Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Racing Discussion


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 10-21-2019, 08:31 AM   #1
sammy the sage
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: central fla.
Posts: 4,874
Breeder's Cup BEST Bet...any race...

Will post mine once official pp's are out...that will give ya'll the horse to avoid
__________________
got handed a lemon...make lemonade....add sugar or brown sugar or stevia or my personal favorite....miracle fruit....google it...thank me later...
sammy the sage is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-21-2019, 11:14 AM   #2
Robert Fischer
clean money
 
Robert Fischer's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
Not my best, but I don't mind giving out what may be a value-add.

Higher Power had a really nice recent work.

I gave him out @ 10/1(and he should have been 20/1 that day) when he won the Pacific Classic. But, I don't generally love the horse, and that was a 'perfect storm' scenario.

He came back to run in the Awesome Again Stakes at an abject-underlay of 7/2 odds. Horrible bet that day.

However, value ebbs and flows. Breeders' Cup Classic 8/1 morning line. Could be dismissed/overlooked and even drift up. If they suck-up and sit a trip, he can hit the board.

In the recent work, he's got the blinkers and red cap and the blue jeans. He's listed as 'outside', but he actually splits two horses, and makes two moves. Amazingly perfect execution/luck with how the work was orchestrated. The horse himself worked fine and turned in a solid B+ or so work.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.

Last edited by Robert Fischer; 10-21-2019 at 11:15 AM.
Robert Fischer is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-21-2019, 03:08 PM   #3
biggestal99
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 4,520
Wichita in the Juvy turf.

Horse is a monster, didn’t like the heavy ground at the Currgh.

However should take to the SA firm turf course. Broodmare sire Dashing Blade is just tremendous influence on firm ground.

Allan
biggestal99 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-21-2019, 05:16 PM   #4
Afleet
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Missouri
Posts: 2,190
Midnight Bisou. Like the way Asmussen took his horses out to CA early. Looking forward to betting against Bricks and Mortor.
Afleet is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-21-2019, 08:53 PM   #5
taxicab
Registered User
 
taxicab's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 3,601
Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer View Post
Not my best, but I don't mind giving out what may be a value-add.

Higher Power had a really nice recent work.

In the recent work, he's got the blinkers and red cap and the blue jeans. He's listed as 'outside', but he actually splits two horses, and makes two moves. Amazingly perfect execution/luck with how the work was orchestrated. The horse himself worked fine and turned in a solid B+ or so work.
I'll give you a sidebar on that workout you posted Robert.
The horse Higher Power was working with (Foxtail) is a really good work horse........on the dirt.........recently she's been putting up some solid dirt moves in the morning.
Sadler has run Foxtail on the grass in her last four races.........a surface she really doesn't care for.......and she hasn't fired.
The last two times he ran her on the dirt she scored nicely,kind of matching up what she does on the dirt in the morning.
Make sure you play her when she returns to the dirt.

Last edited by taxicab; 10-21-2019 at 08:55 PM.
taxicab is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-22-2019, 09:48 AM   #6
Tom
The Voice of Reason!
 
Tom's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,858
Sammy, got anything you like at Parx today?
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
Tom is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-22-2019, 12:09 PM   #7
Secondbest
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 1,755
Quote:
Originally Posted by Afleet View Post
Midnight Bisou. Like the way Asmussen took his horses out to CA early. Looking forward to betting against Bricks and Mortor.
Yes and Yes
Secondbest is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-30-2019, 09:41 AM   #8
Redboard
$2 Showbettor
 
Redboard's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: The Villages
Posts: 2,578
Without Parole (WP) in the turf mile at 20-1. Horse has had a 5 month rest and is hooking up with Chad Brown, who is 21% with Euro 1st shippers, and the country's winningest jockey, Irad. I find it hard to believe that these two would waste their time if they didnt have a reasonable shot. WP is a presser and will be near the lead. Tough field but if WP gets a clean trip.
Redboard is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-30-2019, 09:57 AM   #9
the little guy
Registered User
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 7,333
Doesn't Without Parole, a horse that hasn't been competitive since an upset win in 2018 at Royal Ascot, feel like an owner's entry? It's a weird race, and not overly strong ( to be kind ), but it would be some miraculous comeback if he were to win here.
the little guy is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-30-2019, 01:15 PM   #10
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,123
Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf

Fanny Logan 12/1
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-30-2019, 03:02 PM   #11
arw629
First Time Gelding
 
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 642
Daahyeh
arw629 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-30-2019, 03:39 PM   #12
Redboard
$2 Showbettor
 
Redboard's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: The Villages
Posts: 2,578
Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf

Fanny Logan 12/1
Versatile filly. Last three: she can turn right, left or go straight,as well as, win on soft, gf or gd.
The only question is, can she take the long journey and come back in three weeks? I ask myself that question a lot looking at these turf races.
Redboard is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-30-2019, 03:43 PM   #13
Afleet
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Missouri
Posts: 2,190
Circus Maximus sheet#'s are well behind many others in the mile race-false favorite? Timeform ratings are very good though
Afleet is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-30-2019, 03:46 PM   #14
Dream_Police
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jun 2016
Posts: 106
Scabbard
Dream_Police is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-30-2019, 05:38 PM   #15
Redboard
$2 Showbettor
 
Redboard's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: The Villages
Posts: 2,578
Bellafina 6-1 looks interesting in the filly sprint.. The race is loaded with speed and she has a nice late kick. Plus a horse-for-the-course angle- she won three straight at SA earlier in the year. I think she'll drift up and go off at closer to 8-1.
Redboard is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:23 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.