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07-24-2017, 09:54 PM
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#16
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 32
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Big congrats Menifee for questioning Arrogate’s works and putting your money where your mouth is.
I for one thought, well he’s Baffert and he probably knows what he’s doing. Obviously NOT!!
DRF…Baffert put the blame on himself for Arrogate’s performance, saying he hadn’t trained Arrogate aggressively enough. He also questioned his decision to not work Arrogate earlier in the week over Del Mar’s surface. “I thought I had done enough to get him through,” Baffert said. “I’m disappointed he didn’t run well.”
Sheesh, maybe Menifee should be Arrogate’s trainer…
Wasn’t it Mike Smith who said immediately after the Dubai race that Arrogate wasn’t even blowing hard as if he never even raced? Didn’t everyone in the know, claim Arrogate’s lung capacity and endurance was not ordinary? Now that I look back at his 1:11 1:25.3 1:12.3 works…yeah, those are a good enough works to get a Hopportunity as fit as can be, but an Arrogate? Who was sitting on the beach and drinking margaritas for 4 months, He really did need to get some hard works (for his kind) to get his abnormal respiratory system and speed in race mode again.
I distinctly remember NY racing writers questioning Lucien Lauren’s training methods after Secretariat lost the Wood. His answer “he doesn’t really need a lot of hard works” Maybe trainers misunderstand superhorses when they luckily inherit one and train them the same way they do as they would a normal Grade 1 horse. Obviously now they do need very hard works as it won’t affect them negatively like it would a normal horse. Maybe Secretariat wouldn’t have lost at all if he was under better handling.
This race does not diminish my view of Arrogate at this point, but the mishandling and these damned short careers nowadays surely won’t help enhance his legend either. Dylan is correct when he points this out all the time….
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08-01-2017, 09:10 PM
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#18
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Top Horse Analytics
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 12,304
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Man o' War
Big congrats Menifee for questioning Arrogate’s works and putting your money where your mouth is.
I for one thought, well he’s Baffert and he probably knows what he’s doing. Obviously NOT!!
DRF…Baffert put the blame on himself for Arrogate’s performance, saying he hadn’t trained Arrogate aggressively enough. He also questioned his decision to not work Arrogate earlier in the week over Del Mar’s surface. “I thought I had done enough to get him through,” Baffert said. “I’m disappointed he didn’t run well.”
Sheesh, maybe Menifee should be Arrogate’s trainer…
Wasn’t it Mike Smith who said immediately after the Dubai race that Arrogate wasn’t even blowing hard as if he never even raced? Didn’t everyone in the know, claim Arrogate’s lung capacity and endurance was not ordinary? Now that I look back at his 1:11 1:25.3 1:12.3 works…yeah, those are a good enough works to get a Hopportunity as fit as can be, but an Arrogate? Who was sitting on the beach and drinking margaritas for 4 months, He really did need to get some hard works (for his kind) to get his abnormal respiratory system and speed in race mode again.
I distinctly remember NY racing writers questioning Lucien Lauren’s training methods after Secretariat lost the Wood. His answer “he doesn’t really need a lot of hard works” Maybe trainers misunderstand superhorses when they luckily inherit one and train them the same way they do as they would a normal Grade 1 horse. Obviously now they do need very hard works as it won’t affect them negatively like it would a normal horse. Maybe Secretariat wouldn’t have lost at all if he was under better handling.
This race does not diminish my view of Arrogate at this point, but the mishandling and these damned short careers nowadays surely won’t help enhance his legend either. Dylan is correct when he points this out all the time….
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Good post and spot on about Arrogate. He was not fit to race. Seabiscuit would sometimes race every week. Do that today with dehydrated Lasix horses and they'd fall on their faces. Still, A race a month should at least be the norm. I remember in the 70's when the claimers raced every other week.
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08-01-2017, 09:46 PM
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#19
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 5,870
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Quote:
Originally Posted by menifee
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and suddenly baffert is acting much more confident....the whole thing is weird. how this plays out is pretty fascinating.
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08-02-2017, 08:43 AM
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#20
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Veteran
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 5,222
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Augenj
Good post and spot on about Arrogate. He was not fit to race. Seabiscuit would sometimes race every week. Do that today with dehydrated Lasix horses and they'd fall on their faces. Still, A race a month should at least be the norm. I remember in the 70's when the claimers raced every other week.
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Do you think that really explains it? An unfit Arrogate should've made a race of it, just pooping out in the latter stages. That's what an unfit horse does. That's not what he did. There's more to his terrible performance than not being fit.
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08-02-2017, 08:56 AM
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#21
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Top Horse Analytics
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 12,304
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fager Fan
Do you think that really explains it? An unfit Arrogate should've made a race of it, just pooping out in the latter stages. That's what an unfit horse does. That's not what he did. There's more to his terrible performance than not being fit.
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You've got a point but I still feel that he wasn't prepared for this race.
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08-02-2017, 10:36 AM
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#22
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 5,870
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fager Fan
Do you think that really explains it? An unfit Arrogate should've made a race of it, just pooping out in the latter stages. That's what an unfit horse does. That's not what he did. There's more to his terrible performance than not being fit.
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yea, no way a half in shape arrogate runs that poorly. it wasnt a conditioning issue.
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08-02-2017, 11:29 AM
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#23
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Just another Facist
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Now in Houston
Posts: 52,839
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Maybe he has War Emblem disease?
He has decided he doesn't want to run anymore....
Baffert flat out said that's what happen with WE
__________________
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08-04-2017, 12:57 AM
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#24
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,833
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JustRalph
Maybe he has War Emblem disease?
He has decided he doesn't want to run anymore....
Baffert flat out said that's what happen with WE
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There was also something else War Emblem didn't want to do.
http://www.drf.com/news/champion-war-emblem-gelded-17
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08-05-2017, 12:15 PM
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#25
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: Baystater
Posts: 3,500
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After Dubai, I remember Baffert saying Arrogate was off his feed.
I think same thing happened to Cigar. Never really the same after Dubai.
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08-05-2017, 12:47 PM
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#26
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 5,870
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmyb
After Dubai, I remember Baffert saying Arrogate was off his feed.
I think same thing happened to Cigar. Never really the same after Dubai.
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yea, thought I mentioned that, he lost a bunch of weight and they had trouble getting back on.
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08-07-2017, 02:40 PM
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#27
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 20,637
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
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War Emblem is at Old Friends now. I saw him when I went to Keeneland earlier in the year. He's got a reputation as a very difficult horse to deal with.
__________________
"Unlearning is the highest form of learning"
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08-07-2017, 02:48 PM
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#28
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 20,637
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I have no special insight into whether Arrogate is going to bounce back or not, but I'm not buying that he was short last time. Baffert is one of the best layoff trainers there is when it comes to these graded stakes performers. I could see him sending the horses out a tad short on purpose hoping for a peak in the Pacific Classic and further misjudging the horse's conditioning slightly and watching him get beat, but there's no way he could be that off. IMO, something was bothering that horse.
__________________
"Unlearning is the highest form of learning"
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08-07-2017, 07:37 PM
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#29
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,833
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Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
War Emblem is at Old Friends now. I saw him when I went to Keeneland earlier in the year. He's got a reputation as a very difficult horse to deal with.
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I'm really hoping to get to visit him. He is a big part of what got me where I am today in horse racing.
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