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05-06-2023, 04:52 PM
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#61
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,506
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lansdale
 - Forte
 - Mandarin Hero
 - Mage
 - Tapit
- Verifying
As always, tried to avoid the favorite, but although far from dominance, he looks to have a clear 1.5 lengths over the next two, who seem close, and 3 lengths over the last two. MH seems seriously overlaid and Tapit somewhat underlaid at current odds of 27-1 and 5-1, respectively. If you think the race will be quicker than a pace figure of 1:10.8 would imply, (which I doubt) MH a viable win candidate, coming off the pace.
DS - Japanese horse: ?
Best of luck to all. |
Post-Forte scratch a very different race.
, , , 
Most wide-open KD I can remember -- wlll be a huge haul for somebody. Re revised numbers -- top line now looking too close to separate. My rough take on fair odds for each: - 6/1, - 7-1, 8-1, 9-1. Although his numbers stack up with these, not a win choice due to light experience. At current odds, and slightly underlays.
With the numerous scratches, and departure of some speed, looking like a perfect scenario for the  to wire this field, if not still jet-lagged.
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05-06-2023, 05:10 PM
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#62
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 100
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I like #3 Two Phil's as a place bet $2.00 and to show for $6.00 for the Kentucky Derby. But I'm not betting today.
This is the selection from the RPM Handicapping Giant software "Bet To Win For A Living"
Last edited by Triopstor; 05-06-2023 at 05:12 PM.
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05-06-2023, 05:16 PM
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#63
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 10,999
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17 top & bottom with the 2,3,4,8
2,3,4,8 box
__________________
All I needed in life I learned from Gary Larson.
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05-06-2023, 05:18 PM
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#64
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 181
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05-06-2023, 05:48 PM
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#65
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Owatonna, MN
Posts: 791
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05-06-2023, 06:13 PM
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#66
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Just Deplorable
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Lebanon, Ohio
Posts: 8,068
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05-06-2023, 06:15 PM
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#67
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 178
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__________________
“I try to be cynical but it is hard to keep up.”
~ Lily Tomlin
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05-06-2023, 06:15 PM
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#68
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Just Deplorable
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Lebanon, Ohio
Posts: 8,068
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Dang, slappy...that's pretty close. 
Twice is a coincidence...trice is a trend.
Last edited by rastajenk; 05-06-2023 at 06:18 PM.
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05-06-2023, 06:19 PM
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#69
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Folsom, CA
Posts: 3,517
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I'll go with Verifying, and key box him with  in exactas.
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05-06-2023, 06:21 PM
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#70
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 378
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Just a box exacta 2-5, $40 base: $80 bucks.
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05-06-2023, 06:23 PM
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#71
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2001
Posts: 16,847
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__________________
When you have to make a choice and don't make it, that is in itself a choice.
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05-06-2023, 06:44 PM
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#72
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 100
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No my mistake #3 Two Phil's is not big "Bonus!! High %Win" selection but rather minor. But these minor bets don't do well. And I don't play them. I only like the "Bonus!! High %Win" with no COMMENT defects in them.
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05-06-2023, 06:45 PM
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#73
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2015
Posts: 143
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to win
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05-06-2023, 07:33 PM
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#74
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: oakmont pa
Posts: 4,828
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fightingirish51195
So far I have 150 to win on mage at 20-1 on an offshore. I thought it was good value and I doubt he’s more than that on derby day
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Great call
__________________
Bet wps
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05-06-2023, 07:36 PM
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#75
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Just another Facist
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Now in Houston
Posts: 52,790
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JustRalph
Originally Posted by JustRalph View Post
I cannot separate the above by more than a length.....hell ...gonna have to box them.
Longshots: 2nd flight.....but with little improvement, they could win it. I love Johnny V on a 50-1 shot
I actually sneaked/snuck out to SHRP and placed some bets on the horses above. I had 3 bucks left in the voucher and dropped that on the nose of kingbarns.big spender huh?
I’m spread in the exacta w above horses on exacta and super boxes. Also
25 win on
20 to win on
20 to win on
Skipped the win bet on the …….
First time I’ve bet the Derby in a while. $150 bucks all in. 
Btw, I didnt know SHRP Had live racing going on. Pretty decent crowd for as late as it was |
Still got it.
I’m wondering if I will get my exacta box tickets that had Forte on the ticket.
__________________
WE ARE THE DUMBEST COUNTRY ON THE PLANET!
Last edited by JustRalph; 05-06-2023 at 07:40 PM.
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