on start of a new logical year.
"-d" indicates a track whose data base is initially derived from another major regional track with a larger data base.

* What is a Conditional Top Horse?
It is the calculated Top Horse (100.0000) joined with conditional factors (filters) such as Race Age 2, Horse Is 3YO in 3UP Race, 2nd Race After 45 Days Off, and many more. Each conditional factor is also paired with its opposite "Not" condition, such as Race Not Age 2, etc. The selected conditional factors for the Top Horse have shown the best persistent (year-to-year) ROI and have occured at least 30 times during the previous logical year.

The following statistics simulate betting $2.00 to win from the start of the current logical year to the present for all active and paused tracks.

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At BEL
Start Of Logical Year - 05/01/2014
Updated Through - 10/19/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At BEL
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 825
Number Of Wins - 308
Win Per Cent - 37.33
Dollars In - 1650.00
Dollars Out - 1482.20
ROI - 0.8983

M/L Favorites At BEL
Occurs Per Cent - 97.94
Number Of Races - 808 *
Number Of Wins - 274
Win Per Cent - 33.91
Dollars In - 1616.00
Dollars Out - 1366.30
ROI - 0.8455
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At BEL
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 825
Number Of Wins - 230
Win Per Cent - 27.88
Dollars In - 1650.00
Dollars Out - 1322.70
ROI - 0.8016

Conditional Top Horse At BEL
Occurs Per Cent - 15.15
Number Of Races - 125
Number Of Wins - 37
Win Per Cent - 29.60
Dollars In - 250.00
Dollars Out - 230.10
ROI - 0.9204

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At CD
Start Of Logical Year - 04/26/2014
Updated Through - 09/28/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At CD
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 493
Number Of Wins - 190
Win Per Cent - 38.54
Dollars In - 986.00
Dollars Out - 862.80
ROI - 0.8751

M/L Favorites At CD
Occurs Per Cent - 97.77
Number Of Races - 482 *
Number Of Wins - 164
Win Per Cent - 34.02
Dollars In - 964.00
Dollars Out - 772.60
ROI - 0.8015
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At CD
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 493
Number Of Wins - 140
Win Per Cent - 28.40
Dollars In - 986.00
Dollars Out - 777.40
ROI - 0.7884

Conditional Top Horse At CD
Occurs Per Cent - 11.97
Number Of Races - 59
Number Of Wins - 16
Win Per Cent - 27.12
Dollars In - 118.00
Dollars Out - 121.40
ROI - 1.0288

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At DMR
Start Of Logical Year - 07/17/2014
Updated Through - 09/03/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At DMR
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 326
Number Of Wins - 99
Win Per Cent - 30.37
Dollars In - 652.00
Dollars Out - 534.80
ROI - 0.8202

M/L Favorites At DMR
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 326 *
Number Of Wins - 92
Win Per Cent - 28.22
Dollars In - 652.00
Dollars Out - 540.80
ROI - 0.8294
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At DMR
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 326
Number Of Wins - 75
Win Per Cent - 23.01
Dollars In - 652.00
Dollars Out - 487.20
ROI - 0.7472

Conditional Top Horse At DMR
Occurs Per Cent - 33.13
Number Of Races - 108
Number Of Wins - 37
Win Per Cent - 34.26
Dollars In - 216.00
Dollars Out - 244.20
ROI - 1.1306

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At GPW
Start Of Logical Year - 10/08/2014
Updated Through - 10/20/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At GPW
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 110
Number Of Wins - 32
Win Per Cent - 29.09
Dollars In - 220.00
Dollars Out - 160.00
ROI - 0.7273

M/L Favorites At GPW
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 110 *
Number Of Wins - 22
Win Per Cent - 20.00
Dollars In - 220.00
Dollars Out - 120.80
ROI - 0.5491
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At GPW
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 110
Number Of Wins - 23
Win Per Cent - 20.91
Dollars In - 220.00
Dollars Out - 182.20
ROI - 0.8282

Conditional Top Horse At GPW
Occurs Per Cent - 14.55
Number Of Races - 16
Number Of Wins - 1
Win Per Cent - 6.25
Dollars In - 32.00
Dollars Out - 14.00
ROI - 0.4375

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At KEE
Start Of Logical Year - 10/03/2014
Updated Through - 10/19/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At KEE
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 123
Number Of Wins - 46
Win Per Cent - 37.40
Dollars In - 246.00
Dollars Out - 242.00
ROI - 0.9837

M/L Favorites At KEE
Occurs Per Cent - 95.93
Number Of Races - 118 *
Number Of Wins - 35
Win Per Cent - 29.66
Dollars In - 236.00
Dollars Out - 204.60
ROI - 0.8669
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At KEE
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 123
Number Of Wins - 27
Win Per Cent - 21.95
Dollars In - 246.00
Dollars Out - 157.00
ROI - 0.6382

Conditional Top Horse At KEE
Occurs Per Cent - 8.94
Number Of Races - 11
Number Of Wins - 5
Win Per Cent - 45.45
Dollars In - 22.00
Dollars Out - 37.00
ROI - 1.6818

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At SA
Start Of Logical Year - 09/26/2014
Updated Through - 10/19/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 144
Number Of Wins - 48
Win Per Cent - 33.33
Dollars In - 288.00
Dollars Out - 233.80
ROI - 0.8118

M/L Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent - 98.61
Number Of Races - 142 *
Number Of Wins - 47
Win Per Cent - 33.10
Dollars In - 284.00
Dollars Out - 239.60
ROI - 0.8437
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At SA
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 144
Number Of Wins - 43
Win Per Cent - 29.86
Dollars In - 288.00
Dollars Out - 236.40
ROI - 0.8208

Conditional Top Horse At SA
Occurs Per Cent - 6.25
Number Of Races - 9
Number Of Wins - 5
Win Per Cent - 55.56
Dollars In - 18.00
Dollars Out - 47.40
ROI - 2.6333

[saddle sore]

You see what you started now.

[Augenj]

Originally Posted by saddle sore

You see what you started now.

Innocent bystander here.