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Old 10-15-2016, 10:44 AM   #1
formula_2002
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TOTE BOARD ANALYSIS_ VALUED PLAYS

OUT OF A 208 RACE DATA BASE, I'M SETTLING IN ON 37 RACES WHO'S FLAT BET ROI IS 1.90
THESE RACES HAVE A "COMPARISON BET SIZE" VALUE >=7
THEY HAVE A WIN RATE OF 65% AND $1 AVERAGE WIN BET PAYOUT OF $2.92

THERE ARE FLAT BET PROFITS IN BOTH THE PLACE AND SHOW POOLS

IN MY EXPERIENCE, A SYSTEM NEEDS TO BE JUDGED ON IT'S FLAT BET WIN RETURN
A SMALL BUT EXPERIENCED BET SELECTION
LETS SEE HOW IT GOES

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File Type: jpg 37 RACES COMPARISON BET SIZEGTE 7Capture.JPG (37.0 KB, 123 views)
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Last edited by formula_2002; 10-15-2016 at 10:45 AM.
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Old 10-15-2016, 12:17 PM   #2
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ONE MORE THING
WHEN THE "COMPARISON BET SIZE" IS <3 THERE ARE 62 RACES, WIN POOL ROI IS .54, AVE $ PAYOUT IS $1.86, 29% WINNERS

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File Type: jpg 62 RACES COMPARISON BET SIZE LT 3 Capture.JPG (36.3 KB, 112 views)
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Old 10-15-2016, 01:01 PM   #3
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WIN POOL BET SIZE COMPARISON BET SIZE 2.73
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
1

Post
1:00

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$13,116 " =

the 1 is a bad bet
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Old 10-15-2016, 02:20 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
WIN POOL BET SIZE COMPARISON BET SIZE 2.73
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
1

Post
1:00

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$13,116 " =

the 1 is a bad bet

0.65-1 favorite came in 2nd, 2nd choice won returning
$4.8 on thr dollar
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Old 10-15-2016, 02:36 PM   #5
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Code:
WIN POOL BET SIZE			COMPARISON BET SIZE		8.83
"Delaware 
 Race
4

 Post
2:37

 MTP
2

 $1 Exacta Pool
$5,543 "				 =
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Old 10-15-2016, 02:42 PM   #6
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WIN POOL BET SIZE COMPARISON BET SIZE 1.79
"Finger Lakes
Race
4

Post
2:42

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$2,884 " =


the 2 is a bad bet
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Old 10-15-2016, 02:52 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
WIN POOL BET SIZE COMPARISON BET SIZE 1.79
"Finger Lakes
Race
4

Post
2:42

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$2,884 " =

the 2 is a bad bet


1-4 fav lost 3rd choice won returning $7.6 on the dollar


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GOD BLESS AMERICA

" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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Old 10-15-2016, 03:48 PM   #8
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WIN POOL BET SIZE COMPARISON BET SIZE 2.63
"Finger Lakes
Race
6

Post
3:48

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$3,645 " =


2 is a bad bet
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GOD BLESS AMERICA

" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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Old 10-15-2016, 03:54 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
WIN POOL BET SIZE COMPARISON BET SIZE 2.63
"Finger Lakes
Race
6

Post
3:48

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$3,645 " =


2 is a bad bet

8-5 2 wins
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GOD BLESS AMERICA

" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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Old 10-15-2016, 03:59 PM   #10
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WIN POOL BET SIZE COMPARISON BET SIZE 6.28
"Santa Anita
Race
2

Post
4:00

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$28,687 " =
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Old 10-15-2016, 07:40 PM   #11
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wins $1 bet returns $1.79
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GOD BLESS AMERICA

" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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Old 10-15-2016, 08:55 PM   #12
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WIN POOL BET SIZE COMPARISON BET SIZE 2.12
"Lone Star
Race
4

Post
8:55

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$1,965 " =


8 is a bad bet
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GOD BLESS AMERICA

" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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Old 10-15-2016, 08:57 PM   #13
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exacta matrix excluding the 8 fro win position


Code:
	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	
1	…..	14	4	8	4	4	…..	37	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	71
2	16	…..	16	20	12	10	…..	58	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	130
3	6	15	…..	8	13	5	…..	28	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	74
4	12	20	10	…..	10	12	…..	71	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	135
5	3	10	13	8	…..	3	…..	29	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	66
6	6	6	5	12	2	…..	…..	19	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	50
7	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
8								…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
9	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
10	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
11	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
12	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
13	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
14	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
15	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
16	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
	42.39	64.86	47.47	54.82	40.65	33.31	0.00	242.08	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	525.57
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Old 10-15-2016, 09:00 PM   #14
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3-5 # 8 wins
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GOD BLESS AMERICA

" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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Old 10-15-2016, 09:05 PM   #15
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5 is a bad win bet

exacta matrix w/o 5



Code:
	"Remington 
 Race
3

 Post
9:04

 MTP
2

 $2 Exacta Pool
$3,602 "																
	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	
1	…..	19	22	27	54	26	13	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	162
2	14	…..	13	19	19	14	6	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	85
3	18	14	…..	26	45	23	8	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	134
4	22	21	26	…..	48	29	8	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	153
5											…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
6	31	17	26	36	52	…..	11	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	173
7	11	4	7	8	10	8	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	48
8	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
9	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
10	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
11	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
12	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
13	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
14	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
15	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
16	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	…..	0
	95.47	74.53	95.14	115.97	228.34	99.34	46.28	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	755.08
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GOD BLESS AMERICA

" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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